-= Bethesda has spoken to Nintendo regarding Smash =-
http://www.nintendolife.com/news/20..._bros_future_nintendo_exclusives_are_possible
This may not be considered all that important in the grand scheme of things. After all, there are plenty of companies that get along well with Nintendo such as SEGA or Suda51. But Bethesda have stood out for being particularly supporting of the Switch since it's launch. From Elder Scrolls to Wolfenstein, to Fallout and
especially DOOM, they've gone above and beyond at not only getting all their biggest franchises on there, but also making sure those games run comfortably on the console (albeit at the cost of poorer visuals and a typical cap at 30 FPS). They've released all of the DOOM games on the console via the unity remakes which, while not the ideal way to experience these games (Chocolate DOOM says hi), have even been updated to better match the PC originals. Hell, they've even spared Nintendo from the disasterous Fallout 76! That alone says more about their relationship with Nintendo than anything else, really.
Now of course, this doesn't mean that they're for sure getting a character in Smash, but it certainly helps. And besides, that's what the rest of this list is for!
-= Sakurai holds John Carmack in high esteem =-
https://www.sourcegaming.info/2016/01/21/sakuraixnomuraparttwo/
Again, this isn't the biggest bit of evidence, since as the image shows Sakurai holds a lot of people in high esteem, but it's certainly worth noting that he not only mentioned Carmack (also the only internation designer he mentioned) by name, but also calls him the father of FPS's. I mean, that's a pretty big compliment coming from a guy who's made what is effectively the biggest crossover video game franchises in history. It's also worth noting that most of the Fighter Pass characters have had some sort of effect on Sakurai as both a dev, a gamer, and a person.
- Persona 5 was specifically used as the basis for the UI in the game, and Sakurai has mentioned that he really likes Persona 5.
- Dragon Quest was and still is a major phenomenon on Japanese shores, and it was no doubt a dream come true for Sakurai to use their characters for his own game.
- Fatal Fury, and by extension King of Fighters, were major inspirations for the Smash Bros series, and given Sakurai's... erm,
extensive knowledge of the series, it's no stretch to say that he's a huge fan of the series.
So perhaps we may see that happen again?
-= The CacoMallow Post =-
Ahh yes, the Post that will seemingly never die. This is easily one of the best bits of evidence for Doomguy coming to Smash, assuming it's real of course, which seems pretty likely for the following reasons:
- In spite of the couple of recreations we've seen, we've not yet had one that accurately recreates the hat we see in the image and video. More specifically, we've yet to see one that has the inner mouth section of the hat encircle the Mii's Face in the same way.
- Nobody has come forward to take credit for this post with evidence that they made it and everything. The closest we've ever got was a claim by someone on Discord that they knew who made it, which never went anywhere.
- No insiders or leakers have gone against it per se. The closest we've gotten is them saying that whatever these costumes are for, it has nothing to do with FP5. Speaking of insiders and/or leakers...
-= Speculation =-
Okay,
Fatmanonice
isn't an insider or a leaker per se, but he does have sources who have provided legitimate information in the past. According to him, all of his sources seem to be in general agreement that FP5 will be a western character, specifically from Bethesda. Who that fighter is, however, is wildly different between them. It's speculated by Fatman that it's Dovakin from Skyrim, but there's nothing concrete at the moment. But nevertheless, it's near-universally agreed that it's a character from Bethesda, which is pretty good for Doomguy's chances.
Right. Like I've repeated god knows how many times for the past month, my contacts don't fully agree with me. None of my contacts have hard guesses for 5 now and most can't decide how 6 is going to play out. The only things that my four contacts agree with me on currently:
-5 will more than likely be Western
-5 and 6 will likely both be in the next Direct
That's literally it. Characters 7-11 are pretty much entirely my own speculation and theorycraft. To map things out even further:
Contacts' predictions for 5:
1. Bethesda (siding with Fallout for some reason)
2. Bethesda (no hard guess)
3. Bethesda (agrees with my theorycraft on Dragonborn but isn't hard invested)
4. Masterchief (no idea how they concluded this but Smash isn't their forte anyways)
-= The Green Pixels Thing =-
And here we have the most recent addition: For those who are having a hard time telling what this is supposed to be, in the image for FP5's presentation, people noticed that Sakurai's right elbow has some conspicuous brown pixels left over on his body, which has been assumed to be left over from the background used in the video itself from which this image was taken from when it was cut out. After some further analysis, they noticed that there were green pixels around his hair as well, but not just any shade of green, it's the exact same shades of army green that Doomguy's armor has.
Now I've heard this being compared to back during the Grinch Rumor, when people thought that the official banner had cut out Isaac because there were allegedly green pixels where there would've been Isaac's green sprout. What it actually was was that 4chan caused artifacting on the image when it was uploaded, resulting in those green pixels. In this instance, these colors are from a nice, clean image and are readily visible. It's also worth noting that this same kind of thing can be seen when looking at the thumbnails for Hero's and Banjo's presentations, allowing us to see parts of the background from where those images of Sakurai were cut out.