Interesting developments. I'm a little suspicious how many votes appeared so quickly off of Xivii's paper-thin case on me. Maven's vote in particular looks very suspicious for reasons discussed below, but I wouldn't be wholly surprised if there wasn't at least one more scum in there.
With four votes already and one or two people seeming to express an interest they will join, I imagine I will be claiming soon, but I will wait until King
Malakandra
says I should.
Was hoping to get through all of these but ran out of time. So Vic, bessie and Xivii will have to wait until tomorrow. Sorry Ryker.
Reads so far:
Malakandra - Confirmed Town.
Ryker - Claimed mason. Play seems very consistent with his claim and was townreading him before his claim anyway. Very likely Town.
somitomi - His content is typically light and often makes him kind of lynchbaity, but he is fairly easy to read on tone. somitomi has a very noticeable difference in style in his scum play compared to his Town play, particularly in that he is much more businesslike and his posts come across as much more polished as mafia. Likely Town.
fontisian - fonti seems to be playing a much more straightforward game in the vein Midnight Ops rather than TIL. One thing I noticed fairly early on is that she was very willing to commit to Townreads (e.g.
here,
here,
here,
here), whereas on TIL she seemed much cagier about commiting to her opinions. I can't rule out entirely that this is still in her scum range as she's really impressed me in the last two games, and if this game goes long and poorly this is probably going to be the first slot I will revisit, but at this point I think she's Town.
FrozenFlame - Content is light but nothing really stands out to me as problematic and his analysis has felt pretty solid to me. Tonally I don't get any weird vibes from him. Would like to see more from him but he's a Town lean for now.
Sabrar/UP - Activity/engagement levels from Sabrar are much more consistent with his Town play than his scum play in SS and tonally he feels fine to me. Doesn't scream Town!Sabrar as much as his last game did, but I don't have a problem with what I see. His
case on Xivii is good, and generally I feel Sabrar comes out looking better overall in this exchange. His claim is verified and is plausible as both a Town and scum role so I'm not putting a lot of weight on that. UP's content so far looks fine and I think him coming out with a strong statement about townreading me when I'm being pushed is probably not what scum wants to be doing here. Town lean.
Eido - Asks a lot of good questions, hasn't committed to a lot of opinions. Doesn't strike me as obviously newbie Town. Need to see more concrete opinions from him to be able to get a better sense of him. NullTown.
Eido
, could you give an ordered list of who you feel is most likely Town/scum?
Red Ryu - Content was pretty poor up to
#442. Subsequent content has been somewhat better as he seems to be actually trying to sort people and make some waves. Haven't played with him before outside of Crossover (he was mafia) and I don't really recall much about him that game other than that he was kind of on the bubble for most of the game but we could never quite yeet him. Will probably end up deferring to one of the #HBC people I trust on this one. NullTown for now.
wam - Push on fonti doesn't look great. Was still fairly early in the game and several people had much worse content than fonti (e.g. Ryu/Maven), so this doesn't come across as a particularly Town-motivated push. Not much to go on from more recent content. I agree with Xivii's meta that his content does look more polished this game, but I'm less certain that his engagement levels are consistent with this. Also this meta is very publicly known so it's hard to say how valuable the tell is going forward. On balance, leaning scum.
Maven - I'm very suspicious of
this read of me:
I've played with Laserguy before, it was a few years ago, but from what I remember he was one of the better town players, he did not act like this in the games I played with him.
As far as I can see, I've only played one Town game with Maven and it was several years ago ina non-standard setup, so I'm very skeptical that he would remember anything about my Townplay from that or be able to draw any conclusions from it. In contrast, I have played a few games with him where I was scum and one where I was indy.
Now, actually we have played one recent game, Oasis mafia, a couple months ago, and Maven gave this read of me at the time:
im unhappy with Lasers content, he came in early with a ploy that was valueless then has barely shown up compared to his earlier activity.
Note he doesn't mention how he expects me to play as Town this game, likely because he doesn't remember as he's only seen it once, quite awhile ago. I find it hard to believe that a Town player would seriously make a cold meta read like he did in this game based on such limited information. I feel it's much more likely the case that this is opportunistic scum looking for an excuse to vote me without really thinking about the implications of his read... possibly some meta assistance from a scummate.
In the event of a scum flip here, I would take a close look at Vicarin. Scum.
Vote: Maven