In general, the Smash fanbase in my humble opinion needs to dial back expectations of a western character or a Microsoft character in general. People everywhere on the internet are banking on it, and almost every time this sort of thing happens it ends in disappointment.
At this point, Steve and Chief are basically out of the running. Banjo is a popular pick among Smash fans, but:
1) His series is dead, and arguably doesn’t have the same legacy as Castlevania or other 3rd parties
2) Similar to Geno, is a popular Smash fanbase pick. Geno is a Mii Fighter costume (most likely)
3) Banjo is western, which we have not gotten yet in Smash. Certainly, Microsoft has had a cooperative relationship with Nintendo recently, but...there are Japanese 3rd parties with similar if not better relationships, and have stellar picks left that reach wider audiences than Banjo.
I would love Banjo. I still think he’s a pipe dream.
How do I respond to this without just saying **** you? I don’t think I know how.... how about this.
1. Banjo might not have a specific legacy. But Rareware does. Especially with Nintendo. They were Nintendo’s biggest supporter during the SNES and N64, and they didn’t jump ship to Sony. The folks at Rare flat out expected Nintendo to buy them, they were that close. (We still don’t know why Nintendo never offered. Would love to ask someone someday). Heck, they trusted Rare with reinventing Donkey Kong! They are an important part of Nintendo’s history. And Banjo is there mascot character. The DKC crew have been separated and co-opted by Nintendo. They don’t represent Rare anymore.
2. That’s true. Geno was a Mii Fighter costume. Likely because Square’s content is so expensive and they have no reason to push Geno. But even if Banjo hasn’t had a new game in a while, they still use him in ALL their marketing. Banjo still shows up in ads, they put the duo in Sonic & SEGA All-Stars Racing (two years AFTER Nuts & Bolts flopped). And Phill Spencer, the head of XBox, outright said he wants Banjo in Smash. That is most likely one of the characters they’ed bring to the negotiation table if talking to Nintendo at all. And if he did well in the ballot, then he was probably on Sakurai’s mind too.
3. We haven’t gotten a western character YET. There’s no rule that says we can’t. Arlo made a video about this, and I highly recommend it. Because at the end of the day, most of our “rules” were made up by us. They have very little concrete statements from the dev team to back them up. We don’t know why a western character made the roster, true. But they do talk to western studios. There’s content from Ubisoft, Wayforward, AND Yacht Club Games already in Smash. Communication between international devs is easier than ever, and translators have existed in the corporate higherarchy for decades.
Basically what I’m saying is. Banjo could happen if they wanted it. And we have every reason to believe that they want it.