Alright. Let me give you my general perspective on Erdrick.
Let me just start by saying that I'm not trying to say Erdrick is definitely not in b/c there's absolutely no evidence that can flat out deconfirm him...
But at the end of the day, how confident you are in Erdrick comes down to 2 factors:
1. How confident you are that "Brave" is Erdrick.
2. How much you trust leakers in the current phase of speculation, which in this case is
DLC.
The 1st one is the one I take considerably more seriously, b/c Brave does have a significant connection to DQ/Erdrick.
Does it outright
confirm that it is Erdrick? No.
Is he the
only character that "Brave" can refer to? Absolutely not.
But it's a somewhat reasonable jump that I can see people making.
The stats can change, so I don't take any of that into account.
Now when it comes to leakers... I'm not super confident in anyone right now.
And that's b/c of 3 major reasons:
1. Not a
single major leaker knew about Joker. The fact that someone like Vergeben, who has successfully leaked every major base roster newcomer minus

(and

, but he's
technically DLC), did not know about Joker is a
little weird.
2. I treat base and DLC speculation
completely separate from each other, especially since there's a possibility that base and DLC characters were
not chosen at the same time.
3. As of right now, the major leakers are 0/1 in terms of DLC (0/2 if you count

except for that one guy who leaked it right before). So I have very little confidence in leakers as a whole. When they get a DLC character
right, I'll reevaluate this point.
So in short, I think Erdrick has a
reasonable chance of getting in. Not a guarantee, but not impossible.
But if you're someone that Erdrick is 100% or 0% guaranteed to get in, then I'm sorry, I think that's a really ****ing stupid conclusion to come to w/ the overall evidence we have now (This is directed to everyone in general, not one specific person).