Well mates, perhaps it's time we spam Sakurai's twitter with
YoshiandToad
's Captain Toad moveset vid? Of the 66 fighters in so far, I have yet to see someone that can zone and manipulate the stage quite like that Captain Toad moveset - perhaps the head honcho might take an interest in it (unless he's seen it already considering how much views it raked up so far?).
I'm still staying optimistic for Captain Toad. He's a distinguished character compared to other toads, and can bring a charm that's lacking on the roster so far. We don't know the whole roster yet, and if not DLC is always an option (considering Sm4sh's DLC success, I'd say it's quite a given and provides more time for character development). It also strikes me odd that Sakurai chose this game all of a sudden to make Toad have a bigger role with so much fighting animations alongside Peach (even stretching limbs!). Despite this, until we see the good Captain and Toadette completely deconfirmed - we do have our chances of a toad on the roster. Toadette's been no slouch either as she's rose to stardom quite quickly too with her repeated major appearances.
We've toughed from disappointment, but I'll still stay rather hopeful that Captain Toad pulls through. Like
Pacack
mentioned, we've gotten at least two Mario newcomers each time and while trends can break (especially with Sakurai in charge), it is the Mario series afterall - super recognizable characters. As mentioned earlier, I too won't feel this is a true
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate without a playable Toad of sorts. Sakurai may have a bias against Toad, but he was pretty generous to up his role this time around while Captain Toad can perhaps rep a new IP under his belt if he gets in.
It's funny, I remember that while growing up I used to wish that Nintendo would distinguish Toad further more by giving him something as simple as a scarf or different clothing with a backstory - and while he may not be the same character apparently, Captain Toad really did fulfill these wishes for me. I wouldn't mind seeing Captain Toad appear in Mario spinoffs either as a playable character as well - could definitely expand on his character compared to how Toad has been treated in recent years.
In terms of Mario spinoffs, Toad has always been an oddball. I remember not liking Camelot for a while due to their habit of excluding Toad (and later Toadette) on their rosters during the GCN era. Seems like Mario Party is trying to force a reboot too with swapping Toad as a host with DK in reversal as well recently.