EternalCrusade
Smash Journeyman
Why is it that no matter what I say, people question my intelligence? I understand all sides of this argument so I may be presenting my views a little awkwardly, but after reading the post by Everalsting, I now see the math behind it and I now see why switching would be succesful 66.66~ percent of the time.Eternal has made me think another thing
People dont actually understand this
they just have people explain it to them sooooooooo many times that they have to say they get it
I get it too i just dont agree with your reasonings. Hiroshi had hungrybox and cpt crunch explain it to him like literally 15 times and he didnt agree every time finally he gave up and said he understood it.
I think you give up too easy theres no way im going to believe one out of the two has more chances of being melee.
You're thinking that when you choose a door and then one of the two losing doors is eliminated, the odds increase to 1/2 because it can't still be 1/3, right? There's no way that it's 1/3, because if it's 1/3, then how would you split up the fractions? 1/3 is the car, 1/3 is the goat that wasn't eliminated...so what's the other 1/3? This would mean that the door you chose has a 1/3 chance of being the car and the door that has been left alone thus far has a 2/3 chance of being the car, which doesn't make any sense since you're splitting 2 things among 2 doors.
But other people are thinking that since at the beginning of the game, the odds were 1/3, those same odds will stay with you forever until the game is won or lost, no matter how many losing doors are shown. So if we have the exact same situation, except with 1000 doors, and it comes down to the last 2, then by staying with your door, your odds are still a very terrible 1/1000, but by switching, you are almost gauranteed to win with a 999/1000 chance. What Everlasting said makes sense when you just sit down and think about it logically, but like I said, I understand all sides to this riddle so I'm contradicting myself, confusing myself, and presenting my arguments awkwardly...