I didn't make this:
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Characters - 48%
Stages - 20%
Game Modes -15%
Items - 10%
Music - 5%
How to Play - 1%
Notices - 1%
We haven't had the Item-How to Play-Item setup very often. All of the times we have though, it's been a character update. Last time, it was Lucas special moves. The time before that was PT's special moves. Not a whole lot to go on honestly, but it just feels like we're about due. Assist trophies in general seem to cue the appearance of a character update the next day.
You know what else we're due for? An F Zero stage, darn it. Anyway I'm thinking it's a race between the top two, Sakurai might have another amazing Game Mode (that's sarcasm by the way) up his sleeve but I'm hoping not. Just for clarification, Items would be normally be higher in this situation, but Fridays and Items aren't too friendly with each other.
Smash - 33%
Pokemon- 20%
Mario - 10%
Zelda - 10%
Kirby - 10%
Sonic - 5%
(The rest were too low to mention)
There have been four How to Play updates in November, most of any month. And we've still got a long way to go before December.
My guess,
Zelda: Special Moves
Bold prediction,
Newcomer: Krystal
Against the odds,
F Zero Stage
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Personally, I'd guess Captain Falcon for tonight.