This is mostly a copy-pasta from Nintenzone, but I am going to share my new mindset regarding how I will speculate for Smash Switch. This is the appropriate section to post this kind of content after all. I may or may not be contradictory, but I will just list everything that comes to mind:
1. Ever since I was gone from this boards, my main interest for the past two years has been consuming anime and manga. Video games have been less of a focus for me. I am more of a person that would rather use my time to watch character-driven stories over gameplay now, playing less Switch games over time.
2. The last Switch game I played was Xenoblade Chronicles 2. I am only at Chapter 8 as of now and it has been months since I last played it. Personally, I have been pretty disappointed not by the story or gameplay, but how the character progression and development is done. I think that aspect falls flat compared to XC1's characters. As interesting as Rex and Pyra would be as playable Smash characters gameplay wise, I have less of a desire to see them in the game. (Also, I have been pretty disappointed with the fanservice. As cool as it is to see Nintendo be riskier with lewdness, the fanservice is too minimal in the story. As someone that loves fan-service in anime now, it makes me disappointed. ;_;
3. I do not think strongly of Sakurai's mindset of choosing new characters and cuts anymore. Despite gaining an large understanding of Sakurai back in Smash 4, how each character is chosen does not get me as excited as before. The criteria of relevancy and business being a somewhat major part of character selection puts a bad taste in my mouth now, but since it is still an important part towards speculating the right characters, I will still have to keep it in mind. Although, I will not hold those factors as highly as before.
4. I cannot look positively towards the way gaming business is handled anymore, my viewpoint with the gaming industry is tainted now due to business practices over the past years like lootboxes. I have somewhat of a similar negative viewpoint with Nintendo, but at this point, I just want to see Nintendo do good and nothing more. I do not care as much in catching up with the latest Nintendo news to see what potential candidates could come to Smash as a result of new games.
5. One thing I can still give Sakurai credit for is choosing candidates based on gameplay potential. It makes speculating much easier for me. The only things I have to think about when speculating is success, relevancy, popularity, and moveset potential. Though, I will not be looking into the nook and cranny as much as you guys. If I have to dig deeper, I will just ask you guys for help. I won't be making fan-made move-sets, but I will simply observe the character traits to see if they have potential and think nothing beyond that.
6. I still think Sakurai is going to pull out several wild-card choices. Even feeling somewhat confident with my speculation roster:
I still think Sakurai will surprise me. Even vouching heavily for Bayonetta in Smash years ago, with the massive third-party support for Switch and the successes of several Nintendo games, Sakurai has a colossal massive selection of choices he could do to throw off speculation by 180 degrees. Though no matter who he chooses, I do not think he will surprise me as much as Cloud being in Smash. I could be wrong though, and he might break the rules like a wild animal and pick Goku or even Master Chief for all that we know.
7. I will not be speculating newcomer clones. That category has too many uncertain factors, and I am afraid of the clone arguments that could ensue. With them being more of a last minute deal, I feel wanting to be right about speculating the right clones would lead in return less of a satisfying self-bragging reward with the inevitable negative reception they will receive when the final roster is leaked and revealed. This is more of a personal preference than anything else.
For me as a speculator, I will just be more of an observer passing by to discuss occasionally when the time is right. I have too many personal matters IRL to be caring about Smash as a #1 priority. Anime/manga and studying for a future career is enough things on my shoulders as it is.