Ok, like, you don't have to believe everything Verge says, but he did undeniably get a lot of hard stuff right, stuff you wouldn't know without insider information or a lot of luck.
But here's the thing: He probably has a lot of sources, a lot of potentially lying sources too. Geno IS a very safe bet, yes, but that interview probably confirmed something his source said to him and made him believe it enough to share it now, since he's shared a lot of untrue information before.
He should be believed with a grain of salt, but if you don't think he has insider information at this point, it's pretty much denial like others have said.