What's funny is that I was coming around to the idea of Rayman being in the game because it actually looked like things were going pretty well in his favor. However, I do think GoldLiger's point is a strong one. The timing couldn't be worse and this certainly seems like a bonafide strike against Rayman.
Honestly I want Gardevoir the most of any newcomer pokemon
I think her chances may be slept on.
I'm personally on the train that thinks the Gardevoir "leak" has some viability to it, or at the very least the logic behind it. Think about it; would Sakurai really take all of the Pokemon votes on the Smash Ballot and throw them out entirely just to follow the quota of "new gen rep"? It would basically mean that if you voted for an older generation Pokemon that your vote was meaningless and was going to be thrown out no matter what. That honestly doesn't sit right with me.
Though hey, status quo and all.
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Personally, I'm thinking these guys are the front-runners at the moment:
Unique
- Isaac
- Bandana Dee
- A Pokemon (possibly older or a new gen)
- Geno
- Shantae
Echoes
- Dixie Kong
- Isabelle (could also be unique)
- Impa
- Shadow
- Ken *
* I doubt he did well on the ballot but it's still possible as an easy gimme.
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I think that Banjo & Kazooie, while a perfect fit for the game, are going to be a difficult legal situation and possibly saved for DLC. I've also excluded any newer picks or old school methodology because I'm honoring the idea that the ballot is taking priority (which is also, frankly, her only shot of getting in).
I know "muh relevancy" doesn't matter as much as people make it out to be but I do think it's a good thing that Shantae's only real competitors on that front are Bandana Dee and a Pokemon. It's also a point in her favor that Nintendo are taking strides to promote indie titles more fervently. Shantae could easily be a gateway for the indie section and a completely sound business strategy.
And it helps that WayForward would be ridiculously easy to work with.
Literally the only real thing in her way are shallow hang-ups on her indie status, which are pretty meaningless wholesale. "She's an indie character. An indie has never been in before." And?
Precedent gets broken routinely in Smash. There'd be no legal fiasco, they probably wouldn't even have to pay to use her, she ticks every single box according to Sakurai's design philosophy (brings something new to the table, unique silhouette, expressive), she's relevant and contributes to a business strategy, and she's a popular ballot pick...
She has a chance.