To be honest, i don't think that Skull Kid is likely. The character is great and could be really unique but he didn't have a big popularity until recent weeks (bandwagon effect). I don't think that we can compare his popularity to many characters' popularity. I'd be surprised but still really happy to see him getting in the game. I really think that Shantae is far more likely than Skull Kid since she's FAR more popular than him since we know for a fact that she did well in the ballot.
I'm gonna get this off my chest. I realize there's no real basis of comparison between Shantae and Skull Kid. However...
I cannot shake this deep gut feeling that if Skull Kid gets in, it spells bad news for Shantae. I know, it literally makes no sense. I can't explain it--it's just a strange, even conspiracy-esque, gut feeling. I know that at any point, DLC is always an option. I know that Shantae has so many things potentially going for her (and I prefer her between the two, even though I like the idea of Skull Kid as well).
Logically, there shouldn't be any issues between the two. My head keeps telling me this, and I continue to follow it. My gut just keeps casting doubt. And for some reason it's just Skull Kid my gut can't get past. Not any of the others frequently tossed around like Isaac, Geno, or even Banjo.
Maybe they are very disappointed Shantae isn't in that they don't want to think about smash anymore and overall don't want to give smash the bare minimum of spotlight
In addition to not having Shantae in
any of the indie fighting games? Yeah, that's a thing too. Tons of other arguably less-popular indie characters getting in those along with indie "heavy-hitters" like Shovel Knight. It's all part of the reason so many people here are suspecting a NDA.
Thats still kind of rude to all the fans who are left completely in the dark.
A complete 180 from the Sm4sh era, and their historical openness towards getting Shantae in other various indie projects (i.e. her being MIA in indie
fighting games, but not other genres).