After the whole Ashley thing, I refuse to ever think a character has more than a 50% chance of getting in. With that said, Shantae has so much going for her right now, and is (while not the most likely) more likely than B-K, Skull Kid (he’s not nearly at K. Rool levels in popularity), Geno (who appeared in only one game, and with Square being Square, I doubt he made the cut, because being popular only gets you so far when owned by a third party that isn’t the most reasonable, just look at cloud’s music selection), and Isaac (his franchise is actually completely dead). At this point the only things I’m considering to be even remote locks are Bandana Dee and a pokemon (I REALLY hope it’s Sceptile. He’s been the most wanted pokemon for smash for far too long, and deserves that spot more than any SM flavor of the month pokemon that gamefreak would choose, considering he is probably the longest requested pokemon for smash, being in the speculation for both brawl and smash 4)