Mmk, well here's my most recent roster.
I took a couple gambles which I'll explain, I suppose a couple are a bit biased, but hey, what's a good roster without a bit of bias.
View attachment 1491
Obviously the bottom 4 are the "hidden characters" So like in Brawl, there are 4 characters that aren't shown in the actual roster.
The stats:
49 characters, with 45 being on the roster. 30 vets, 15 newcomers, it seems like a solid prediction to me, however, 15 newcomers certainly made it tough to really settle on the most likely final 3, and I'll explain why I went with Jr. Lyn, and Isaac.
Anyway,
-6 Mario characters: Well technically Paper Mario is the Mario RPG franchise, which is different enough if Yoshi can be different. But looking at it from a playstyle POV, there's nothing preventing both Paper Mario and Bowser Jr. from getting in. Both have tons of unique moveset potential, both are recent in Mario entries, both are fairly popular requests. I can definitely see that happening, especially with 15 newcomers to fill. Plus Mario being Nintendo's flagship franchise can get away with the most representation.
-Is that Impa I see, where's Sheik?: This is one of my gambles. Aside from the usual talk we hear Diddy say about Sheik being rather unimportant, the main reason I do this is for balance issues for Zelda's sake. I'd much rather have her be alone and a solid Zoning character. Even in P:M she suffers from having Down B Sheik, they need not be together, and if you really like Sheik that much, she can be an Alt for Impa, who'd most likely see only minor changes from what Sheik can do (though I'd opt for a totally new moveset with the same playstyle in mind).
-Isaac and Shulk: I see Shulk as a solid candidate. Isaac I've been on the fence about, but that's mostly cause I still haven't gotten around to playing GS. His popularity is what got him in in my eyes. I know he's got tons of unique moveset potential so that certainly makes him a viable and likely option going by Sakurai's current approach. Also, him and Shulk are rather different (Shulk has his neat extendo sword). Also, 'X' has no say in Shulk getting in or not. The newer protag coul always replace Shulk in future Smash games.
-Lyn over Roy? That's totally biased: Yes, it is... But I'm gambling on the fact that Sakurai is going for gameplay over popularity. This really raises Lyn's chances imo. It all depends to Takamaru and what Sakurai does with him though. I was originally gonna go with no FE newcomers, but since I needed to add 3 more, Lyn won out over the other options in my eyes.
-Snake is back, didn't you say you thought he'd be cut?: Yes I did, but out of the 5 cuts, many people felt that he should return, and as objective as I wanna be, I'd love to have Snake back. So I let my bias get the better of me on this one too. I don't see Pac-Man or any other 3rd parties happening. Snake depends on the rights to his character though.
-As for the cuts...?: Well, IC like I've said suffer from the AI issue. I like to think that like Diddy+Dixie, this will be the nail in their coffin, shame too as I like Duo characters. Toon Link, Falco, and Lucas are all very clone-like characters, and with Sakurai's new approach toward gameplay and uniqueness are very likely to be low priority entries. If we do get them, we might see them as post-development DLC, alongside Roy. Jigglypuff is another low priority character considering she barely made Brawl, so another for the grave or DLC.
So yeah, anyway, that's it. Thoughts? I don't think I'll stray from this one (ok, I might, I'm always changing my mind about things and adapting to the current ideas).