Adumb still town. Chibo is still likely town. His 855 is bizarre to me, but I can't put my finger on why.
Nix' 883 was his first post in ages. I have a null on his playerslot and am generally just baffled. Needs to post more.
Same for Beat and JTB and DH. 910 is odd from JTB, he shouldn't be intentionally not posting. 921, he posts despite saying otherwise. 928 and 929, from JTB and Beat respectively, are small tells of their own. Asking people not to replace out when they're clearly committed to doing so makes you look town, I did it in FE. Could be null. Beat's 929 is a defense of Chibo's breaking strategy, which is curious in that Beat is inserting himself into the action without really being a part of it. Implies Chibo/Beat, but it's non-pursuable unless Chibo were to flip scum, like a chainsaw defense. Same with JTB's 939.
Swiss' picks, while presumably gut, were very good and jive with what I thought in reading the Day. Ran was scummy, Red Ryu was scummy, DH was scummy. All of these people tried to break Chibo's advance, but did so without expressing a pro-town reason. These three players appear to have wanted to halt the process that would "clear" 7 people, but without the proper reasoning, there's no pro-town motivation here. It seems that they just didn't want there to be town clears.
Ryu in particular was scummy, of the three. I agree with WL in that Ryu did absolutely nothing, aside from protesting to Chibo's clearing strategy. DH went along with it eventually when he seemed to understand what the point was. Ran is in more or less of the same boat as Ryu, but I've played with Ran much more and can see him doing what he did as town, despite not having good reason to.
Ryu's 760 appears opportunistic and takes advantage of what was going on between WL and Joey. The post makes him look like he's playing the game and on top of things, when he isn't. 887 again, the same things. He begins to take an aggressive stance against Chibo
Ran never explained the reason for his vote in 792, despite being asked in 793 and posting after that point. His 833 seems to resign himself to a WL lynch, but no vote comes at that point. He seems to think that WL's flip will be tied in to Joey's reasoning for not wanting a WL lynch, which is odd in that he doesn't have reason to think that. 901 is absolutely bizarre.
DH hasn't posted much. Not sure what he's getting at in 938.
Chaco and Kat hadn't yet posted when Swiss first posted his picks, but they were on there. I have gut on the two of them, but in reading their previous games I've found that I typically do. Chaco in particular is a player I haven't played with, whose play in other games I haven't been a fan of. I don't like his 783, but I can respect that he might not have known how to approach the situation that went on between that and his previous post. His next post is a vote for WL and seems to confirm that. He uses the phrase "start fresh tomorrow" which seems to imply that he's expecting a town flip from WL, but I think that's probably my own quibble over wording. 835 isn't a fair post in the slightest though; WL can't do anything without being given time in which to do it, and Joey didn't resign from voting, he had his vote on Ran and made a case for that vote.
Kat I've played with, and have some experience reading. Despite my gut, I find some posts of his that look town. There's also not much content there to look at. It's confusing that he supported a Swiss lynch despite not liking the clearing strategy. 935 is a strange reinsertion that I'm not a fan of.
Seph's 747 stands out to me as a particularly scummy post, and I'd like him to elaborate on his leads based on the WL flip. And then he needs to demonstrate that he is following those leads toDay. 750 also was ugly and Seph shows no signs of attempting to reevaluate. 772 takes one small piece of WL's 762 and calls fault on it but ignores the rest of the post entirely. More to the point, none of that post was addressed to him, but to Chibo. Seph had no reason to take the tone that he did.
Vote: Red Ryu
FOS: Seph