Ayo, I'll weigh in a bit on Phoenix Wright, the other two I don't think are very likely for this fighter pass, but hey, anything's possible, and I hope people are happy and I'm sure Sakurai and the team hopes for the same. Anyway,
Phoenix Wright!
Chance: ...tsk, at least 60%
Seems most people are worried about Resident Evil cause it's all big and successful, and hey, whoever wants a Resident Evil character, good luck, I'm sure they could get creative and make em fun. But personally, I've just seem way more fan demand for Wright than any Resident Evil character. I kinda bet Wright got more votes on the official ballot than Leon or Jill combined, and I think that's because Resident Evil gets plenty of spotlight already, and Smash doesn't really feel like home for them? Phoenix has wayyy more exclusivity with Nintendo and is considered a DS icon! Yeah, Leon's Resident Evil 4 was big on the gamecube, but Phoenix is so exclusive that sooo many people I talk to get surprised when I say he's a 3rd party, a Capcom character, they always figured he was Nintendo! They've updated their site now so I can't get a source ugh, so I guess take this with a grain of salt, but I remember an official Nintendo UK site highlighting characters, Mario, Link, Kirby, etc, and Phoenix Wright was there as the only non-Nintendo character because he's family, he's that close, Smash is home! Seeing Banjo get in from pure fan demand and Nintendo being home for them, I just don't worry about Resident Evil as competition much, from my limited perspective, I just see Phoenix get way more fan hopes than any Resident Evil character, on fan polls (which, you can't take
too seriously, but they're all we have) one's from reddit and source gaming with huge numbers and attempting to reach as wide of an audience as possible, Phoenix gets in the top 10 and I don't see any Resident Evil rep rank, like, at all...!
As for other competition, eh, Dante seems to have been deconfirmed, twice counting the Kamiya poll, which I do, and Monster Hunter already got the best representation in could in Rathalos. Amaterasu is even more niche than Ace Attorney, and even then I think she's been deconfirmed by the Kamiya poll too. She'd be cool though! And for those that don't know, a couple weeks after DLC was finalized Kamiya tweeted a poll asking his fans who they'd rather have in Smash and the poll included Dante, Amaterasu, Viewtiful Joe, and Wonder Red. It got taken down like a day later cause he got annoyed by some replies, but I believe if any of those characters were in, he would have gotten a call before he put the poll up, and even if what was finalized was "one of those characters" than why wouldn't they just use the ballot, and the poll wasn't even allowed to finish, it just seems like Kamiya didn't get a call and was curious that day.
So, if we get a Capcom character, I really believe Phoenix is the number one choice, and for overall competition, he's a great choice with no problems! Sora is a big want that I'm sure did great on the ballot, but Disney owns him entirely and can be scary. A Mortal Kombat character usually isn't as fun when they can't be as violent, people still make fun of MKvsDC. Seems like the honest competition left is Crash, umm, maybe Lloyd Irving, aaand...umm...well, I mean...I don't want to be naive, but I guess that's it. And hey, people like Sora still have a shot, but y'know, just harder to say! Other cool characters like Layton also have a shot, but (from what I've seen) aren't really close to Phoenix's fan demand? The only competition (from what I've seen) at Phoenix's level is like...Crash aaand...I mean, yeah, that's about it I thiiink...everyone else is either deconfirmed, a spirit, an assist trophy, and hey, there's no solid rule that assists and spirits can't be DLC, but y'know...
Smash also prioritizes bringing in unique characters, and no one can fight like Phoenix! While we already have people that shoot guns or swing swords, Phoenix actually has a lot of potential and could have a totally fresh moveset! I've had people wonder how he'd fight since he's a lawyer, and I remind em of Isabelle and Wii Fit Trainer! Isabelle is also, like, just a mayor's assistant? And Wii Fit Trainer is just trying to have and give a good work out! Phoenix would be out on the field just lawyering, trying to provide evidence that makes a strong case! If anyone wants to see some possibilities, I made a biiig concept vid for Phoenix here, with timestamps and everything, so skip around to see what you want to see if you want!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ybB1fpE8maY Phoenix also offers fun stage possibilities (but it's GATTA be some form of the courtroom) and lots of iconic music! Be careful exploring it though, you might look up a great Ace Attorney track and see youtube recommendations like "Case 5 final boss breakdown" with a very revealing thumbnail, sooo, maybe listen to the music in some incognito mode or something, maybe delete history haha, Ace Attorney is my favorite series and the story is a huuuuuge part of it, I'd hate to ruin it for anyone!
Want: 0%
I hate Phoenix. Pffft, nah, nah
100% He's been my most wanted since after I found about him after Brawl, before Smash 4. When I saw Megaman I figured maybe DLC, but Ryu first of course, but maybe now's the time...! I really hope it is! If not...oh well, hope whoever the last two are make people happy, they've done a great job so far and I'm really happy for the Joker, Hero, and definitely Banjo fans! I have no personal attachment to any of em, and Joker isn't really my style, but he's fun enough to play, and these other two look great too! And they'll be fun to fight too, especially when their passionate fans are using em! Anyway, my hopes for Phoenix have been high since November, there's no lowering em now! I'm ready to see a Leon trailer and say congrats to his fans and try to shake off whatever feelings come along with that, ready to experience what Isaac fans went though...!
Anyway, it's fun to organize my thoughts and feelings like this and read how all yall feel too, hope this ramble was fun for readers too!