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Not any more than any other semi-popular pokemon. You could look at every Pokemon Sakurai considered but ultimately decided against and put them in the exact same boat.
I don't share Louie's view on Crash's chances, I'm more bullish on him. Though in this case it just means I think he's a plausible addition, not necessarily one of exceedingly high odds.
There have been many characters that had high popularity endure the length Crash's has (which is roughly one era) and haven't been in. Ridley, K Rool, Banjo and Sora had popularity start at least two games before they got in, if not three. And we still have several characters of game-spanning high popularity who aren't fighters.
But the argument isn't whether Smash could land Crash. I'm sure they could, if they wanted to. Luck isn't particularly germane to the argument you're making, and in fact supports Louie's argument that Sora is indeed not a good parallel.
I think what Louie is saying is that Banjo's specific history with Nintendo is unique, which is true, and that makes him a poor parallel for other characters who have similarities in the content/timeframe of the IP, like Crash, but lack the same kind of relationship Banjo has to Nintendo, represented via Smash.
Last time I checked, Crash does have fan demand during the Wii U/3DS era. Let's not forget that unlike Banjo, Crash was pretty much one of the main faces of the Playstation/Sony era during the PS1/PS2 and was considered a "rival" to Mario. Outside of Sonic, very few characters get that recognition. All the games were very solid and well received throughout the PS1 and most of PS2 era.
I have a hard time seeing Crash as being the series MS chooses to float though. From the perspective of the company, it's hardly their most important series, and right now its future seems ill-defined. To me Crash seems more like a choice made for the token fan spot rather than by the IP holder.
Hell, one of the biggest arguments for him, the anime, does not apply to Pokemon Horizons. There's a main character who has a Pikachu still, but not one with a Meowth.
I see the doomslayer as the fps rep before master chief.
I really want to see either an Alphen/Shionne tag duo, Velvet Crowe, or Nightmare for the next Bandai-Namco character. I’m also a big fan of Astaroth but I don’t think he’s nearly important enough for real consideration.
Yeah, altough i would also add the chosen undead at the mix.
Aside from the obvious choices, I want to see Valkyrie, a character from Namco’s earlier days in the arcade scene.
Mergers?
Ey i never asked for Zelda Breakfast cereals!
Microsoft bought Bethesda, who had previously bought id Software. They also have bought the merged together Activision-Blizzard. I guess it's good that, at the very least, they seem chummy with Nintendo a bit, which slightly lessens the monopolization, but still. Also, if they weren't all under the same company, we'd have to worry less about them being "competing reps".
Yeah, I’m not sure exactly how third party slots are chosen but it still doesn’t quite feel right to group Bethesda, Activision, Blizzard, and RARE all under a single “Microsoft character” slot. Despite all now being owned by Microsoft, they all have their own unique histories separate from that. That’s probably the least of our problems with big company mergers in the grand scheme of things but it does potentially directly relate to Smash.
Lloyd honestly. He's been reuested for so many years i dont see any other tales of character getting in.
Yeah, but for example, what if sony buys a big company like square enix or capcom.
I’ll agree that Lloyd is the most likely despite my lack of personal interest in the character but I wouldn’t write off Alphen and Shionne. Tales of Arise just got a big DLC story so the characters are relevant again. ToA is still the most recent Tales game so that might factor in as well.
Well this next Smash will be the first one Master Chief is a non-ironic, popular choice from the beginning, with the knowledge that 1) we can get western characters, 2) we can get competitor characters, and MS will likely be again present, 3) they seem to have somewhat laxed guns.
Could happen. Though ironically Master Chief does have a better presence in Japan. And is overall a more well-known character.
Yep. The chance of getting a MS character increases, but the chance of getting multiple of these characters, especially all three, decreases.
That is how it's gonna work, though. It's not like we're currently like "we have one Rare character and one Mojang character". I mean, we do, but that's not how it's really treated, for the most part. We generally say "we have two MS characters".
Well, not really. Not if Nintendo just "strongly suggests" they be added.
I think characters should be chosen on their individual merits rather than as any kind of company representation. I don’t think we have conclusive evidence that they decide on characters in order to give third parties equal representation. Has Sakurai ever implied that there’s some kind of limit on how many characters a single third party developer can have or that they included any character just because a particular developer owns them?
Then we can say goodbye to the Square Enix or Capcom characters.
I think they are based on character/series merit, for the most part. As in, I don't think characters are added to be "x company rep" (Terry aside), and if the company has a shallow repertoire, I don't think they would force another character for the sake of it. Like, I think we've gotten all the IPs we're gonna get from Disney. Sorry, Monkey Island fans.
Ngl, anyone other than Tales or Dark Souls (and Elden Ring, if a port happens) would surprise me. Including SoulCalibur.
Nightmare [Soulcalibur]
i was just half joking, i only see square enix being bought.
Yuri as well, he's a popular request mostly competing with Lloyd for a Tales of rep.
Characters don't get cut for balance reasons. As the idea that they should is downright silly. If you're making a new game, you can just tweak the unfun parts.
What about Yuri Lowell?
I really liked Yuri as a protagonist. While he has more than enough to work with on his own for a moveset, I really want to see something adjacent to the Ice Climbers with him and Repede. I just think a warrior and animal companion is a great archetype and he could fit that really well. Again, it’s not really necessary but I think it would be fun. Other options for a similar moveset are H’aanit and Linde from Octopath Traveller or Nia and Dromarch from Xenoblade.
He is my second option for a tales of rep honestly.
I was inevitable.
The only reason I bring that point up is because Lloyd is always the assumed Tales character if we get one. I do think he’s still the most likely but I don’t think it’s a sure thing. Add that to the fact that Lloyd is probably my least favorite Tales protagonist and that some of the others are among my favorite characters in gaming and that’s why I like to talk about alternatives.
I mean, it wouldn't be the first time Smash speculation drove itself into a corner for no reason.
That was a general sentiment back in the Smash 4 days, when there was a huge anti-third party sentiment among the fanbase and it was usually only the more cartoon mascot-like characters that were even talked about, especially once it was officially confirmed that Snake was cut.
