Actually there’s a lot more first party candidates left but the hivemind has decided to go full steam ahead to the big new and shiny third parties and has lazily adopted a framework of “Haha first party is Waluigi or new“. Disregarding first parties is honestly really annoying especially when trojan horsed into a post about how the purists are gatekeeping and third party should undeniably be the future of Smash
Real cool of you trying to turn me into your boogeyman and a representation of your complaints about the Smash community. Literally if you read the piece you would see that at no point did I say that first party speculation was bad. At best, you can say that I justify why Smash speculation has moved on from First Parties as a whole,. If you want to speculate on first parties and view the roster as having more gaps, go ahead. No one is stopping you in this more open era of speculation. Just don't go projecting your frustrations about the changes to the smash community on me.
In terms of fan requests that are Ridley K Rool big, there really are only... 3-4. Waluigi, Isaac, Bandana Dee, and maybe Dixie Kong. Most first party requests nowadays just are not that big anymore. Most of the big first party requests have either had their fanbases die out like Krystal, got in already like Mac Palu Shulk K Rool Ridley and Inkling, or end up becoming a big request like Decidueye just because they are the new hotness.
Smash right now has been about filling in gaps in Nintendo's roster since Brawl, and right now there are not too many gaps left to fill. Outside of maybe Kirby it feels like most of the big Nintendo franchises are well represented. Spaltoon and Animal Crossing could easily get another rep, and new franchises that hit it big like the two I mentioned will probably get in. But the smash masses have seemed to have moved on from the days where characters like Adeline could make big waves in Smash. If we do get a next smash, it likely will end up having predominantly picks that are relevant to the Switch era at the end of the day. Brawl's newcomers outside of retros and third parties did end up predominantly from the GBA/GC/DS era. Smash 4's ended up being mainly the Wii/DS/3DS era. Ultimate...well to be honest the late 3DS and Wii U era were kind of barren for big easy picks to go for, but we got Inkling Incineroar and Isabelle to show off some of the few big successes Nintendo had, as well as stages for Odyssey and BOTW, the two switch games in development before Ultimate. Even with the DLC, we filled in some cracks for Switch representation with Byleth, Aegis, and Min.
Don't go making me into your boogeyman just because the Smash fanbase has noticed the trend towards third parties and how first party representation has worked since Brawl. Ten out of our twenty three newcomers were third party if you include echos. If you don't, its still eight out of eighteen that were third party. Compare that to 4 or Brawl, and
Sorry, but I want it back to being a Nintendo all star game again, otherwise Waluigi will never be playable. They care too much about big third party characters because it makes them too much money.
Waluigi is literally one of the last big first party requests left right now, take your bait and wait for a few years.
I would like cuts in the next game because there are several characters currently playable that I would just rather not have playable. Ultimate's roster is, well, a mess: too many third parties with no Nintendo relation, grandfathered Melee clones that made some sense circa 2001 but make almost no sense now, and a few too many recency picks over the years that have now become outdated. We don't even need to go over the details on how strange the representation is for franchises like Zelda and FE. There's no actual direction or coherence to the roster, especially when it comes to the seemingly random selection of third party characters, and this could be rectified with a new game that focuses on the Nintendo portion of the roster and attempts to fully, completely, and coherently represent Nintendo's history. Ultimate is a hodge-podge because they brought everyone back without evaluating if those characters even made sense anymore, and then went hard on third parties to try to turn Smash into the "celebration of gaming" that it is unlikely to ever realistically become.
Literally the only clone that does not make sense out of the melee roster is Ganon, who is divisive in terms of getting a rework. Zelda representation is fine because there literally are what, two recurring characters not in Smash in Impa and Tingle? FE representation has done good strides with stuff like Robin, Corrin, and Byelth all attempting to show off other facets of FE like the weapons triangle, weapon durability and magic, and transformations.
Smash has evolved into a celebration of gaming according to
its own creator, hence why our third parties either are big third parties for their company or close to Nintendo. In terms of close to Nintendo, you have Mega Man, Sonic, Bayonetta, Banjo Kazooie, the Belmonts, and arguably the Shotos and Hero. If not, the Shotos are from the biggest fighting game of all time. Dragon Quest is one of the biggest JRPG series of all time. Fatal Fury and SNKs fighters have had a strong influence on the genre. Tekken is massive in terms of fighting games. Final Fantasy 7 and Metal Gear Solid are legendary games that have shaped gaming discourses for almost 25 years. Persona 5 is the biggest JRPG release of the past ten years. Minecraft is the biggest game of all time. If even the most niche third parties like Terry and Joker have arguments for a celebration of gaming, I think its clear the selection was not "random". Bringing everone back was done because characters like Snake, Wolf, and Ice Climbers were massive fan requests after their cuts.
Ever since Brawl, Smash's roster was chosen less in terms of filling cracks in terms of arbitrary representation and more about filling cracks left due to a new generation. Brawl added many long standing picks like Wario, Dedede, or Diddy, but all those picks were relevant at the time as well and Brawl made no secret how it was repping the GC/GBA/DS era. Literally, responding to someone else above I outlined how Smash 4 and Ultimate do that. If you want some sort of purified roster where everyone "makes sense", you will never get that. That just is not how Smash rosters work, they are messy and have decisions that very few people see coming.
Nintendo's history is represented well in Smash. There are a few smaller series that could make the cut to get shown off, such as Astral Chain, Ring Fit, Golden Sun, and Wars, but Smash has done a good job showing off Nintendo history. The spirit battles are a great way to show off Nintendo history as well, with a lot of love going into making an event match that fits with any of the hundreds of Nintendo Spirits, with characters, music, and battle conditions that work out for it. The music for smash as well has done a great job of representing Nintendo as a whole. While some songs are absent that are missed like Wario Deluxe or God Shattering Star, you have a wide assortment of songs that aim to show the soul of each series. The stages all are also done to give as good a grasp into a series as possible while being a backdrop for fighting. Even in terms of existing franchises, the only ones that are arguably underrepresented are Kirby and Zelda. Everything else got plenty of love coming into Ultimate, had its cracks filled, or getting another character at this point would be gravy. Nowadays, Splatoon and Animal Crossing arguably could get another rep each, but these holes came after Ultimate.
Odds are, whatever next game exists will be done with a similar mindset to 4 and Ultimate, especially given what Sakurai himself has said in his column and how he does view that he might work on smash again for the next one. We will probably end up getting something very similar to Ultimate in its DNA with a lot of the same love and care put into representing gaming as well as possible, showing off classic Nintendo series, third parties that are massive, and and filling whatever little cracks there are after the Switch era. Given what hill you have chosen to die on, you probably wont be happy given how much you have ignored how much of Nintendo's history is celebrated because they dared to add someone like Cloud.