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Nintendo doesn't really go to those kind of events either. Not Nintendo of Japan anyway. It was noted in this topic a bit ago. So it's not sensible to use an event they don't use as is.And, I mean, this isn't me saying "Erdrick, defined as the Dragon Quest III hero, won't appear", just that "It'd be a little more sensible to get a reveal at or around TGS if one of them is Erdrick, the Dragon Quest III hero".
So he would still get in, it just doesn't have to be E3 is all. Like how many are expecting Banjo or Steve to ride-or-die at E3.
There's probably some other event that works besides e3, though.