In regards to Sakurai saying a character must be unique, I don't think it necessarily means the character has to have different moves so much as to play differently from others. This can be applied to everyone, even clones, as you can't just transfer your style to one character.
I'm willing to hear from SmashChu (or any active Shulk supporter like him) on why Shulk is likely, but I don't really see Shulk in Smash. Nothing indicates that Sakurai would like to see Shulk in Smash and I feel that it's popularity is overstated. While Xenoblade may have universal critical acclaim, I feel that the hype for Shulk will die down as we get further and further from Xenoblade's North American release (as has been happening to Ghirahim and Victini). Perhaps it will remain strong in Japan, but we have to remember that Sakurai looks outside of Japan for what people want to see and outside of Japan, Isaac, Little Mac, and Saki all beats him. The best I feel he'll reach is beating both Starfy and Ray in popularity (currently) and even then, as I stated before, I doubt it'll hold.
As for the Duck Hunt Dog, I'm not sure why people say he isn't getting in. I find it likely that we'll get a character few people expect. Like Arcadenik said, people don't hate him, they LOVE to hate him. Some people suggest Sheriff due to them thinking that he was the first character created by Nintendo, but that's not true. Another character I could see as the unexpected one is Diskun, but I think Duck Hunt Dog is more likely, especially with being 20x more well known than Sheriff/Diskun.
Finally, covering Sonic and Snake. If this was a roster on who I feel should be in a 53 character situation, I would bring back all Brawl veterans and swap 6th gen Pokemon and Duck Hunt Dog with Sonic and Snake since they do deserve to be in (although I still between a 6th gen and Duck Hunt Dog are good choices). And if I were to expand said prediction roster to 58 characters, I would add both back. Sadly, I feel that cuts are likely to happen and I think that third-parties veterans are the lowest priority since there has never been a case where third-parties returned in another cross-over game in the sequel unless it was developed by said company and this game is not being developed by Sega or Konami.
@Luco and berseker01: Nice to see ya again! Oh and Luco, your music is awesome.
Here's a remix from Mega Man 10
you will love. Same goes to all Mega Man fans.
Johnknight1's #100905 said:
You remind me a lot of the guy who ran the Mega Man pre-Brawl thread.
I'm gonna run the Toon/Young Link thread and a thread for character predictions (based around my character picks) once Smash Wii U/3DS get their own board(s).
I will as well and it will be as awesome as yours. Remember, I came up with the idea of being Wiseguy's successor first.
Johnknight1's #100905 said:
I think Tails is very possible. I have him as a sleeper pick of mine.
I guess I could see Tails if Sonic became a permanent guess and we were a few games off, but I feel it's a bit premature to add both in this time.
Johnknight1's #100905 said:
* From Smash 64 to Melee, the roster size increased by 14 to 26. From Melee to Brawl, the roster size increased by 13 to 39. So naturally the roster size increasing from Brawl to Smash 4 would be 12 characters to a grand total of 51 characters.
I don't think there's any consistency based off only one decline in increase of characters. While the increase have been between twelve and fourteen characters per game, there's no real pattern to show up how large the roster will be. It could be our largest expansion, it could be more conservative with it's expansion, and it could just as likely be a similar amount of expansion that we got in the last three games.
Johnknight1's #100905 said:
* 3 years development will be the minimum. Don't forget, this is 2 games we are talking about, not 1. I wouldn't be surprised if it took 4 or 5 years, but 3 1/2 is what I expect.
Sakurai stated that the game would take two to three years. 3 1/2 might be possible if Sakurai starts with a 2 1/2-3 years development, but I don't think we should expect an gigantic amount of time in development as there is only so much money they can throw at this game before they have to release it.
KumaOso said:
I get the feeling that the WiiU version will come out first followed by the 3DS one. That being said, I think a simultaneous release has its merits too.
I'm going to say we're getting a simultaneous release. I think Sakurai wants to be able to sell both version as well as possible and having one version released later could affect it's sale, especially if it's the 3DS version.
Johnknight1's #100919 said:
-Shigeru Miyamoto says he can get any character in smash he wants.
Forgot to add this as a reason for why I picked Toad as the Mario newcomer in my prediction roster. Toad is, after all, one of Miyamoto's favorite characters and one that easily came up.
@Young Horsetail: Yeah, it seems like it. Even Pieman0920 shows up from time to time.