ShinyRegice
Smash Lord
Jigglypuff: I don't believe that she will be cut. Even if she's maybe not as popular as SSB64 times, being one of the original 12 makes her pretty much untouchable because joining the battle in previous Smash instalments automatically make any character relevant. New Fairy-type also helps her a lot for current revelancy.
Mewtwo: I really want him to be back because it's an unique opportunity in the Smash history. Of all SSBM cut character, Mewtwo is the only one to not be a clone as well as the only one to have gained popularity and revelancy (well, except maybe for Young Link with OoT remake, but it's nothing compared to Mewtwo); if he doesn't return back that would be a huge missed opportunity. Unless Sakurai thinks that cut characters should never return back, or if he thinks himself that six Pokémon characters would be overkill (something I consider unlikely because I don't imagine him cutting someone for the sake of slot competition), there is little reason for Mewtwo to not returning back in Smash 4 as a playable character. I consider him as more likely than not, but not guaranteed.
Sceptile: this one seems to be the unrealistic option that everyone takes too seriously. The are too main arguments for Sceptile as a playable Pokémon newcommer: starter triangle completion, and Hoenn remakes. But really I consider those arguments as very weak. Charizard and Greninja are not in because they're starters, but for other reasons. Charizard is more of a legacy of Pokémon Trainer than anything else, and Greninja was chosen because IIRC Sakurai wanted a gen VI Pokémon as a playable character and he loved his design. If he chosen something like Aegislash or Hawlucha really we wouldn't have all of this speculation about Sceptile. Also ORAS games are pretty much irrelevant to SSB4 IMO, they release after the 3DS instalment and upcoming Pokémon games doesn't need the Smash promotion treatment; Omega Ruby and Alpha Sapphire are going to be a commercial success, and that's pretty much set in stone, without needing Smash's help.
Unless Sakurai thought "Oh, I added a Water starter in addition to Charizard, let's add a Grass starter to complete the trio!", I seriously doubt that Sceptile has any chance, at least it was justified in SSBB because every starter could transform into another during battle. Plus isn't like the Grass-Fire-Water triangle in Pokémon is what Triforce is to The Legend of Zelda anyway.
tl;dr version:
Jigglypuff: original 12, Fairy-type, pretty much guaranted.
Mewtwo: unique opportunity to return him back, not so much against him besides competition, more likely than not IMO.
Sceptile: wanted mostly because of the presence of two other characters + ORAS context, but overall his arguments aren't very solid and are easily countered.
Mewtwo: I really want him to be back because it's an unique opportunity in the Smash history. Of all SSBM cut character, Mewtwo is the only one to not be a clone as well as the only one to have gained popularity and revelancy (well, except maybe for Young Link with OoT remake, but it's nothing compared to Mewtwo); if he doesn't return back that would be a huge missed opportunity. Unless Sakurai thinks that cut characters should never return back, or if he thinks himself that six Pokémon characters would be overkill (something I consider unlikely because I don't imagine him cutting someone for the sake of slot competition), there is little reason for Mewtwo to not returning back in Smash 4 as a playable character. I consider him as more likely than not, but not guaranteed.
Sceptile: this one seems to be the unrealistic option that everyone takes too seriously. The are too main arguments for Sceptile as a playable Pokémon newcommer: starter triangle completion, and Hoenn remakes. But really I consider those arguments as very weak. Charizard and Greninja are not in because they're starters, but for other reasons. Charizard is more of a legacy of Pokémon Trainer than anything else, and Greninja was chosen because IIRC Sakurai wanted a gen VI Pokémon as a playable character and he loved his design. If he chosen something like Aegislash or Hawlucha really we wouldn't have all of this speculation about Sceptile. Also ORAS games are pretty much irrelevant to SSB4 IMO, they release after the 3DS instalment and upcoming Pokémon games doesn't need the Smash promotion treatment; Omega Ruby and Alpha Sapphire are going to be a commercial success, and that's pretty much set in stone, without needing Smash's help.
Unless Sakurai thought "Oh, I added a Water starter in addition to Charizard, let's add a Grass starter to complete the trio!", I seriously doubt that Sceptile has any chance, at least it was justified in SSBB because every starter could transform into another during battle. Plus isn't like the Grass-Fire-Water triangle in Pokémon is what Triforce is to The Legend of Zelda anyway.
tl;dr version:
Jigglypuff: original 12, Fairy-type, pretty much guaranted.
Mewtwo: unique opportunity to return him back, not so much against him besides competition, more likely than not IMO.
Sceptile: wanted mostly because of the presence of two other characters + ORAS context, but overall his arguments aren't very solid and are easily countered.
Are you sure about that? IIRC Sakurai mentioned he chosen Greninja among all gen VI Pokémon, not just starters. I'll read again what Sakurai said in the interview at E3 roundtable, where he stated why because he choses Greninja.Apparently Sakurai mentioned he chose Greninja based on what they could do with him out of the other 3 starters. His popularity is just coincidence or it was obvious.
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