Big series only count? Alright, then riddle me why the hell we don't have a lot more Pokemon characters, a lot more Mario characters, and a lot more Zelda characters? Why the hell do we have so many series that were under the radar? How come such a thing has never been expressed at all? Why should we really beg for more of something that already has a lot of exposure?
Also, don't be a hypocrite N3ON. You say only big name series get in, yet you support a character from a minor series of traditional RPGs?
It's obviously not purely proportional the amount of sales or size of the series in the game. But for the sake of argument, let's go down the list of all those series:
Zelda: the smallest of the three big series, has 5 characters in brawl: Link, Toon Link, Zelda, Sheik, and Ganondorf. Pretty good number of characters for a franchise in which most entry sells more than 3 million roughly but never really exceeds 7 million.
Pokemon: it's core series outsells Mario, but Mario has more periphery series that sell extremely well (Mario Kart being Nintendo's biggest series, probably). It has 6 characters in Brawl: Pikachu, Jigglypuff, Lucario, Charizard, Squirtle, Ivysaur.
Mario: The largest Nintendo series by far, with some of the biggest franchises contained in the series and its spinoffs. Mario is a bit tricky, because it would easy to say 4, but if you consider that Mario Kart is one of the series' biggest games, you'll remember which characters also appear in that game. You have the Mario and Bowser inclusion, but then you also have the Wario, Yoshi, and DK (and Diddy) in the game. Mario is such a big series that it has three spin-off series of great success. If you really want to be a stickler, the Mario Series is a spin-off from the Donkey Kong series, but those game did feature Mario as its original protagonist, so that's really not important. So if we take all the Mario Spinoff series into account, how many characters in the Mario Universe are in Smash:
Mario, Luigi, Bowser, Peach, Yoshi, Donkey Kong, Diddy Kong, Wario. That's 8 characters from the Mario Universe. (Rosalina makes 9 providing the high probability of no cuts.
So yeah, they do get more characters than every other series. For comparison, the next closest series is Star Fox, which only has 3 reps (two of which are semi clones). After that, each series gets either two or 1 characters.
And there is a difference between stating a fact about which series in Smash get included based on past evidence, and the characters you support. I wasn't trying to turn this into an Isaac vs Shulk thing (especially with no mention of Matthew). I was originally just pointing out that Shulk is by no means the most unique among possible sword users. Or at the very least, that's up for debate. That's all.
But it's important to note that your predictions... wait for it.... can differ from the characters you support. That should be self explanatory. If we could only support the characters we believe have high chances, there would, at best, be like 20 threads.
Not sure what you mean here. Xenoblade would have been out in Japan and Europe regardless of the movement to have them localized. Not to mention, that point is irrelevant. The series WAS localized, and made quite the splash. Xenoblade has become quite the popular game. Sakurai may have taken note of this and may have looked into Shulk.
Why would Sakurai pick Shulk? Well let's see.
1) Sakurai is looking mostly for new series. He only saw Pikmin and Animal Crossing as deserving, and Animal Crossing (which continues to be a strong franchise) didn't even get a character until now.
2) It is clear to me that "X" is inspired by Xenoblade. Regardless of whether it is a sequel to Xenoblade or not, it is still inspired by it through gameplay. The reason this game was likely created and getting the treatment it currently is getting is because of Xenoblade's success since it was localized.
3) The Monado can do things that essentially no other sword can for Nintendo fighters. This is something that I do not believe can be denied. Isaac likely wouldn't be a sword user in Smash, so he can't compare. Takamaru could add a Japanese style, but I don't think that alone comes to how unique Shulk would be for sword users.
Shulk is a First Party Nintendo character. It's simple as that.
This. If you're going to say Shulk is a part of a small series and has no chance, what does that say for Isaac? Golden Sun is anything but a big series, and as such isn't in a much better boat than Shulk if it's a negative factor to have fewer games.
North America is the biggest market by far, and Sakurai has mentioned in the past that he doesn't like including Japanese characters, indicating his hesitance towards characters without a wide release. He has of course made exceptions (Lucas, Marth, and Roy), but these are the exceptions not the rule. Xenoblade's critical success I doubt influences Sakurai too much. Other series have had a great critical success and not been included (Golden Sun being a great example). The series not being localized in North America by Nintendo definitely hurts its cause, but it by no means makes Shulk impossible.
1) Animal Crossing is not a new series. It's been around since the N64. And again, Xenoblade, as it stands, is not a series. It's a game.
2) That's a whole lot conjecture. I have said I think X is connected to Xenoblade in cannon, but I'm just going off what has been announced. I am not going to assume X is getting a particular treatment for any reason. Awakening got great coverage as opposed to other entries of the FE series, but it has little to do with the success of FE10, FE11, or FE12.
3) I don't see how you get that Isaac wouldn't be a sword user in Smash, it's his main weapon in the series. In a lot of old school rpgs, having a sword and magic is practically the norm (final fantasy, chrono trigger, dragon quest). So just because he and Robin also have magic doesn't mean they arent sword users. Sword users usually arent purely sword users. Part of what makes Link and Pit unique is there additional items, so it's the same for every other sword user.
Now if you are talking about who has the most unique sword, yeah, Shulk wins I guess. But the mechanics between the games (and other sword users) are very different. Shulk has one sword he uses throughout the entire game, while Isaac repeatedly upgrades his sword (in typical RPG fashion). So that's a comparison that really makes no sense.
I never said Shulk has no chance. Never once. So let's put that to rest. Golden Sun is one of Nintendo's largest unrepresented series. It's only dwarfed by Rhythm Heaven and the Wars series. But I have no intention to continue this GS vs Xenoblade conversation. It's a kind of dumb. I like each of the games very much, and there are plenty of other fans who feel the same way.