Says he isn't really negative.
Proceeds to be mostly pessimistic in the rest of his post, just like his previous posts.
Just kidding, he just explains his reasons for said pessimism. I was gonna tackle each portion, but these two seem the most relevant.
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See, here is the thing about being a fan of a character you want in Smash: until it really happens, there is no true confirmation, so until then it's just waiting in the unknown. Now, how would you like to spend that time waiting? In looming dread, or hopeful anticipation? Being down about it and saying 'I told you so' if it doesn't happen, or so full of life and eagerness that sometimes you mistake things as more than they are because of your love for a character and then get down for a bit when it doesn't happen and then move on? On one hand, you are negative and downtrodden most of the time, and if the character doesn't make it you stay that way and if they do, you get momentary happiness and excitement. The other way, you are excited most of the time and constantly engaged, and if they don't get in you are sad momentarily and if they do the elation goes through the roof.
I think most of us choose the latter over the former. Also, the only echo chamber here is that we all love Geno and want him in Smash...which is kind of the point of this thread? And we are constantly having real discussions, but guys like you and
GoodGrief741
skip over arguments or miss points or don't always offer good counterpoints to what we bring up. Like, when we say getting DQ or Sora in via the Fighters Pass is much more of a pain in the *** than Geno due to music master rights and lack of promotion material, you guys either don't address it at all or give a more eloquent version of 'No u.' Start actually trying to come up with counterpoints to the really solid points Geno has behind him, and maybe it will feel more like a discussion, though I will admit there are very few things you can really bring up against Geno at this point.
First off, FOR THE LOVE OF JESUS CHRISTO, GENO IS NOT A SIDE CHARACTER! He's a main character, hell the whole main plot revolves around him, and everyone else is in for the ride: Mario's plot ends when they save Peach and he decides to stick with his crew to save the world's wishes, Mallow's plot ends when he finds his real home and he sticks with the crew for the same reason, Bowser is tagging along so that they can rid the main bad guy and he can have his castle back, and Peach is just there for the adventure because she wants to help save the world rather than not.
Geno is playable, has a lot of character moments, and is the character most tied to the main plot of the game. A side character would be Yoshi or Boshi or Frogfucius or Prototype Toadsworth. He is not only a main character, but he is arguably THE main character of the game, trumped by Mario only because he's required in the party and Square needed to sells games in the West.
That aside, there are likely many examples of mostly unknown characters becoming relevant due to fan discourse and demand, and hell Ultimate is basically a show-and-tell in that regard, but that's not what bothers me most about your post. You are essentially saying that Geno's chances are solely based on the fact that many of us want him and Sakurai does/did at one point and, by that logic, nothing else we bring up really matters or adds to his chances...which let me tell you, is a bunch of crock. Yeah, the fact that Sakurai/Nintendo already had the right to him in Smash 4 and clearly still do doesn't add to his chances at all, nor does the fact that his competitors for an SE rep are either just as obscure or more and lack fan request or have so much red tape involved that you would think it's some sort of weird obstacle course.
Come on, man.
Still not being as pessimistic as you think I am. Maybe I’m skewed because I have a very real personal understanding of dark pessimism. You may too, so I don’t want to assume too much or even really get into the specifics. That’s personal and a larger debate of pessimism versus optimism, and one person’s ideologies of both are going to vary wildly from person to person. It all depends on perspective, and from mine I’m actually quite optimistic for Geno given his relative unimportance as a character.
You want to bring up how we don’t further discussion? I wholeheartedly disagree. A lot of support threads in general spend all this time discussing how to implement characters and how cool the parent franchise is. Thats great discussion usually and people have lots of varied opinions all over the place.
It’s when people begin to start speculating about chances that I cosistently see those threads lock up and get into cycles. People start throwing a list of “evidence” and that repeats again and again. When people express doubt, they are met by the same cries of positivity and holding out hope.
Now when we were discussing base game? Hell yeah that was much more reasonable. After King K Rool, we had just gotten five character reveals and relevancy was seemingly dead. Requests seemed to be happening all around. And then Isabelle happened. And then Sakurai said, “Seriously don’t expect much more.” And then November 1st happened. My slide into a less optimistic mind set paralleled all of the happenings with that. Now I don’t know if that optimism is as earned as it once was on a level for Ultimate, especially with Nintendo picking characters for Sakurai to choose from. Half of our hope relies on Sakurai wanting Geno, I think the Nintendo decision is an absolutely massive blow to his chances.
Back to discussion though. I just want people to consider the
chance that Sora and DQ, or whatever else, could be more beneficial to Nintendo to pick.
So much of the current DLC argument is that, well, it’s more difficult to get those characters than Geno. Technically true, but do we have any idea how actually difficult that is, or if that difficulty is in anyway negligible to someone like Nintendo and Sakurai who consistently work through big deals and plans? Not at all. Especially when there’s been at least some support of the ideas on a superfificial level with Sora, exactly like Banjo mind you and he gets all the love and support despite having as many problems (if not more than) as Sora.
Who is to say they didn’t work a deal with Square and Disney to bring something Kingdom Hearts related to Switch? Or that Dragon Quest as a whole isn’t a bigger part of the plan moving forward for Switch and 3DS? And the answer is nobody knows except Nintendo, but to consider these two large franchises as non-contenders seems irresponsible of a fan base to me.
And what does Geno do for Nintendo exactly? Really, what does he promote? At absolute best,
one game of 21 of the SNES classic. A system that doesn’t really need a ton of sales or advertisement and represents a new sort of cash grab opportunity for Nintendo that they’ve expressed the notion of these being special temporary things. The Classic lines as we know it is currently not meant to be long term. That’s not exactly a stellar reason for promotion either. The only large one would be if they were making a Super Mario RPG 2, but again, that falls into the same we just don’t know of Kingdom Hearts and Dragon Quest, and is exactly as valid as making those propositions.
Geno has three main things going for him; Sakurai’s love for the character, the fan support for the character, and the rights for the character being in Smash. I don’t and have never disputed any of those points. If he gets in to Ultimate, those will be the reasons why. Nothing more, nothing less.
Other characters either have newer games to either cross promote (The World Ends With You, Bravery Default), or represent larger franchises to represent in Smash (Dragon Quest, Kingdom Hearts, Tomb Raider). It doesn’t matter if the individual characters aren’t as big in the second scenario, they are picked to represent the franchise as a whole much like Cloud was for Final Fantasy (He was the most popular pick admittedly, but still it shows the trend of choosing to represent the franchise by a character).
And fan requests really are not everything. Why turn down an opportunity to cross over your massive fighting game with another massive franchise? Look at Smash 4 DLC, cause that’s exactky the route they chose with some of the new characters. Fan requests have not always been the exclusive decision in choosing characters, and with how much fan service they’ve already paid to this game, you can’t really say they haven’t already done that job. While I think fan requests should beat out most considerations, I highly doubt that’s the case with Nintendo. I mean look at Isaac, objectively a super easy fan requested inclusion and they still managed to miss him as playable. That sort of thing doesn’t inspire hope in other fan requests of similar nature...
I’m summing all this up to say, just
consider the possibility that Geno isn’t such a lock and that hey, other characters can still have a chance too. I disagree with being so completely dismissive of them all around. I have maintained that pretty consistently these past couple weeks.
As for the side character comment, I apologize for the nomenclature on my end. Side character is just what I name any playable party member that is the non-MC of the game. He’s definitely a party member, but again, that’s my nomenclature standpoint on that.
Edit: Realized I hadn’t actually mentioned the rights in my previous post which is my bad. I’ve never contended that part, but I did fail to mention it, so that’s entirely my bad and maybe that absence is part of what left a bad taste in your mouth.