Yo guys, haven't really been around here at all these past few months, but I've still been silently supporting Geno! Decided that after Banjo-Kazooie were confirmed, I would hang out in some of my other most wanted's threads! Hope y'all are well and that the support is still going well, even after Hero's reveal.
Personally, I don't think that Geno would be a bonus character at the end of the pass simply because that character would be free (for a limited time, at least). It's also why I don't see a bonus character unless they're first party like The Plant (TM). However, I don't see why there can't be two characters from any one company. We know how much Squenix love their DLC, and if Banjo-Kazooie got in with Nintendo picking characters, I don't see how Geno could be too far off. He has direct ties to Nintendo, sizable fan demand (obviously if he was used as leak bait by Square), Sakurai likes the character, and has a similar demographic covered with Banjo-Kazooie. Look, I'm not saying that he has the best chances, but there aren't too many other characters that are rumored or even talked about that are left to put in (third-party wise). I don't expect everyone to be as hopeful as me, but I'm still kinda on a post-E3 high.
Hero's release doesn't seem too far off, so we have that to look out for. I could see a video similar to Joker's that announces the character, stage, music, Mii Costumes, and new modes (wasn't Home Run Contest rumored?). Then it would shadow drop or have a date announced. Or, more likely in my opinion, an early August Smash direct that shows off all that plus some Banjo-Kazooie content. Besides the obvious Geno Mii Costume to look out for, it might be interesting to see the DLC music and spirits. It could give some basis to how willing Square is to negotiate.