I mean
yeah Rex is the expected choice
but if there’s anything this pass has taught me it’s to expect the unexpected
who would have possibly expected Steve & Alex? Or Sephiroth? Or AN ARMS CHARACTER LET ALONE MIN MIN??
so yeah. Still hoping for Elma but overall expecting the unexpected
I'm sorry but I disagree with they way you're thinking. First many people where predicting Steve and Alex (including me). But even if you say that they where less predicted characters, they're still choices that make sense in retrospective. Minecraft is huge and it was the most logic choice for a Microsoft character (you could argue that Chief would make sense, but personally I never saw him having any chances in the first place). Sephiroth comes from one of the most beloved jrpg who was just getting a remake. He was less predicted than other Square characters, but when you think about it he make sense.
Elma really doesn't have a lot going for her. Sure the fact that Xenoblade X have no content is odd, but Rex is more relevant, more popular, his games have more sales, Xenoblade 2 also have not a lot of content. There's also the fact that Xenoblade got a remake (which sold more than Xenoblade X), so they could go with Melia.
I think the way of thinking "the pass was surprising, so they're going to surprise more" is not a really good way of thinking. This remind me of when Terry was announced, and people starts predicting very weird character like Gex, Earthworm Jim, or Sony characters because "Terry was surprising and nobody predict him, so fighter pass 2 will also have character that nobody predict". Terry wasn't predicted, but when you look at SNK history, he made sense, just like Sephiroth and Steve does.
To be fair I don't think Elma have like 0% chances of getting in, but I don't think they would go with her just for the sakes of surprise us.