So, if Phoenix Wright turns out to be the last fighter for Ultimate, would you be okay with it? I've been in a bit of a debate on a Discord server over whether or not he or Dante are more likely, the most I've gotten from the Dante side is just the recent Switch ports (only one of which has any new content) over the longer, more substantial history of the Ace Attorney series on Nintendo consoles.
I'd be very happy with Phoenix Wright. He's one of my MWs. I'd prefer Dante, because he's the character I want the most, but as I've said multiple times I'd be happy with almost any Capcom rep at this point. I love Ken but Capcom not getting an unique fighter for Smash Ultimate just feels so wrong to me, and I realize that is probably going to not change because we just have 1 character left, but still.
Anyway. Nick has been more requested historically speaking, and he probably appeals a bit more to Nintendo fans than Dante. Also, Ace Attorney has quite the history with Nintendo, and even if that has proven to not be always the most important factor for Nintendo and Sakurai, it helps.
But I'd say Nick being more requested than Dante has to do, in part, to Smash fans thinking that only 3rd party characters with strong Nintendo connections were an option. That's why before, suggestions like Cloud or Master Chief were considered a joke.
Once that perception changed, and coincidentally, Switch started getting DMC games, Dante rose in popularity quite a lot, with his peak probably being the months between Terry and Byleth.
He also got a new full AAA game recently that became the most popular entry in the series, with some appearances at The Game Awards, where it won the award to best action game and where they did a live performance of Devil Trigger.
Unlike Dante, Nick hasn't been that lucky in the past years. Yes, we're getting The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles soon, which is dope. It's technically still a port and not a new game, but still. But it doesn't feature (as far as I know, because I haven't played TGAA) Phoenix in any capacity. And before that, we got the original AA trilogy ported everywhere, which is nice. But still, not a new game.
And to be honest, and I'm saying this as a fan of the character and the series... even if we got Ace Attorney 7 soon, I don't think the situation in regards to Smash would change thaaat much. Visual novels by nature will hardly reach more mainstream circles, even if AA is the most popular series in the genre.
I personally think if it was up to Capcom, they would push for Resident Evil, Monster Hunter or maybe DMC. I don't see them suggesting Nick as a first option. But we all know Nintendo is the one choosing, if they go to Capcom and ask for Phoenix Wright, Capcom will surely accept, so far they've been very easy to work with, or at least that's how it feels.
The only issue I see with Resident Evil would be the sheer amount of body horror which may make the ESRB/CERO side-glance at it.
Granted, you can 100% redesign the zombies to not have their flesh torn up and ****, but Resident Evil does lean heavily into body horror for a lot of its most iconic enemies.
Maybe there are ways around it?
If they can't show zombies or other creatures in any capacity, maybe there's a compromise. Like, we get the Spencer Mansion from the first game, and we don't actually see the zombies, but we can see their shadows in the background, or something like that.