It's weird to think tomorrow could be the last day of all speculation, and while I think Dixie's chances of getting in are the higher than they've ever been with the potential announcement of a new DK game on the way, I'm still sceptical it'll happen.
Whatever ends up happening tomorrow though, I'll still keep fighting the good fight with the hopes that we'll one day see Dixie alongside Donkey and Diddy in a future Smash Bros title.
Gonna sign off for potential spoilers. See you guys on the other side!
Not to jinx it, but yes, rationally analyzing it, I think it's the moment Dixie has the biggest odds since ages. Maybe I thought she could fit in as dlc during very first stages of Smash4 dlc (when still dlc weren't officially confirmed but just rumoured, and we had the gematsu modified leak with Mewtwo, Dixie, Ridley, Mach Rider and Chorus Kids), when we didn't know how Sakurai and Nintendo conceived dlcs for Smash, and so a character like Dixie appeared plausible (especially because Tropical Freeze was recent news).
After that moment, that moment when Dixie almost unbelievably missed her opportunity, I never felt she was coming. Well, there was the exception of Ultimate vanilla game, but even then, when the game was revealed, Sakurai said immediately that there would have been only a few of newcomers, and since some slots were already taken by Ridley and Inkling officially, and I was sure also K Rool and a pokemon, together with 1 or 2 guest stars, would have been a shoo-in, almost immediately I losed almost any hope to see Dixie in the game (as I wrote in the post of mine quoted by ChronoBound in his last beautiful post!).
When K Rool was revealed and no Dixie shows in, I was definitely sure.
When there was the Banjo's trailer I skipped a heartbit, because it was the continuation of K Rool trailer and it was the imagined, perfect storyline for a Dixie trailer too. It seemed a dream coming true, because I didn't believe anymore in Dixie odds and because when many of us thought about her theorical trailer we thought that the continuation of K Rool one would have been perfect, but at the same time the reutilisation of the same concept, even more the same initial scenes, looked like impossible, and instead it was becoming reality just before our eyes, and...!!
But of course, it comes out that it was "just" Banjo...
And however, despite the fact that the impossible was materializing as possible for a single, unbelievable, absurd, dreamy and heavenly moment, I considered, rationally speaking, the odds of Dixie like absolutely 0.
Two years after that moment, again rationally speaking, I feel Dixie has some possibility.
There are several reasons for saying this: first of all the fact that in this pass it seems Nintendo gave more room to its characters than the first pass; then there is DKC trilogy in NSO and Dixie in MKTour; then the concrete chance we will see a DK game tomorrow, together with the rumored renowed interest by Nintendo in revitalizing this brand, as for Nintendo World; it's something that go also through the extraordinary support for K Rool in Smash by Kremling Kampaigners, which said Nintendo the world is still HUNGRY for DKC, for its characters, and especially for the DKC golden age vibes, style, characters and stories; then there is the fact that tomorrow is the E3, the only place and time where and when we can see a double dlc reveal, and when and where we are supposed to see the new DK game reveal (the E3 is traditionally an U.S. event and in fact there the characters most beloved by westerners were revealed (Ridley, Banjo...) and DKC is especially beloved in the U.S.); then it's the 40th DK birthday and it almost seems like all stars are aligning well, because I cannot see Dixie as the only reveal of a linear, normal Nintendo Direct, but I definitely can see more her reveal like one part of a double reveal, even more if supported by the announced release of a new DK game, EVEN MORE if this game in particular will be developed by Nintendo internally, suddenly becoming THE most prominent game Nintendo would want to support and advertize with a newcomer in Smash:
think about it, there isn't any other Nintendo game in the same position right now: no new generation of pokemon, and the most recent generation already finished its cycle with more than 6 months passed after the release of the last dlc; no new Mario, or Kirby games; FOR ONCE, thank to God, no new FE game which would for sure steals the thunder once again; the nearest Zelda release will be just a remake and even if we will see MP4 and/or Metroid 5, this series has already had 2 newcomers in this Smash, and it's very likely that atleast MP4 will release at least the next year (a bit too late for the advertisement spot). But yes, of course there are some possible exceptions: first of all, even if the nearest Zelda game will be SSHD, theoretically tomorrow the main plate of the show should be BotW2, and lately we had the linked HW2, so a new zelda character cannot be numbered out for sure; but still I feel Nintendo would consider more valuable to advertize a series that is somewhat declined in terms of popularity but still with an enormous potential like DK, more than a series that nowadays doesn't need anything to pierce the skies of the sales already per se like TLoZ and in particular the BotWs;
then, yes, there is the already announced Splatoon 3 that could be a rival; but should they pick a not yet revealed character from that game? It's difficult... it would be spoiler, first of all, and then no one can have attachment to a character who still doesn't exist, and it would smell too much like an advertisement spot; should they pick an Octoling, or another character from Splatoon 2? It's possible, of course, but less likely than Dixie in my eyes because quite less relevant than the co-protagonist of the game that could be revealed tomorrow itself;
But lastly, speaking about: there is the possibility that tomorrow, together with the new DK game, also another new game of a Nintendo long-running series is revealed: so a Kirby or, sigh, AGAIN a Fire Emblem character could miracolously coming back in the realm of the possible thieves of the last spot ever reserved for Dixie Kong (I say this in an ironic way, no intention to flame or to do character hating here). Oh, yes, and then there is Waluigi. I mean, it's always a possibility.
But but but, the deep soul of this WoT is the fact that now, for the very first time since EVER, I consider all these possibilities less likely than DIXIE KONG. Matter of feelings and of rational (?) analysis. It's science, bi... guys and gals!!
Does all of this mean we will see Dixie Kong tomorrow? But of course not!
not even in the wilder wilderness of our wildest dream! Even if all I said was true, something of unconsidered, and not predictable in any way would fall from the Chaos straight in our Reality to prevent Dixie from Smash. Or more simply, the rumors about a new DK game were fake, or maybe the last two dlc characters are two guest star characters (I fear Namco, Tecmo, Capcom, Atlus with Shin Megami Tensei, maybe also Crash Bandicoot, like I never feared them before...)
It will be what will be. Tomorrow we will see. For now I leave all of you, my dear colleagues in the Dixie support dominion, with the first slight, (but so bright!) spark of hope ever.
Have a good E3 and let's hope! With responsability, of course, but HOPE!!!