I definitely think he wins the Pichu and Snake (he oppresses Snake easy when played right) matchups. And he does have a good enough reward to play. His advantage is really good and he’s good in neutral against most characters. I’m not ready to nail him down yet not do I wanna be somebody who overhypes their main but I still think thus far he’s top 20 or so. He’ll never be a top tier character but he’ll always be viable and he goes even or close to even on a lot of high and top tier matchups. I’m personally optimistic in what he can do and I think more people will pick him up but I understand the other side
I appreciate your respect, man. You're a cool dude.
He may be top 20, he may not be. Either way, if you ask me, he's not viable when we're quite probably not even going to see multiple players breaking multiple top 32s, let alone multiple top 16s or more, at the biggest events. FOW's an exceptional player, we should all know this by now. I'll hopefully explore what I perceive Ness' issues to be adequately later in this post. You don't have to agree of course - in fact I really appreciate your optimism for Ness, we both like this character a lot it seems - but I hope it clears up my position a little bit more!
RE Snake, frankly I've played a lot of Snakes in bracket now and I don't think PSI Magnet is anywhere near enough to make this matchup "oppressive" for Snake. f you are getting at something else here though, I'd love to hear your thoughts.
To say Ness isn't high tier right now would be to give a massive middle finger to his vastly increasing results, both regular placements and 1st placements through Ultimate's career. I'm going to say the exact same thing I said about Ganondorf and that, no matter how good (or bad) you think he is, no matter if he has the best data on him or the worst, if he can't show those results, they don't matter.
Ness has results and nobody can deny it.
Week 4: (10 Placements and 2 First Places)
Week 5: (15 Placements and 5 First Places)
Week 6: (11 Placements and 5 First Places)
Week 7: (24 Placements and 8 First Places)
Week 8: (17 Placements and 4 First Places)
Results always speak louder than words and as long as Ness continues to show these double digit placements and these multiple first place advances, especially equal or greater than other expected high tier characters such as Lucina, Chrom, Roy, Shulk, Fox, Pichu, Peach, Inkling, Link, etc...
Then either he's a High Tier character with all the results to show.
Or
You all suck, can't play the game well and are letting this apparently "worst character ever" garbage tier gimmicky POS wash over your tournaments (Small or Large) like the sweat of a fat man basking in a sauna.
And I honestly don't know jack about Ness in the long run except that as a
main, screw this kid and his BS Anti-Ridley moveset. However, I can't look at these results and not give Ness the respect that other players have clearly given him throughout Ultimate's career as of now. You don't get these results by being just popular, or gimmicky but, for this long?
By actually having some merit to your name.
Ness has been a powerful regional threat for a long time now. Even in Brawl, where he was clearly not viable.
I don't even think Ness is bad, and believe me I am well aware of how much he craps on many middling characters (shame all the relevant characters crap on him), but godlike players pulling the godlike results they always pulled even with a significantly less viable Ness is not going to convince me of Ness' newfound potential in this game.
I'm sorry but Ness is a top tier. I really don't care if the best Ness in EU dropped him. That's the most irrelevant **** ever. He has strong reps in the US and Japan whivh is more than a lot of the cast can say. His biggest weakness is his recovery and that's basically it. His buttons are really good. If swordies sheik or Rosa was more prevalent then he'd get pushed down. However, that's not the case so he'll continue to be a massive threat.
The metagame is still developing and nothing thus far shows anything that's going to push Ness out of the meta. Also a poor craftsman blames high tools.
Yes Ness is blessed with his rep I agree. FOW is absolutely broken and probably a top 100 Smash player in history, Shaky and Awestin are both long-time gods (been playing Ness for a decade or more) who sadly don't travel and Best Ness is going to make some serious waves, I've no doubt.
His biggest weakness is not so much his recovery. Plenty of top tiers with bad recoveries. His biggest weakness is that his neutral lost almost all of it's safety, comfirmability and reliability. Everything is very committal now, not that good to begin with and you can't afford to guess wrong because his kit doesn't allow it. You should be able to see this even just watching his sets but try playing him against good people for a bit. This is the problem, this is why he is not going to be able to keep up in the future. His "really good" buttons are back air and neutral air and even those you can't depend on. Forward air is good but it's a massive commitment (a top tier Fair it clearly ain't) which leaves Ness open forever in this game of frame 3 jumpsquats and massive dash distance to punish it, and it loses to too many relevant moves now to be reliable anyway. Apart from everything horizontally disjointed, it loses to Wolf's Nair/Fair/Bair (Wolf's aerial footsies cleanly outclass Ness' in general and he isn't even a swordie), Inkling's FAir and BAir, Palutena's BAir and many more besides. So you can't rely on that. Up air lost all it's neutral utility from Smash 4 (in fact it lost all it's utility from Smash 4, period), there is no way this new one is better for him when you no longer have a safe-on-shield massive hitbox that confirms into grab and other moves, covers Ness' head with a threatening hitbox (Ness has no good options to cover his head in this game, which suuucks) that nobody really could challenge, and kills reliably. PK Fire is just not good (very easy to escape (PSA: you do not SDI PKF), forcing Ness to basically guess the escape option to get a followup, something he is often too slow to do even if you guess right) but with the newfound unreliability of up air for advantage state (doesn't beat other aerials any more so people can challenge it; you can
fall out of it) Ness kind of depends on PK Fire now to catch landings. PK Thunder is really good but you'd be a fool to disregard the inherent risk when using it. There are safer and similarly - or more - rewarding advantage states. Fox and Pichu suffocate you in ways Ness is too slow to do; Nikita is PKT except
better; Turnips and Inkling's everything are very low risk for the reward you get etc etc I could go on and on. Ness doesn't have one of the best any more. Hold me to that as the game gets older. Dash attack is pitiful now (They nerfed the range on it for some reason, making one of his best tools against superior horizontal disjoint significantly worse, and it lost all it's combos except at extremely low %, making it yet worse still) and it is very very hard to actually get the grabs that Ness needs (shieldgrabbing nerfed, dash grab range very nerfed, still slow as hell, no landing lag on anything).
So yeah his "really good" buttons do not hold up any more. I hope that's an adequate evaluation of his tools for you - you should at least be able to see where I'm coming from.
Swordies
are prevalent, they're all really good and they're everywhere. But - and this is where we start getting quite subjective so pleas bear with me - his bad matchups aren't just swords and lol gimps. Wolf walks all over him. Snake beats him 100%, Ness has nothing to "oppress" this man (PSIMag overrated af, both in general and in this matchup). The Fox matchup is significantly better for Fox this game (one of those matchups that illustrates just how hard Smash 4 Ness was carried by his up air lol), he doesn't beat Pikachu, who runs rings around him and kills him offstage risk-free; Pichu players are all souped up on caffeine but if they could control themselves Ness doesn't beat that character either. Belmont is obviously not good for Ness, Ness is carried in that matchup solely by his ability to gimp them there is nothing else going for him there. Inkling is a losing mu who sets a pace Ness cannot keep up with and outclasses him tool for tool; Ness relies hard on down smash two framing. Definitely a struggle.
Ness worst MU? Nobody knows at this point. My money is on Lucina.
This post is big enough by now, I think I've made my case and I'm willing now to drop it here and let time be the judge. But my final point will be this. If you are calling me a bad craftsman, that's fair enough. I've stopped playing Ness in bracket though and am playing some amalgamation of Wolf/Lucina/Pichu/Cloud with the endgoal of committing to one of those, so I won't be able to shift any blame on to my tools in the future.
If however you are calling S1 a "bad craftsman"... you should re-evaluate that. That's just not tolerable and it's certainly not correct.
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According to the frame data nair is -4 and bair is -5 on shield Nair comes out frame 5 and bair comes out frame 10. I'd consider the moves to be pretty freaking safe but hey I could be wrong.
I never said they weren't safe. I said these moves were his best. What point are you trying to make here?