No, I'm saying Mineraft wouldn't do well what I'm saying is we can be certain Banjo did better than Steve in the ballot. The ballot was mainly the hardcore fans who care about who makes it into Smash. Steve is a very polarizing figure among the hardcore fanbase. As mod I know you've seen that Steve can draw very critical responses from the fans so he likely didn't do that well on the ballot. It doesn't matter that Minecraft would be a casual darling Banjo outperformed Steve and I doubt anyone will say otherwise. Banjo doesn't need to be the killer app for Xbox he has the popular vote. That's all we care about. Because Banjo is wanted far more than his more recognizable friends he is in a prime position to come alongside them. Sakurai gets Steve for the worldwide appeal and Banjo for the popularity. That is something Sakurai is very likely to do. It doesn't matter that Microsoft has bigger names Sakurai isn't just going to ignore him.
Steve? isn't even that polarizing as you make it. There's a really tiny minority of fans who are hard Nintendo purists or can't accept a character if they aren't majorly important to Nintendo. Sakurai coincidentally ignores these people because he's sick of the console wars bull****. You also are claiming one character did better than the other with no evidence from the ballot to support it. There is no way to know who did better. They're both very likely really high due to heavily popular characters. I wouldn't pay attention to a ton of fan-haters on this site. They're mostly irrelevant. This isn't like Tingle who legit has a severely huge hatebase in the West, for some awful reason.
Yes Banjo is the Geno in this situation. A character that Sakurai will try to get alongside the big names. That's literally what I keep saying. And as for Sakurai not wanting him there is zero evidence he doesn't want him or doesn't like him and that's far more important.
And zero evidence Sakurai wants Banjo or likes him. You can't really pull that either and expect a completely unknown variable to be in your favor. We don't know jack-all on what he thinks of Banjo. We know that fan demand can help. That's it.
I don't even need to read the rest of that paragraph. We don't need to know anything more than Sakurai was willing to put in a small character like Geno. Nothing else matters. It shows Banjo could still be considered despite being dead and more niche than the more well known IPs.
This does not show anything of the sort towards Banjo at all. Sakurai did not really consider him at all as a viable character at any time that we can cite. If Geno's reason for being in Brawl, no matter how much you like to deny this, is because only he was interested, then it is completely different from any case of Banjo getting in from fan demand. Geno only got a costume because Sakurai already wanted him in as well. He had that going for him. Sakurai isn't just going to push for a 3rd party character because of fan demand alone. He didn't for Geno, or did he? We don't know because you can't legitimately prove why he wanted him in Brawl. Did you know there was absolutely zero polls for characters who were wanted in Brawl? That's right, Geno's entire votebase is only cited as a tiny few(like no more than 10 or so) from the Melee polls. That means that Sakurai either went for fanpolls or just played his game instead. He plays lots of games. It's more probably he doesn't really look into fanpolls(using only his own polls) and actually play a game to see if the character interests him. In other words, it's more likely Geno would not have gotten even a costume if Sakurai didn't like him. Yes, it's possible he looked at fanpolls. But the kicker is? We don't know. This is where your comparison falls flat. You're assuming fanpolls got Geno in as a costume, when that's not the whole story.
No, it can't first none of those have fan demand besides Banjo. I mean they do even the smallest of characters has at least 1 fan but none of them have enough fan demand to say they have fan demand. Sakurai is going to go in there and get as many characters as possible one of which is Banjo which we know Microsoft is totally ok with letting him use so in those negotiations Sakurai will try to get to Banjo and if the talks don't fall through then he will come along with whoever else Sakurai wanted to grab, or negotiations will fall through and he will walk away with no one. Sakurai will not approach Microsoft with no intention of getting Banjo and it is exceptionally unlikely that Microsoft will "you can only have one character now pick". In fact, the most likely scenario for Ultimate is sadly Sakurai hasn't approached Microsoft at all but if he does and legal proceedings don't fall through Banjo will be the character or one of the characters he comes back with that's it.
The only one that doesn't have nearly as much fan demand is Fulgore at best. Master Chief and Steve? have a huge fanbase. Don't confuse the SB fanbase stuff at all with how big and popular they are. Every single character in existence have fanbases for being wanted into Smash, even memes like Shrek is still a fanbase voting. For the wrong reasons in that case, but still. The ballot was open worldwide to all, fans of a crapload of characters, including two severely popular icons. Banjo is an obscure pick compared to Steve? and Master Chief by far. They obviously did good on the ballot because a lot of people do legit want them in. They just happen to have some people against them due to this whole Nintendo bias crap that Sakurai is sick of. That's all. You shouldn't dismiss huge fanbases just because one character has more Nintendo history. It's a bad idea to claim that Banjo got more votes than them. Likewise, it's a bad and unfounded claim that they don't have fan demand. They absolutely do. Why wouldn't two of the biggest icons in gaming have little fan demand in the biggest gaming crossover of all time? Seriously, they absolutely have demand. Now, I do think Banjo has more myself, but not to a huge degree as you're implying. That's a huge leap of logic that ignores their iconic status. Every single gaming icon is going to have huge fan demand for Smash. I mean, they're icons. What'd you expect?
I see what you're trying to say is an issue and I can concede that it is possible that Steve or Chief join and Banjo doesn't make the cut, it's just that's far more unlikely than him joining with them or him joining and they don't. I mean it's also possible Goku will be the first DLC character but it's extremely unlikely just like getting Chief or Steve without Banjo is extremely unlikely. So no I don't view it as a problem to feel extremely confident that if Sakurai talks with Microsoft and comes back with Minecraft content that he is also coming back with Banjo content.
You shouldn't be confident in something that isn't able to be backed up. There's a decent claim that only Minecraft content will be in, as it's literally the only consistent crossover between Microsoft and Nintendo to date. Anything beyond that is actually up in the air. I also don't want you to be disappointed if it doesn't happen at all. You're being very overconfident here, and I even think Banjo'll be in(DLC might be the better case, but we can't really expect the ballot to decide everything either), but I'm not that overconfident enough to make a claim that's impossible to back up. All you have is the ballot. What heavy usage of Banjo has existed lately? I've already explained why your Geno comparison is a huge fallacy(as Banjo is nowhere in the same situation in any way). Like, beyond a costume, where has he been? Yes, there's fan demand, but we know for a fact that does not make a character remotely guaranteed or worth being overconfident on. Waluigi should prove that alone. He's had significantly high fan demand. Didn't help him. What makes Banjo remotely different here? Actually, he's in a worse position as Waluigi is already more iconic, but also is 1st party and easier to get ahold of without going through any hoops. How is fan demand going to seriously make Banjo some guarantee at all? You keep claiming this guarantee but there's no serious reason to believe it beyond "ballot" which we know is not going to do help all highly demanded characters, factually so.