A Distant Demon
Finale
1. Jumpman is already playable. I see no reason to Kawashima to ever be considered as playble TBH and he is certainly a strange choiceI'm just going to avoid DLC choices altogether, that gets way too controversial if it's not a popular newcomer, though at the minimum, I'm just going to keep every cut veteran.
Meh that was a given. But I still believe that a historical retro will still happen, and Jumpman is the only notable one right now.
I only put Kawashima again only because I think he might relook at the idea again when a new Brain Age game comes out (which is pretty likely to happen given it's massive success) and finds out he's feasible for combat with his addition of hands in the newest game.
I believe there will be some popular and some unpopular requests getting in, a balance between that. Isabelle, Tom Nook, potentially Ganon (given his "villain" appeal), the new FE protagonist and Xenoblade protagonist that people will bandwagon (Like Chrom), Takamaru (Who people will likely support if there's no retro character in sight that has gotten a new successful game), Chorus Kids (If they aren't implemented as Smash DLC, will likely gain a spike in popularity again mainly for being planned and being unique), I'd say there's enough potentially popular candidates in the base roster already, the only few potentially unpopular ones are Jumpman and Dr. Kawashima.
You gotta think hypothetically and not just take Smash 4 ballot popularity into account. :L
Not too sure how likely that Ryu will stay to be honest. :/
Like I said, those are only temporary, I will likely change when the next game is announced in the next few years or so.
Given the giant fanbase Isabelle has gotten, she'd probably be one of the biggest requests by the time SSB5 begins in development. And the popularity Tom Nook has gotten (even when he got deconfirmed) will likely spike again in SSB5. Both have pretty interesting characteristics to make a moveset from to get in the base game too. (Using merchant tools for battle and potentially Raccoon Mario skills, Isabelle having her moveset based on the "mayor factor" of Animal Crossing; Villager's moves are mainly based on the usual AC activities, while her moves could involve public work projects and more.)
((Taken from the deconfirmed group's Isabelle support thread))
If time constraints are on the line, Wolf and Lucas would likely be low priority, especially Lucas since Itoi stated that he would not make a new Mother game, and there are likely newcomers from new games who would receive priority over these guys. If Star Fox consistently gets new games with Wolf appearing, I could see him have a good chance of returning, but I still see him in the middle bottom priority somewhere still.
2. Ganon isnt popular. Neither are the animal crossing characters now that we have a rep. Isabelle is really the only one with any notoriety because they are pushing the hell out of her. Chorus kids are currently not popular either. Cross/elma arent popular. FE might be possible but he might not. With The FE hate in full effect I doubt it.
THere is a difference between having some popular characters and essentially putting in no popular characters.
Ill give you inklings, dixie and ill give pity and throw in chorus kids. But no other newcomer there is popular.