Ok WRT JD first I have to explain some background.
JD, Joker, Toast and I just played in Newbie Cave Story together, where I was scum and they were all town. Day 1 I make a play in which I ask who was the strongest player, then immidiately cast my vote on them. I explain by doing this I both get a read on the strongest player and react to any votes against them. I also explain that any votes against me that didn't invovle strong logic was null.
To sum it up I made a weak trap that I fully explain later to earn the trust of town.
Now I consider JD's play in this game.
This post in particular won me over.
He suspects that I was doing the same thing day 1 with my chatterbox play. I would go so far to say that he suspects that the entire play was to earn town favor, he wants people to distrust me. If you look at just the results of day 1 I can say that indeed I did gain enough town favor to keep me from lynched for awhile (to which I owe Joker, well played bro), while scummy enough to make both mason unfavorable to NK.
If he was scum, he wouldn't have kept pushing my lynch when the majority had written off my play as dumbtown and wanted to move on. I think he is actually afraid that I might be pulling one over on him again, proof of that can be seen that he still doesn't believe me in day 2. He goes to great lengths to paint me as scum to the point where people find the information not helpful, which I find more town than scum.
Regarding his day 2 play, going against Bardul would be quite risky as scum, calling for lynch for no shot on the strongest day 1 town would be too risky considering 194 had died day 1. I don't trust Bardul either since he was the leader of day 1, but indeed JD did push too hard and he had to retreat. But he did get Bardul to confirm that he is not a Vig, which is somewhat notable imo. Day 2 I can understand him seeming scummy, but I see it more as paranoia against Bardul.
BUT THIS IS WHERE THE BAD NEWS STARTS JD
After considering what happened with RR abduct last night, I've been trying to consider who and why someone would abduct RR. It was apparent by the end of day 1 RR was our first batter's to lynch day 2, my initial thought was that the Indy may be super confident he can win on his own.
But now that I think about it, from my perspective the best abduct would have been either Joker or myself, more-so Joker. With my play in Day 1 I considered us impervious to NK since our flip would confirm the other's alignment, with the exception of a double NK on both of us which was unlikely. But an abduct would totally ruin this strat as if Joker was abducted, I would have no case to say I was town. He could potentially eliminate both mason's with one play.
If you consider that the chances of Joker and I being doced weren't great with Bardul around, who would want to abduct RR over Joker?
If JD still suspects that I'm scum during twilight then he can't afford to abduct Joker, because unlike Bardul he doesn't have a strong town position and he can't afford to have me lynched if I'm scum and he's Indy all by himself.
All things considered I still think JD isn't scum, but I suspect he might be Indy. The same indy logic appliies to Rake as well, but he has a littlle bit better town position though imo.
Now that I'm reading this to myself I feel really scummy but I suspect those who have a weak position in town who still believe me as scum more than RR as Indy, based off of RR abduct.
Lmao.
@JD: How do you feel about Rake being possible Indy.
@Everyone else What is our priority, determining if any scum remain or hunting the indy? I'm more afraid of indy atm.
