Ok, I'm here and I don't like either wagon, but I guess that's what I get for not actually convincing anybody to join the ones I started.
So, in the world we're stuck in, who do I actually prefer? Well, both had done things that I was reading as towny enough to put them in the top half of the class. Both have since then been unable to post in the thread, and as such, not been able to defend against the wagons that piled onto them.
If Glyph survives to tomorrow, he'll keep pushing J?
If BarDulL survives to tomorrow, he promises to reread?
Hmm, what do those wagons look like again right now?
Laundry (1): Soup (#1361)
J (1): DtJGlyphmoney (#1451)
FullMetalLynch (1): mallorean_thug (#1519)
Zaixl (1): BarDuIL (#1557)
BarDuIL (3): FullMetalLynch (#1232), Laundry (#1308), SlickWylde (#1551)
DtJGlyphmoney (6): Fandangox (#1125), MoosyDoosy (#1126), Spak (#1413), Zaixl (#1445), J (#1520), RedRyu (#1575)
Abstaining (1): Raziek
What did Bard's wagon look like at its peak?
MoosyDoosy (1): RedRyu (#1161)
Laundry (1): Soup (#1361)
Fandangox (2): BarDuIL (#1103), Spak (#1123)
DtJGlyphmoney (2): Fandangox (#1125), MoosyDoosy (#1126)
Soup (2): mallorean_thug (#1260), Raziek (#1264)
BarDuIL (4): J (#1101), FullMetalLynch (#1232), Laundry (#1308), SlickWylde (#139)
Abstaining (0):
Ok, exactly the same as now, but also with J.
The amount of activity toDay makes me sincerely doubt that both wagons are on scum at the moment. So I'm going to assume that either 1 is scum, or both are town.
Looking at the wagon, the Bard lynch is a confirmed town (slick), a strong townread (Laundry), a null-to-townlean (J), and a scumread (FML). With this many people abstaining from the main two wagons, and how easy it is for people to vote Glyph, I doubt that anybody would be bussing atm. So, if I really believe that FML is scum, Bard is probably town. For them to both be scum and bussing that heavily, they'd have to be very sure that Bard wasn't going to get lynched today. I guess this is a possibility, but there's other stuff that points to Bard/FML not being knowingly co-aligned. If I'm wrong about FML, Bard looks quite a bit worse? Especially with J's votes toDay? Like, I could totally buy the "J and Bard wanted to get some distancing in early, with the plan to always use Glyph as a fallback if things looked bad" story. Or the "Literally only town has ever pushed Bard, and no one has bitten on the other ideas the scum team tried to float today, so they had to go for Glyph at the end" Let's set Bard aside for a moment to look at Glyph.
Glyph's wagon is a townlean (spak), a null-to-townlean (J), a null (Moosy), an afk (Zaixl), a scumlean (Fanny),and a scumlean (RR), with the people I'm most suspicious of at the most suspicious places on the wagon. Probably, we have at least 1 scum in here somewhere, but its hard to say who until after the flip, or if we had another larger wagon to compare to, especially on timings. But we don't have either yet. I think that the complete focus some slots have given this lynch is scummy, but the wagon itself could go either way. There's kind of too many mechanics things going on here to really get much anti-alignment info from this.
Glyph refusing to try to push Bard with his triple vote ability is something that I want to read as town, but all the WIFOM is getting in the way. Like, that would almost singlehandedly even up the wagons, and make it so somebody hammering him to avoid NL isn't the inevitable end to toDay. Like, if Glyph is scum, why isn't he trying to take somebody else down with him, AND make us waste another day with him. But, on the other hand, if Glyph is just dying here, why isn't town!Glyph trying to leave us with something, anything to go off of after his flip?
Well, I'll be around till deadline, and there's no need to hammer early, so I'll just leave my vote where it is for now.
