Sorry guys, I was at work from 6 to 11:30. Reading up on stuff now.
After the hammer, if you suspect that you're gonna get killed, I'd appreciate some last thoughts. This applies to xat and adumb as well.
My thoughts are now theories on what will happen the next day.
All of my thoughts on the game up to the point in which I joined are in the long spoiler'd post. Aside from thoughts on players, that is. I guess I should elaborate on the player-specific things:
Spak - Confirmed Townie (from my PoV at least).
Vinyl - Strong town lean. I don't think that town tell could be faked. I was debating if he was questioning people without any genuine intention behind it (because of the completely dropped question on Ro early on) or if he was just lost, and I think it was the latter.
Marshy - Nothing that Marshy has done has really stuck out as possibly scummy to me. He's done a good job conversing with the rest of the cast, he's scumhunted quite a bit, and he's just been an overall townie player. Out of the remaining three slots that could be suspicious to me, I'd say I'd be most surprised if Marshy was scum.
Adum - I'm starting to like Adum more as time goes by. He started out with a bit of a short fuse when it came to Kary and did a sketch replace out, then was fairly inactive as the day progressed. D2 he said that his playstyle didn't work and he's sorry that his play was so suppressed this game. D3 so far he's doing more promising work, and while he could hammer to please Xatres, he's trying to stay and figure it out. I appreciate that a lot and like that he is calling everyone out for doing absolutely nothing (and I think some of us need a good yelling at lol), so despite inactivity and questionable early play, he's only a slight scum lean.
Xatres - Xatres is my stronger scum lean. The three reasons he gave for his scumteam (that were actually two reasons) in his #442 were him halting the Adum wagon and that he placed himself in the lynchpool, which scum would
of course never do because that raises the likelihood of scum getting lynched. I agree that the whole thing about the Adum wagon was sketch (unless you play scum as close to town as possible, which I've seen people screw over scummates in the interest of not introducing anything off into their play), but your whole reasoning behind putting yourself in the lynchpool being a valid reason why you're not scum is invalid. You putting yourself in the lynchpool doesn't make you significantly more likely to be lynched because nobody was interested in lynching you at all D1. I'd usually let stuff like this go, except you harped on it afterwards (“Xatres had even offered himself up as a sacrificial lamb for town's benefit," #446). I was also shocked at how quickly he wanted to end my slot after the replace in. He was questioning Ro, and then tried to get me killed off of the momentum from the replace. A player that typically plays this logically suddenly ignoring the advantages of my slot leaving a paper trail makes absolutely no sense aside from him wanted to get me out before I could look over the game and possibly provide more information. He'll inevitably say "Wow, OMGUS to the max, let's kill him," but I'm a little concerned how much a slot that has been tunneling a townie all game long with few other contributions has had a blind eye turned to him all game long because of his logical arguments (which are still fairly easy to make as scum). I understand if you guys want to kill me because of my slot's actions and I apologize to Xatres if he's actually town for having possibly one of the worst tunnels in DGames history, but if I die today, I'd appreciate it if you'd give this slot a second look during the night. I'll vote Adum if it comes down to just me and him to preserve a confirmed slot (from my PoV), but I'd really prefer to avoid it.
Vote: Xatres
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Lastly, I just want to point this out from my readthrough:
· “Not lynching: Ro/Adumb/Vinyl” J, #496
o What reasoning would scum!Ro have to kill J? J was one of the few people who trusted Ro’s play. Killing J if Ro were scum would lose the scumteam a town collaborator, which is EXTREMELY valuable from my experience in past games. Best case out of Ro killing J would be a WIFOM, which reads null for giving up a hypothetically valuable scum asset.
J seemed to be the only one that didn't want my slot dead yesterday aside from myself. When I'm one day away from LyLo and completely alone, why in the world would scum!Ro off the only slot that looks on her favorably? The only reason that he would do that is if he wanted to make this argument, which pales in comparison to having someone on your side when the rest of the game is breathing down your throat with 5 left. If I were scum and could have gotten J to LyLo with anyone he was suspicious of, that coulda been game.