The way I see it, bar any drastic and unforeseen announcements or legitimate (video and photo) leaks or such this is going to be the next big date all of us here should look towards
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IF Steve is in, there is a very likely chance he might get announced here at Minecon. The date adds up perfectly, especially when you consider we were originally supposed to get Isabelle at the very beginning of September before the delay. And we have had character announcements both out of the blue, and outside of E3 and Nintendo Directs. We're also in uncharted territory here with Nintendo announcing a third party belonging to a rival company so who knows how they might wish to go about this. Here are the three scenarios that could happen on this date;
1. Steve is announced
Worst case for obvious reasons.
2. Nothing relating to Smash is announced
Middling case. It would decrease Steve's chances slightly, but not much. It would be missing a big opportunity to reveal him to a group who might not have been interested in Smash prior (And lets face it, Steve would only be added for advertising, a fact that I consider to be the biggest mark against him now since an advertising character would've likely been announced near the beginning so he could be in all the promo material). This I would consider a likely scenario that would overall be better, but we wouldn't be out of the woods yet.
3. Minecraft Stage/Assist/Etc and not a character is announced
Best case scenario. Not-character content wouldn't be announced if Steve was going to be a character, since why spoil the involvement in the game? If this happens, Steve would be soft deconfirmed and Banjo's chances would skyrocket. Remember, this is still a possible scenario. It's possible the leaker was only right about a few things and made the rest up (As seen with loz). It's possible the source made a mistake about information and thought Steve was a character instead of an assist or something (Like Isabelle). A lot is possible at this point and we can only hope for the best. Monster Hunter has effectively proven even more that there can be third party content without a rep from that series there.
Everyone, you better start praying to God, or whomever you pray to. And if you don't have religion, you better find one fast. Mark down September 29, about a week from now. It's gonna a long hellish Saturday and wait till.