Will it happen?
Well, anything’s possible. I’d say a 50-50 chance at maximum, even if I feel this supposed “interview” which I can’t find was taken out of context based on what someone said in a similar thread and that if Sakurai hadn’t built off 4, only 1/3 of the roster would be done at that point in time. In other words, development would take longer
now, SHOULD it happen?
...I will answer with a resounding, HELL NO.
Rebooting the series to a massively downsized roster is, in my honest opinion, one of the worst ideas I’ve heard after bringing everyone back in Ultimate. Several of the posts I’ve liked in this thread capture my issues with the concept perfectly.
To sum up the largest issues I have with the idea, for one, a “reboot” involves returning to its roots. Smash has no roots, because it has not strayed from the formula it’s been using for decades. Reboots can also be done for story based games, like JRPGs, or action games (even if some are of... not that great quality. Looking at you, 2013 DmC which was ultimately retconned). Not fighting games.
Another issue I have is the “mechanics overhaul” angle. If you change Smash from a 2D platform fighter to a 3D traditional fighter, can it really be called “Smash” anymore? Drastically changing a character’s moveset completely is also seldom done in fighting games, if ever, and it’s usually met with backlash. I get changing one or two moves, like Ganondorf using his sword in Ultimate, but if you change the entire moveset, people who are used to how a character originally played will be confused and in many cases put off.
then there’s “balancing issues”. Name ONE multiplayer game with more than 20 characters that’s perfectly balanced. It’d be impossible, and yet such games still exist without much issue. Just make sure no one’s insanely broken OR trash against everyone and everything should be fine, I say.
which of course brings me to the roster. Yes, Sakurai said pre-release, “Everyone is here might not happen again.” Might. Not will. It’s akin to him saying every Smash game before Ultimate will be his last and yet here we are. It’s a labor, yes, but a labor of love. He tried to bring Mewtwo, Dr. Mario and Roy back in Brawl but couldn’t due to time constraints, bringing them all back one game later (two of them being DLC). Heck it’s thanks to the fans’ demand he was able to bring even Snake and Pichu back. And then Ultimate became the best selling Smash period. To cut most of them and not even bring them back as DLC later on for the new Smash would be a massive downgrade met with a lot of complaints. I mean, Street Fighter V’s base roster can attest to that, and even once DLC was finished for that game several fan faves are still absent. Plus I feel the characters are the selling point for Smash, it being a crossover and all. To take that away would be to take away its appeal to the demographic it’s obtained now. With regard to third parties, as long as relationships between the third parties remain good (as well as the third party’s internal politics), bringing the third party characters back shouldn’t be an issue. Hell, I’d even like to see Smash break the 100 character barrier. (Tobal 2 doesn’t count, most of the “characters” are actual alts)
ideally I’d prefer an Ultimate Deluxe/Encore with new characters and modes on top of the vanilla version’s roster and DLC, or even that the next smash just still has Everyone is Here but with a new UI and modes. But if cuts do have to happen, it would be best to bring said cuts back as DLC later on. Even then I still think Ultimate leaves a few things to be desired. The music selection is missing a few must have tracks still; there are some inconsistencies in spirit representation; there can be more added to the single player side; more cosmetic stuff for the non-Mii fighters; and perhaps most importantly, the ONLINE. And tbh I don’t think rollback can fix it, it’s something related to the switch itself, I even get lag when using the eshop. If the rumored Switch Pro/Super Switch has better online infrastructure, an Ultimate port could benefit greatly from the enhanced online.
If mainline smash does have to take a break, a spin-off like an RPG, MOBA or even gacha could keep the spirit of smash alive in the meantime.
I guess that about covers how I feel about the issue.