So I've been thinking about the upcoming character reveal, and I've come up with a list of potential outcomes and what they'd mean for us:
-Shulk revealed: Seems to be the most likely right now. While he is part of the leak, I think Shulk being revealed might actually help our chances. Out of the Gematsu Trio, he's the only one of them that'd really generate any significant hype. If the trio were the only remaining newcomers, it'd mean we'd only have two kept secret until release...half as many as Brawl, and with zero hype creators when Brawl at least still had Lucario. It increases the chance of there being newcomers not mentioned on the list...or of the other two on the list having been held back until release for very specific reasons, such as them being given room to work with months ago to be replaced if needed. And at this point, wouldn't Robin create more hype from Fire Emblem fans than the "what took you so long" reaction Chrom would get? Sakurai and the gang have to realize that.
Plus, with how popular the guy is, it's not like no one's expecting him.
-Chorus Men revealed: If they're in, it heavily decreases the chance of Chrom having been replaced while also dropping the odds of us getting 4 Fire Emblem reps, since what are the odds of both FE newcomers being kept secret until release? We'd probably have to start looking toward DLC.
-Chrom revealed: Believe it or not, it might be a little better for us than the Chorus Men. If Chrom gets revealed two months before the Japanese release and three before it comes out overseas, it still leaves a chance for there to be a fourth Fire Emblem character waiting in the folds of the unrevealed. If not, Robin would at least be the frontrunner for a Fire Emblem DLC character, should they choose to make DLC newcomers.
-Non-Gematsu Newcomer revealed: The best outcome yet, since it'd prove the leak is not the final say just as we've been claiming all along. With that would come a greater chance of the leak, despite being accurate at some point, not being accurate any longer.
-Non-Chorus Men Rhythm Heaven Character revealed: Even better, it'd confirm the leak wasn't accurate any more and raise the chance of Chrom having been booted out.
-Robin revealed: The best outcome, of course...but we'd need luck on the level of dodging an attack that had 95% hit.
-Non-Robin Non-Chrom Fire Emblem Character revealed: The least likely so far (in my honest-but-biased opinion, at least >_>). Our odds would be close to if Chrom was revealed, but maybe slightly less likely with the chance of the leak still being right about the characters it mentioned...not to mention the leak fundamentalists breathing down our necks.
And since there may be more revealed in the trailer than just a newcomer:
-Mewtwo revealed: Would basically have the same effect as as a non-Gematsu newcomer.
-Chrom shown as Assist Trophy/Collectable Trophy: Would simultaneously raise Robin's chances through the roof and shut up the leak fundies.
-Robin shown as Assist Trophy/Collectable Trophy/part of Chrom's Final Smash: It's all over...