On dark horse candidates, I'd suggest adding this guy: Nintendouji.
The game that the Nintendouji is from is really obscure. I believe he was only in one Japan-only game that was only available as a Club Nintendo exclusive. If you really want I will make an entry for him under the non-contender section for the "new series" analysis, but realistic I think he is only going to be a sticker at best.
Alright then. Definitely mention Dark Pit being an alternate color and Magnus begging to be an AT.
I still think you'd be better off grouping them together, not that shouldn't talk about each of them, it's just the act of separating them could lead into some dumb Gamefaqs-like arguments IMO. I would group Young/Toon/Classic Link & Mewtwo/New Form together and give each of them their own paragraph about the chances of each while reminding everyone at the same time that we're talking designs not the character itself (which should have it's own paragraph to begin with).
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I already have those assessments regarding Dark Pit and Magnus in my notes for the Kid Icarus analysis.
Perhaps I will re-group them together, at least for Mewtwo. The Zelda analysis is already completely finished though. I will probably have to do a lot of re-work for Zelda after E3 2013 comes though,
Kinda surprised this was stickied given that this is an opinion thread (no offense), that definitely says a lot so you should be proud Chrono.
Forgot to ask but out of curiosity when can we expect the next one (DK?) and are you planning on finishing this before E3?
Yeah, I was a bit surprised myself, but think its for the greater good overall. A lot of what I am saying although its basically common sense is not really known by those outside Smash Bros. speculation circles. So its definitely going to be a big help once we have more traffic as we approach E3 and when we formally get an E3 unveil.
It's possible in a Smash 5 or DLC at least, at minimal face value. I said this in the Mother thread and I'll say it here: I don't mind a series that has a fair representation. Fair representation =/= Overrepresentation. It wouldn't feel filler. Sure, it'd feel a bit odd, but Fire Emblem getting two Representatives in Melee was surely not normal. I would like to see your commentary on Masked Man nonetheless so it's not just "mother is boring moving on"
I'm more-or-less saying for people to keep their hopes and just not shoot to the moon. People were calling me crazy when I said Wolf had higher priority than Falco and Krystal last Smash; then again, I don't hold popular opinions. When Smash 64 came out, Wolf was only in Star Fox 64. I know what you're trying to get at, but I was just more-or-less mentioning it. I hate wild-ball comparisons or stupid arguments.
Your work pre-brawl days was actually good. Hell, I looked back at my past work, and it's honestly better than that. I do hope you keep going at it and maybe try some new writings in the future. You're doing a great job when it comes to Smash 4 already. I plan to bring "The Probable Character Roster" over once we get actual details of Smash 4
Actually wait, who would want to see it brought back now? I can give it a shot with all I know.
Edit: Actually, one more thing. I honestly don't think we'll see that many franchises get added characters but maybe that's just me being nitpicky. The only franchises that really had any additions in Brawl were DK, SF, Mother, and Kirby, but meh the future is out.
Okay, there was actually quite a bit on this post I feel is wrong.
I strongly doubt Mother will ever get a third slot in Smash Bros. The demand is simply not there, both in the West and Japan.
As for DLC for Smash 4, I think if we did get character DLC for Smash, it would largely consist of Smash Bros. veterans that were cut or newcomers that Sakurai could not implement due to time constraints (think Toon Zelda and possibly Dixie Kong).
As for people yelling about you in regards to Wolf being a higher priority than Krystal, the thing is (I write about this extensively in my Wolf assessment) is that Wolf was always among the most wanted characters for Smash Bros. He got a massive boost in requests from showing up in the E3 2001 trailer, and many people were expecting him for the second Star Fox in Melee.
After Melee's release Wolf was by far the most wanted character for a Star Fox newcomer, and it stayed that way until mid-2006. Really, what made Krystal competitive with Wolf in terms of requests was Sakurai's statement about Zero Suit Samus, which was grossly misinterpreted by female character supporters.
However, even after that event, Wolf was pretty much even with Krystal in terms of requests, in Japan (who hate the post-64 Star Fox games), Wolf had far more requests than Krystal did.
Really I don't know why you say:
People were calling me crazy when I said Wolf had higher priority than Falco and Krystal last Smash; then again, I don't hold popular opinions. When Smash 64 came out, Wolf was only in Star Fox 64.
Considering that Wolf during pre-Brawl, had appearances in Assault, Command, and of course 64 (as well as the scrapped Star Fox 2). Really the lack of game appearances argument could just as much applied to Krystal (who missed the two most acclaimed games to the series), and only appeared in Adventures, Assault, and Comman, as it did to Wolf.
I think you just spent too much time around Krystal fanboys during pre-Brawl. There was plenty of people that felt Wolf was next in line before Krystal. It was really the revelation of "Dark Fox" and the Krystal voice actress leak that Krystal supporters got insufferably arrogant to say stuff like that.
As for FE getting two characters in Melee:
1. Sakurai is a very big fan of FE.
2. Almost every main character to the FE series at that point was feasible as a clone to Marth.
By comparison, there could not have been a DK clone (except possibly DK Jr.) or Kirby clone newcomer made.
As for this statement:
The only franchises that really had any additions in Brawl were DK, SF, Mother, and Kirby, but meh the future is out
Nearly every non-retro veteran franchise (franchises that already had a playable character in Melee) received a newcomer in Brawl except Mario, F-Zero, and Yoshi. Brawl was pretty much almost about beefing up Nintendo's franchise aside from Mario/Zelda for newcomers (which was the focus for Melee).
I am sorry if I sounded critical in this post, but I just wanted to correct a few things you said, so please don't take it personally.
I do appreciate that you have a high thought of my works, and I hope you like the next analysis that I will post at the beginning of next week.
Well, the franchises that could arguably warrant a new character this time around is Metroid with Ridley, Kid Icarus with Palutena, and Donkey Kong with King K. Rool. Keep in mind that other choices that get thrown around have a lot of problems with competition, in other words nobody can exactly agree on stuff related to things like Fire Emblem, Mario, Pokemon, and Zelda. Another problem is that a lot of choices suffer from a very shaky basis, ether due to a broken "love it or hate it" type deal, not being deserving enough, or just generally unenthusiastic endeavors.
Also in other news, I'm waiting for the analyse for Kid Icarus, Fire Emblem, Kirby, retro franchises, and new franchises.
Yeah I actually agree with this. I think the only series that absolutely do need newcomers this time are Metroid, DK, and Kid Icarus. Mario could also use one too, however, the problem is that there is absolutely no consensus on who it should be. Mewtwo and Roy may be the only "new" characters added for Pokemon and FE, so technically they may not count as "newcomers" per se. And for all the other true newcomers for Pokemon and FE there is a lot division and disagreement (people cannot even agree on which FE13 character or female FE character it should be).
As for the analyses you listed, the Kirby series analysis is completely finished. Surprisingly, there was quite a bit written for it (a lot of it talked about Bandanna Dee) and it did have an extensive non-contender section.
As for existing franchise, Pokémon, Zelda and Fire Emblem also got newcomers in Brawl. We got a lot of existing franchise additions in Brawl. That said, the ratio of existing franchise (not including Melee veterans) and new franchise (including retro, misc. and third-parties) getting newcomers will probably be closer than it was in Brawl.
I think if Smash 4 were to have 12 newcomers this time (not including Mewtwo and Roy), they would be better off including reps for new series entirely than scrapping the bottom of the barrel for veteran franchises. Really, in terms of important actors, you really only have Ridley, K. Rool, Palutena, and one of Toad/Bowser Jr./Paper Mario to put in. I would like to think of Dixie Kong as pretty important too, but unfortunately, there is not as much interest in her as a lot of other characters (even Toad has more interest than Dixie). I do think Dixie Kong has a 50/50 shot at getting in though.
But focusing more on series without a playable character, would be for the best this time. Little Mac, Takamaru, Shulk, Isaac, Mega Man, and possibly Dillon or Starfy or Saki could bring a lot more to the table than something like Waluigi could. Ray and Lip could also potentially work as great new reps too, though I am very doubtful on their chances for the actual Smash 4.