The Official Conquest Thread

[BlakDragon]

I appreciate the added support they're giving the Conquest mode. I'm guessing the ease of getting custom parts means that 2nd or even 3rd place finishers will be given custom parts, but with lowered efficacy than the ones for first place. That'd still be better than the usual 1k coins by a great deal.

Oh man, this Conquest prize should be fun. I already have plenty of negative-effect offense badges on the Wii U version to stack with this! I'll gladly take double attack power (that's what you get when you max out your fighter's attack stat) for no respawn invulnerability & slightly lower defense.

I think I'll trust Steady's prediction and rock Robin for both versions. Indeed Robin is the most popular among the three that I've seen, and one I'll gladly pick over Wario and especially ROB. ROB's yet another case of "more fun to play against than to play as" for me.

 

[TaRtOoN-Hand94]

And the Results Are:

On the 3DS:

Limitless Uses: December 16th December 23rd

Swords & Tomes Win with 52% in the whole World, 53% in the Americas, 52% in Asia, and 25% in Europe and Oceania.
Beams & Burners Second with 25% in the whole World, 24% in the Americas, 26% in Asia, But 22% in Europe and Oceania.
Wario Waft Loses with 23% in the whole World, 23% in the Americas, 22% in Asia, But 25% in Europe and Oceania.

And once again my prize was 1000 Gold for 60 points to Wario Waft.
So Robin won this week. Did anybody expect anything else?
The fact that R.O.B. made it into 2nd place makes me feel less guilty about not being able to support my other main this time around. There's always that twinge of disappointment considering how well I did in my matches, winning nearly all of them at first place... Oh well. C'est la Conquest...
------------------------------------

New Conquest!
December 23rd December 30th
Color Clash: Red, Blue, Green
Team Red
Team Blue
Team Green

So it's this conquest again huh? Well in the spirit of supporting my mains, I'm going to side with the team that has the most of my mains on it. And that is Green Team by far.

 

[Splooshi Splashy]

Wii U Results:
Beams & Burners () got 2nd w/ 27% in the World & Americas, and 26% in Europe & Oceania, and Japan.

Swords & Tomes () got 1st w/ 49% in the World, 48% in the Americas, Europe & Oceania, & 51% in Japan. Points earned with Green Mage were 22 points in 3 bouts on Wii U, & 24 points in 4 bouts on 3DS.

Waft got 3rd w/ 24% in the World, 25% in the Americas, 26% in Europe & Oceania, and 23% in Japan.

Spoils for 1st on both 3DS & Wii U:

Bob-Omb Boots (+78 Speed & -30 Attack)

Robin DID win as expected, but ROB winning by as thin of a margin over Wario as it did wasn't what I expected.


*Cue "Colors of the Heart" by UVERworld from the BLOOD+ 3rd OP Single, provided in the Spoiler Tab below for the hype~*

Spoiler

Points Earned So Far: 2 points on 3DS & 12 points on Wii U, both w/ , who I'll be repping this week for the Green Team~


Place Predictions for both Wii U & 3DS:
1st: Green Team (I'll admit, I'm very tempted to put the Red Team at 1st instead of Green Team, because & my own 1st Main (As much as it pains me to admit this ) are the clear Loads, which can weigh down this team more than what will do to the Red Team, though Mac, Link (not so much Toon), Bowser, and possibly Luigi have excellent track records that can help curb this.)

2nd: Red Team (With as the one clear Load (with as a possible 2nd Load), I'm QUITE tempted to put Green Team here at 2nd instead, due to the sheer amount of proven Conquest winners on deck here.)

3rd: Blue Team (MK Leo may have had an incredibly impressive showing with at ZeRo Saga last weekend, but other than MegaYoshi & Ike & MAYBE Sanic, just about everyone else there can be considered The Load, which for our purposes here, I personally define as those who aren't known for winning Conquests very often, such as )

((Dropping this here for the readers who may not know what The Load actually is: http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/TheLoad ))

Misc. Stats of Mine for 3DS Specifically: 83 Conquest Wins & 5450 Total Points Contributed


Self-RP Scene Tease Count in Relation to Previewing Shimmering Eyes in Some Way: 17 Weeks So Far....

 

[SteadyDisciple]

LAST WEEK: What? Robin won? With over 50% of the points? Who could have seen that coming...

No reward to report, but as expected, someone else has it covered

THIS WEEK: Tartoon, Splooshi, I think you might both be a bit disappointed in your choices this week...

#1 = Team Red: If the numbers are right, I see Red winning by a decent margin. and are a bit of a drag, but , , and are all slightly above average, and are full-blown good, and has consistently held a top 3 slot for representation that dwarfs most other characters' numbers.

#2 = Team Blue: No real toss ups for me this week, Blue fits comfortably between the expected scores of the other teams. and are the burdens here, with , , and offering a decidedly "meh" amount of help. and are doing good work, and is another top 3 powerhouse, but there are just more liabilities, and the ones they have are worse than Red teams'.

#3 = Green Team: Yeah... this isn't super pretty guys. and are murder on team scores, with the former still being in the bottom three for expected reps. and passable but underwhelming, and in spite of everyone's expected performance of the numbers only see him being a bit above average. gets things done, but isn't really a standout. The real deal-breaker is having and as your top 2 workhorses. Both are very good, but neither of them can break even a 2/3rds representation margin of the big 3.

Now, admittedly and have a strong history of helping their teams that could surprise me, maybe get them up to 2nd, but I will be very surprised if Red doesn't take the pot. As such, I suppose I can help out The Pink Puffball this week.

 

[BlakDragon]

Good, there are at least two of you that have different predictions for who takes first place. I'll side with Team Blue on the Wii U version and play Mega Man. Get your kills stolen by my lemons, bahahaha. Picking Luigi of green team on 3DS version to get early kills with shoryukens and flushes (down-b spike gimps).

Bob-omb Boots is an interesting prize. The item itself can do great work either for you or against you, depending on the circumstances. BTW, just throw it off-stage if Mr. Game & Watch opposes you. Giving him oil fuel is the last thing you want to do! Not enough people do this against me when I play G&W and they get to learn the hard way instead.

 

[TaRtOoN-Hand94]

And the Results Are:
On the 3DS:
Color Clash: Red, Blue, Green: December 23rd December 30th
Team Red Wins with 38% in the whole World, 37% in the Americas, 40% in Asia, But 33% in Europe and Oceania.
Team Green Second with 32% in the whole World, 33% in the Americas, 30% in Asia, But 35% in Europe and Oceania.
Team Blue Loses with 30% in the whole World, 30% in the Americas, 30% in Asia, and 32% in Europe and Oceania.
My prize was 1000 Gold for 53 points contributed to Team Green.

------------------------------------

New Conquest!
December 30th January 6th
80's Classics
1980 - 1983
1984 - 1985
1986 - 1987

I have a policy with choosing conquest teams: Stick with the mains. And if more than one team has a main of mine, stick witht he most mains. And just about everyone on team 1984 - 1985 is a main of mine, so I'll be representing them into the new year.

 

[SteadyDisciple]

LAST WEEK: The first week thusfar that prooves simple frequency of use in a single mode is not enough to determine conquest results. Still, got the important one right, which was also the result I was most certain of, so...

Reward for 1st on the Wii U with 24 points:
Critical Hitter Bat (+32 Attack, -30 Defense, Critical hit capability.)

THIS WEEK:

#1 = Team 1980-1983:. Based on my predictions, Red should dominate this week., , and are all sub-par, and is only average, but and are both awesome, especially the latter.

#2 = Team 1984-1985:. Pretty sure blue team gets 2nd, but there is room for doubt. is as horrible as ever, with , , and not helping much either. is pretty good, and is even better, but it's too little too late.

#3 = Team 1986-1987: coming up a character short really hurt Green here. also hurts a lot, with not fairing much better. is passable, and and are outright good, but no one is quite good enough to make up the gap.

I have a similar policy to Tartoon, playing the team that is most likely to win which also includes at least 1 character I play (unless Wii Fit Trainer is in there, in which case Yoga Warrior all the way). Looks like this week I lucked out again, and will be repping the Bruiser from the Bronx for team 1980-1983

 

[YoshiDryBones]

Wow, this is such an empty thread. Is conquest not that popular among Sm4sh players?

And in terms of Conquests, I haven't won a bunch of them because my policy is different from most people. Support the team with the most characters you love, not the one who you think will win. Now I know that isn't smart in terms of winning the rewards, but I would rather lose supporting my favourite characters instead of jumping on the bandwagon. It makes the rare win that much more satisfying.

 

[Splooshi Splashy]

I'll admit, for as punctual as I've been with when I submit my posts here, it's a mite unusual for me to be this late about it. Pinning it on this cold I came down with for the last 4 to 5 days or so, which is still going on, though it doesn't seem as bad now as it was during Days 2 to 4 of it. Here's to hoping it doesn't get worse with the coughing phase that has haunted the other times I've come down with a cold.
Wii U Results:
Red Team got 1st w/ 39% in the World & Americas, 34% in Europe & Oceania, and 41% in Japan.

Blue Team got 3rd w/ 29% in the World, 28% in the Americas, 30% in Europe & Oceania, & 29% in Japan.

Green Team got 2nd w/ 32% in the World, 33% in the Americas, 36% in Europe & Oceania, and 30% in Japan. Points earned with were 26 points in 4 bouts on Wii U & 22 points in 4 bouts on 3DS.

Spoils for 2nd on both 3DS & Wii U:

1000G

It went as both myself & SteadyDisciple predicted (I DID say that I was TEMPTED to put the following as it happened): Red Team taking it over Green Team. However, Blue Team getting as close as it did to taking 2nd place both was & wasn't impressive.


Points Earned So Far: 12 points on 3DS & 11 points on Wii U, both w/ Dalmation

, who I'll be repping this week for the Blue Team~


Place Predictions for both Wii U & 3DS:


3rd: 1986 - 1987 (Let's be real here: Traditionally, teams with 1 whole less person on it than what every other team has are generally doomed to being down here. For as great as Ryu, Samus, & Mega are, I don't think they're great enough to make up for being 1 person short of every other team here, and the Loads, Pit & Palu, aren't going to do much here.

2nd: 1980 - 1983 (I'm TEMPTED to put 1984 - 1986 here instead--

(How 'bout NO, Splooshi? How 'bout YOU keep MY team in 1st Place? This COULD be THEE week where I FINALLY WIN one of these Weekly Conquests!)

<Splooshi (AKA, RL Me)> "I'd love to, Blue Hunt, but unlike your team this week, Team Early 80's only has 2 Loads in the form of Game Pac & Watch Man, in comparison to your team's 4, one of whom--"

"Is you!"

(Curses!)

(Even so, Link & Bowser can work miracles!)

<Splooshi> "That's what we're hoping for, Blue Hunt, since I'm staying by your side this week, despite how much I want to put the Early 80's Team in the 1st Place spot."

1st: 1984 - 1986


Misc. Stats of Mine for 3DS Specifically: 83 Conquest Wins & 5482 Total Points Contributed


Self-RP Scene Tease Count in Relation to Previewing Shimmering Eyes in Some Way: 18 Weeks So Far....

 

[Nathan Richardson]

I actually won this one (soooo late) I love my zard lol but seriously was it any surprise?

 

[mario sucks]

the conquest option isnt there anymore for my smash 3ds, what happened??

 

[BlakDragon]

Welp, neither of my teams won. Dang it, I use Ness and Lucas a fair amount and would've liked those prizes!

This is the first Conquest of January, so now we can discover what prize is given to losing teams; I'm hoping that at least the 2nd place finisher gets something better than the usual 1000 G. In the last 80's Classics round, Red Team was one of the losing teams so I'll be using Mr. Game & Watch from that side on the 3DS version; I'll use blue team's Bowser on the Wii U version because I think they've the most popular characters. Plus, killing folks at 20 with Bowser is fun. <:

 

[TaRtOoN-Hand94]

And the Results Are:

On the 3DS:

80's Classics: December 30th January 6th
1980 - 1983 Wins with 46% in the whole World, 44% in the Americas,40% in Europe and Oceania and 47% in Asia.
1984 – 1985 Second with 32% in the whole World, 35% in the Americas, 39% in Europe and Oceania and 30% in Asia.
1986 – 1987 Loses with 22% in the whole World, 21% in the Americas, 21% in Europe and Oceania and 23% in Asia.

My prize was… big surprise. 1000 Gold for 72 points contributed to team 1984 - 1987.
Good to see not much has changed so far this new year. As disappointed as I am to see Pit and Lady Palutena score so low on a Conquest yet again, I gotta remember that 3rd Party DLC isn’t always a sure-win anymore. Especially when the characters in question are not broken.
------------------------------------

New Conquest!
January 6th - January 13th.
Brains vs. Brawn vs. ESP
Team Brains:
Blue Brawn:
Team ESP:

As of right now I am in conflict as to who to support. Going by my mains I'd jump to Wii Fit Trainer's side in an instant, but seeing how both her and Donkey Kong have already passed by 100 victory limit I could only support as Captain Falcon. On the other hand I am quote proficient with both Zelda and Palutena, both of whom have plenty of victories left in them.
Then again my buddy Steady Disciple probably has Wii Fit Trainer's back, in which case I'll take Team Brains this week.

 

[Splooshi Splashy]

Wii U Results:
1980 - 1983 got 1st w/ 44% in the World, 43% in the Americas, 42% in Europe & Oceania, and 47% in Japan.

1984 - 1985 got 2nd w/ 35% in the World, 36% in the Americas, 38% in Europe & Oceania, & 31% in Japan. Points earned with

were 26 points in 3 bouts on Wii U & 23 points in 2 bouts on 3DS.

1986 - 1987 got 3rd w/ 21% in the World & Americas, 20% in Europe & Oceania, and 22% in Japan.

Spoils for 2nd on both 3DS & Wii U:

1000G

And again, my temptation to swap places ends up being the winning idea, which again, SteadyDisciple is right on the dot about. ONE of these weeks, , you WILL win one of these Weekly Conquests, however long that'll take, and whatever lucky combination of combatants it'll take for you to look like you genuinely have a shot at taking 1st place.

*Cue "Ice Brain in Resonance" from the Rockman Zero Collection Soundtrack -résonnant vie-, located in the Spoiler Tab below~*

Spoiler

Points Earned So Far: 6 points on 3DS w/ Green & 2 points on Wii U w/ Orange Helmet , both for Team Brawn, which I'll be repping this week~


Place Predictions for both Wii U & 3DS:

3rd: Brains (Sorry , but there's only so much you can do when you're saddled with 2 Loads & Falcon's in town.)

2nd: ESP (Were it not for Team Brawn, I'd be handing 1st Place to Team ESP, due to the Mother leads being more capable of making things happen than Zelda & Palu, which, combined with 's on 'n off performances, could be enough to offset 's might.)

1st: Brawn (The might of DK & especially Falcon will be more than enough to practically provide coattails for to ride on for a 1st place finish. Plus, the last time I tried rooting against Falcon, it didn't go so well, as Page 9 of this Thread will likely show you.)


Misc. Stats of Mine for 3DS Specifically: 83 Conquest Wins & 5499 Total Points Contributed


Self-RP Scene Tease Count in Relation to Previewing Shimmering Eyes in Some Way: 20 Weeks So Far....

This upcoming Sunday at 9 AM Pacific Time is the start of Awesome Games Done Quick 2017, though the 1st game to be spedrun this time around doesn't seem as big of a bang as last year's Splatoon's solo campaign was, since Ape Escape 2 will be kicking off AGDQ this year.

However, this year, SSB MELEE is on the schedule for Tuesday, January 10th, at 7:50 AM (This may shift either earlier or later in the day, depending on how the rest of the games before this go) Pacific Time (UTC-08:00), which is when Fuzzyness will do an All Events run of it, which is slated to have an estimate of 0:55:00 (as in, 55 minutes).

Check out the full schedule for the event here, within 2 days (including today) before the week actually starts: https://gamesdonequick.com/schedule

Personally, here's the following games I'm looking forward to seeing speedruns of over the upcoming week, starting on Sunday, January 8th:

Spoiler

Borderlands 2
Mega Man 1
Super Mario Kart


Monday, January 9th:
Magic Sword
Sunset Riders
Super Bomberman
Smart Ball
Mario Paint
Battle Clash
(MOST ANTICIPATED RUN OF AGDQ 2017, RIGHT HERE!! 8D BIGGEST SURPRISE OF ALL TIME, RIGHT HERE!! The AMOUNT of HYPE I have for this is ASTRONOMICAL, for I NEVER would've EVER thought I'd SEE Battle Clash EVER show up in a marathon, let alone one as prestigious as the GDQs!! 83) , INDEED!!
Sega Bass Fishing
Rocket: Robot on Wheels
Tetris with Cardcaptor Sakura: Eternal Heart (This & Rocket, I've never played, but I AM intrigued by both, nonetheless.)
Sparkster
Decap Attack


Tuesday, January 10th:
Jazz Jackrabbit
Pac-Man World
Mega Man Legends
SSBM (All Events, it's only natural that I, if not other numerous readers here, would want to check THIS one out! > )
Metroid Prime 2: Echoes
Descent II
Daikatana
Doom (2016) (I've yet to play it, but having ADORED (Ultimate) Doom 1 & 2, along with Heretic, Hexen, and Strife, I'm curious about this one.)
Mini Super Mario block


Wednesday, January 11th:
Gauntlet
Kabuki Quantum Fighter
Cobra Triangle (Another surprise, though not as big of one as Battle Clash, IMO)
The Krion Conquest (I've heard some things, but never really seen it or played it....)
Street Fighter 2010: The Final Fight
River City Ransom
Little Samson
Yume Penguin Monogatari
Trojan (Surprise #3, though this one's more of one than Cobra Triangle, again, IMO)
Shinobi III: Return of the Ninja Master (The Holy Grail of the Shinobi series.... I THINK it still is??)
Bishi Bashi Special
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition (I've heard grand things about this one....)
Castlevania: Rondo of Blood

Mega Man 6 (On a casual non-speedrunning level, this is the absolute 1st & most fav Mega Man game I've ever played, and it's where 's Down Smash came from~)
Mega Man Network Transmission (I STILL fondly remember how hilarious it was to see Adam Sessler spill SO MUCH SALT over its difficulty while reviewing this on X-Play on TechTV, over a decade ago! XD)
Mega Man X
Batman Forever


Thursday, January 12th (SAME DAY as the Switch Presentation at 8PM PST!):
Dragon's Lair
A Nightmare on Elm Street
Cheetahmen (Action 52)
King of Kings: The Early Years
T&C 2: Thrilla's Surfari
Wayne's World
Big Nose the Caveman
Donkey Kong 5: The Journey of Over Time and Space
007: Nightfire
Trauma Center: New Blood
Sonic Advance 2
Sonic R

Sonic Adventure 2: Battle
Mystery Game Tournament (My most favorite kind of tournament of ALL TIME!! 8D)
Kirby's Dream Land 3
The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past
Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door (The Switch Presentation at 8 PM Pacific Time, I'm CERTAIN is going to eat into this run's viewer count, so I'm sympathizing with Almo, Sjorec, and the rest of the AGDQ staff who are going to be on duty during this run. :<)
Grief Syndrome
La-Mulana Remake (HOOO boy is this one a HARD Metroidvania!)


Friday, January 13th:
Ducktales
Star Wars: Shadows of the Empire (Poor glasnonck, your run's likely going to have its viewer count sapped by the Treehouse gameplay demonstration at 05:30 AM PT. ;<)
Super Star Wars: Return of the Jedi (This too is hard, though depending on how long the above demonstration goes, your run too, Striker, will have its viewer count sapped. 3
Metal Slug 3
Contra
Super C
Contra 4
Kirby Super Star
Donkey Kong Country Trilogy Relay
Super Mario 3D Land
The Legend of Zelda: The Minish Cap


Saturday, January 14th:
Fire Emblem: Blazing Sword
Disney's Extreme Skate Adventure
Tiny Toon Adventures
Tom and Jerry
Darkwing Duck
Super Mario Galaxy 2
Super Dram World
The entirety of the TASBot Block~
The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker HD
Super Metroid
Undertale


Sunday, January 15th, and beyond:
Bonus Stream, maybe??

 

[SteadyDisciple]

LAST WEEK: There's no school like the old school, I guess. Glad to see the numbers still matching up after last week's... hiccup. Honestly, between the holiday, power outages, and playing a character who can randomly die at, like, 10%, I'm glad I got enough points to contribute.

Reward for 1st on the Wii U with 22 points:
Vampire Protection Badge ( +33 Defense, -26 Speed, * Lifesteal )

THIS WEEK: Didn't this conquest happen last year, with ESP winning it all? I remember being very confused about no Little Mac on team Brawn. Well, my numbers aren't based on previous results, so let's see where they all land. After all, hype for the two DLC characters may have died down since then.

#1 = Team Brawn: Let's be blunt here. is in a league of his own this week, having repeatedly held the title of most common character in my figures, and never having dropped beyond 2nd. Heck, even if you got rid of his two teammates, I'd still put him getting second. is pretty average, and continues to slow things down, but this is still barely a contest.
Expected final percentage: ~48%

#2 = Team ESP: The team with the most consistently good characters. is leading the charge by a small margin, with both and hot on his heels. Even put together, though, they barely outstrip a single member of Blue.
Expected final percentage: ~35%

#3 = Team Brains: This... isn't pretty.  and  both already have representation that is below average at best. Then you saddle them with , and it's a perfect recipie for last place. This will not end well for Red.
Expected final percentage: ~17%

The most likely mixup here is ESP possibly taking first, but I just don't see it this week.

Also, a deep thank you to Tartoon for the gracious offer, but you may have wanted to go with your gut here. There's still time to switch!

Also also, I find it entertaining and odd that both myself and the two biggest contributors to the Conquest page over the years have soft spot for Wii Fit Trainer, one of the worst Conquest characters. Coincidence?

 

[BlakDragon]

I got the Vampire badge on the 3DS version, yay. I really like that effect; if you're lucky, it can proc at the same time you land a critical hit with the respective badge equipped. You could deal 100+ damage and heal half of that for yourself!

There possibly goes my theory of custom parts being awarded to 2nd place finishers. I didn't contribute as much as Tartoon, but the hope was for the player to have their consolation prize upgraded if they contributed a lot of points anyway...

Falcon's in play, so I'm going to flock to his team, of course, but I'm still NOT using that jerk. I'll use the funny ape instead.

 

[YoshiDryBones]

Well, I supported the green team on both systems and got last place, not to my surprise. I must say, being a Kid Icarus fan is harsh I think this is the 3rd week in-a-row for and I'll be repping her again, but I'm not expecting the results to be any good

For this week, team Brawn will definitely win, with probably around 65%. Heck, even if you put in a group of his own, he'd still win against everyone. Team ESP will be 2nd; all the characters in this group are decently popular. And probably finishing last is team Brains; is probably the only character people play sometimes and the other 2 are next to nonexistent online.

 

[Splooshi Splashy]

Wii U Results:
Team Brains got 3rd w/ 20% in the World, 19% in the Americas, 21% in Europe & Oceania, and 19% in Japan.

Team Brawn got 1st w/ 45% in the World, 45% in the Americas, 46% in Europe & Oceania, & 48% in Japan. Points earned with Orange Helmet was 20 points in 4 bouts on Wii U, & with Green , 22 points in 4 bouts on 3DS & 6 points in 1 bout on Wii U, which when combined with what I've earned with Orange Helmet Falcon, actually becomes 26 points in 5 bouts on Wii U.

Team ESP got 2nd w/ 35% in the World, 36% in the Americas, 33% in Europe & Oceania, and 33% in Japan.

Spoils for 1st on both 3DS & Wii U:

Smash Ball Clinger Clothes (+84 Defense & -31 Speed)
For the 1st time since our drastic increase in activity here, Steady, Blak, YoshiDryBones, and myself have all accurately called the winning team. While the DLC Hype Train sensation may have shockingly overturned Team Brawn back then, with their freshness having long since vanished by now, things finally went down as I expected it to, back then.


Points Earned So Far: 6 points on both 3DS & Wii U w/ , who I'll be repping this week, like I did back then~


Place Predictions for both Wii U & 3DS:

3rd: (Even in a week full of Loads, in direct comparison to your competitors for this week, you're basically the biggest Load of the 3, since you have neither Doc's similarity to Mario, nor Jr's 2016 buffs & recent Switch Presentation attention, to really make anything happen this week.)

2nd: (2ManyCooks having dropped you recently is QUITE the blow, as is the absence of Nairo's Doc (He hasn't brought him out lately, has he?), but at least being generally similar to plain ol' Mario can help him barely eke out a 2nd place win over G&W, if the data recorded in this Thread on Page 3 is any indication (Which is REALLY what I'm basing this week's predictions on, given who barely won it last time....).)

1st: (As the reigning champion of this particular Conquest who not only has gotten a noteworthy buff last year in the form of significantly reduced cooldown on all of his Smashes (especially FSmash, which if you visit the Jr Discord server, you'll find it's the :safe: emote), but is also slated to return to the Mario Kart series in 8 Deluxe, it stands to reason that he's got what it takes to defend the title. >:D)


Misc. Stats of Mine for 3DS Specifically: 84 Conquest Wins & 5521 Total Points Contributed


Self-RP Scene Tease Count in Relation to Previewing Shimmering Eyes in Some Way: 21 Weeks So Far....

We're on Day 6 of the AGDQ 2017 speedrunning marathon, and as of when this post was submitted, the run in question was of the Ducktales 1 NES Any% race between Endy & garadas21.

 

[TaRtOoN-Hand94]

And the Results Are:

On the 3DS:

Brains vs Brawn…vs ESP: January 6th January 13th

Team Brawn Wins with 45% in the whole World, 44% in the Americas, 42% in Europe and Oceania and 48% in Asia.
Team ESP Second with 33% in the whole World, 34% in the Americas, 33% in Europe and Oceania and 31% in Asia.
Team Brains Loses with 22% in the whole World, 22% in the Americas, 25% in Europe and Oceania and 21% in Asia.
I think this is the first time I’ve ever seen Wii Fit Trainer on the victory screen. Good on her.
Back to me, oh yeah, 1000 Gold for 51 points to Team Brains.

------------------------------------

New Conquest!
January 13th January 20th.
Title Match
Mr. Game & Watch:
Dr. Mario:
Bowser Jr:

It’s already been confirmed, but this stands to remind us Conquest is looping.

 

[SteadyDisciple]

LAST WEEK: Ahh... it's a good feeling when your main wins. Still, it wasn't by quite as wide a margin as I had expected, and Team Brains put up a better fight than I thought as well.

Reward for 1st on the Wii U with 44 points:
Smash Ball Clinger Clothes ( +84 Defense, -31 Speed, * Smash Ball retention )

THIS WEEK: There's always so little to analyze on these weeks with only one character per team. That said, it's also usually the weeks with the easiest upsets.

#1 = Dr. Mario: is by no means common, but he is the most common of the three.
Expected final percentage: ~44%

#2 = Team Mr. Game & Watch: Most weeks, is dangerously close to the burden category. This week? Average.
Expected final percentage: ~35%

#3 = Team Bowser Jr.: Yeah, you knew he'd be last. Even with slim pickings like these, doesn't even get half the reps of Blue team.
Expected final percentage: ~21%

I could see any team moving up or down by a single position this week given how small the numbers are all around, but won't be #1, and won't be #3. For this week... well, I don't want to play any of them, but I guess since no one else has said they will be representing who I think will win, I should throw at least some points that way. It'd probably be a good idea for someone to send backup though.

 

[BlakDragon]

In the last Title Match Conquest, Bowser Jr. took first in both versions, but not spectacularly. I actually use Game & Watch and a bit of Jr, so I'll use the flat man on the 3DS version and the turtle brat on the Wii U version. I think Jr. has the edge because he comes in different "flavors;" you can play as him or one of the 7 Koopalings so he has that appeal factor going on.

Smash Ball Clinger's an interesting effect! I like to combine this with Super Final Smasher and Final Smash Healer to help retain the final smash glow, and its benefits, for longer into a game should I be the one to crack the smash ball open. I don't really use this loadout for characters with too important of a neutral special, though (examples being Samus's Charge Shot or Mega Man's Metal Blade).

 

[Splooshi Splashy]

Wii U Results:
got 3rd w/ 29% in the World, 29% in the Americas, 28% in Europe & Oceania, and 29% in Japan.

got 1st w/ 36% in the World, 39% in the Americas, 32% in Europe & Oceania, and 30% in Japan.

got 2nd w/ 35% in the World, 32% in the Americas, 40% in Europe & Oceania, and 41% in Japan. Points earned with were 28 points in 4 bouts on Wii U & 27 points in 3 bouts on 3DS.

Spoils for 2nd on both 3DS & Wii U:

1000G
Well well well, looks like we've got a new reigning champion for this particular Conquest, much to my surprise, though shout-outs to Steady for calling Doc NOT being 3rd & Jr NOT being 1st. To be honest, for the Wii U side of these results, it LOOKS like Jr & Doc should be switching spots, but that's just me, and the game itself gave Doc the 1st place, sooo...


Points Earned So Far: 11 points on 3DS (Replay sent on the U.S. FG FFA servers under the name "PatrollinDaRound") & 6 points on Wii U, both w/ Kehtas-- Er, Orange , who I'll be repping this week for Team DK, like I did back then~


Place Predictions for both Wii U & 3DS:

2nd: Team Mario (, , and possibly are the Powerhouses here, while the other half (, , ) are Loads (Less so Luigi, since he HAS pulled off some notable performances before).)

1st: Team DK (, , Kehtas , and possibly ; That's 1 more certain Powerhouse than what Team Mario's got. & aren't TOO well-known for making things happen in comparison to Luigi & possibly Yoshi, but I reckon they can at least do more than Fox.)


Misc. Stats of Mine for 3DS Specifically: 84 Conquest Wins & 5521 Total Points Contributed

Misc. Stats of Mine for Wii U Specifically: 90 Conquest Wins & 3753 Total Points Contributed


Self-RP Scene Tease Count in Relation to Previewing Shimmering Eyes in Some Way: 22 Weeks So Far....

 

[SteadyDisciple]

LAST WEEK: Well, my percentages were WAY off. Still, good to see that an education beats out pure seniority positions as expected. Super, SUPER kudos to the Bowser Jr. players absolutely demolishing my expectations. Just proof I need more data I suppose.

Reward for 1st on the Wii U with 44 points:
Meteor Master Gloves ( +50 Attack, -32 Defense, * Improved meteor effect )

THIS WEEK: This is more like it. I big, meaty pool of numbers to work with always makes for more accurate predictions. With that said...

#1 = Team Mario: It looks to be a pretty close race this week, but I'm giving Red team the edge. is one of the big 3, and recent data has him at the #1 most used spot in the entire game. is also really good, sitting in the top 5. and are both solid additions to the team, with not terribly far behind them. is the closest thing this team has to a burden, and even he is about average.
Expected final percentage: ~54%

#2 = Team Donkey Kong: Blue team may be the underdogs this week, but only just barely. is the real All-star, another top 3 titan, and while he is not currently holding the #1 spot he had done so up until very recently. appears to be the second biggest hitter, sitting comfortably in the top 10. is a solid addition, and and are average enough. Again, closest thing to a burden is , who is still only a hair below average.
Expected final percentage: ~46%

To be honest, I'd say this it too close to call. Red team has the numbers advantage, but not by a lot, and Blue has a number of characters with the K.O. power to rack up bonus points in other modes of play. Similarly, I'm torn on who to represent...

EDIT: Decided on going with this week. Both sides are covered either way, and since I don't use the equipment ever I have no real investment in supporting the team I expect to win.

 

[TaRtOoN-Hand94]

And the Results Are:

On the 3DS:

Title Match: January 13th January 20th

Dr. Mario Wins with 35% in the whole World, 30% in Asia But 41% in the Americas and 34% in Europe Oceania.
Bowser Jr Second with 33% in the whole World, 36% in Asia But 29% in the Americas and 38% in Europe Oceania.
Mr. Game & Watch Loses with 32% in the whole World, 34% in Asia But 30% in the Americas and 28% in Europe Oceania.

Hey Holy Moly! This is the first time I won a Conquest since... since... Anyway
My prize was a Meteor Master Gloves equipment for 59 points to Dr. Mario.
Didn't even win all the way around.
The Meteor Master Gloves: +50 Attack -32 Defense, * Improved meteor effect.
------------------------------------

New Conquest!
January 20th January 27th.
Smashing Since Before It Was Cool
Team Mario:
Team Donkey Kong:

So who won this one last time?
Either way I'm representing Team Mario as Yoshi.

 

[BlakDragon]

1% short are you kidding me? That's the last time I stop contributing after 20+ points. OTL

Doc gets a prize meant for other fighters; he doesn't even have any moves that launch downward (except maybe his Down B? The hitboxes near the feet share the same semi-spike properties as Luigi's Down B, apparently, but it's harder for Doc since I guess he can't get as much lift)

OK, Falcon, do your job and carry your Conquest team like usual, please. I'll do my best with Samus.

 

[TaRtOoN-Hand94]

And the Results Are:

On the 3DS:

Smashing Since Before It Was Cool: January 20th January 27th

Team Donkey Kong Wins with 52% in the whole World, 56% in Asia, But 47% in the Americas and 48% in Europe and Oceania.
Team Mario Wins with 48% in the whole World, 44% in Asia, But 53% in the Americas and 52% in Europe and Oceania.

My prize was 1000 Gold for 55 points to Team Mario.
How do you loose in 2 of the 3 regions and still win overall?
------------------------------------

New Conquest!
January 27h February 3rd.
Brawl Debutants
Team Dedede:
Team R.O.B.:
Team Olimar:
Against my better judgement, since they're the only 2 mains of mine in this conquest that haven't crossed my 100 victory limit, I'll be representing Team R.O.B. as R.O.B. and Wario.

 

[Splooshi Splashy]

Wii U Results:
Team got 1st w/ 52% in the World, 54% in the Americas, 53% in Europe & Oceania, and 46% in Japan.

Team got 2nd w/ 48% in the World, 46% in the Americas, 47% in Europe & Oceania, and 54% in Japan. Points earned with Kehtas Orange were 27 points in 3 bouts on 3DS & 6 points in 1 bout on Wii U. Points earned with Orange Helmet on Wii U were 21 points in 4 bouts. 6 + 21 = 27 points, and 1 + 4 = 5 bouts

Spoils for 1st on 3DS:

Imperfect Shield Banana (+90 Attack & -2 Defense)

Spoils for 2nd on Wii U:

1000G
While the 3DS side has Team DK defending their title, the Wii U side has Team Mario taking it from them. It's not every week that a team featuring Falcon on it would lose, but this is one of those rare times where we see just that.



Points Earned So Far: 8 points on both 3DS & Wii U, both w/ the GreenDee of thee Team Triple D, who I MIGHT be repping for this week, UNlike who I did back then, were it not for me having strong reservations against this. For the time being, consider me locked into Team Triple D as THEE GreenDeeKING.


Place Predictions for both Wii U & 3DS:

2nd: Team (THEE King himself & possibly are the only real Powerhouses here, while everyone else are Loads. You'd think that with & seeing MUCH actual tournament air time as top tiers, they'd be Tour De Forces out here in Weekly Conquest Land, but as numerous results over the last 2 years have shown us, they're practically bottom tiers in regards to how often they make things happen (less so Diddy at least, since he HAS been on winning Teams more often than ZSS). )

3rd: Team (IIRC, last time, your team soundly lost this one, and since you're now the only team here with just 4 peeps in it, consider your fate of a 3rd Place Finish sealed.)

1st: Team , or rather, Team Everyone Else That Isn't (Last time, by virtue of being the only team with 5 peeps on it, your team flat-out dominated. However, with Team Triple D now having acquired as their 5th Mate this time around, you won't be winning this THAT easily. With that said, however, seemingly Everyone Else That Isn't Alphimar on this team is a more consistent performer than the Loads on Team Triple D.)


Misc. Stats of Mine for 3DS Specifically: 85 Conquest Wins & 5577 Total Points Contributed

Misc. Stats of Mine for Wii U Specifically: 90 Conquest Wins & 3782 Total Points Contributed


Self-RP Scene Tease Count in Relation to Previewing Shimmering Eyes in Some Way: 23 Weeks So Far....

 

[SteadyDisciple]

LAST WEEK: Actually quite close to the expected numbers, and exactly right for my region. I suppose I should have guessed as much with the huge total reps between both teams. That said, I'm a bit concerned no one got the big prize due to the different results between 3DS and Wii U. Anyone who can pitch in with the equipment name/stats?

Reward for 2nd on the Wii U with 25 points:
1000 G

THIS WEEK: Pretty eclectic mix, and I'm just now realizing I play exactly 0 characters introduced in Brawl. Let's check balance.

#1 = Team King Dedede: This is a landslide victory, no other way to put it. leads the charge, sitting at top 30% for all characters and having the second highest reps of any character this week. , , and are close behind, all making the top 40% of the cast.  drags well behind, but the others can carry him just fine.
Expected final percentage: ~48%

#2 = Team Olimar: Overall not a terrible team, but not great either. is the standout for the whole week, tied with several other characters for the last spot in the top 20%. manages to be about average, but it only goes downhill from there. is pretty meh, and is something of a hinderance. last is , literally THE least played character online. Long story short, Sonic is the best this week, but he just isn't enough to carry his team.
Expected final percentage: ~35%

#2 = Team R.O.B.: Ouch. The worst spread of reps AND the smallest team? appears to be the best asset here, and that alone should say something since he's barely escaping a bottom 20% placement. , , and are all burdens in my book. This team makes me seriously think the teams should have been shuffled.
Expected final percentage: ~17%

So, yeah, numbers say it all this week. I probably won't be repping anyone, since my pick is covered and I'm working on learning a new character not in the conquest this week. That said, I might throw some points at Green, just to cover our bases since Splooshi already has Red on lock.

 

[BlakDragon]

Imperfect Shield, eh? I really like punishing attacks with a perfect shield and countering accordingly, so I don't think I'll use this in PVP settings. However, this does have some use in Classic Mode against Master Shadow or whatever the copycat on FD is properly called: they copy your character and their loadout they have, so they too will lose their perfect shield punishes that the AI normally get away with so often. Splooshi, thanks for identifying that useful tip long ago, it made my Master Shadow fights more manageable =) (actually I think the AI elect not to shield as much if they grab the Imperfect Shield effect, maybe that's just me)

Right, well Falcon betrayed my expectations and didn't win on the Wii U version so I'll pick 2 different teams: Charizard on 3DS and Lucas on Wii U. Zard's actually super fun to play, and can do serious damage in FFAs so long as he doesn't get focused =x

 

[TaRtOoN-Hand94]

And the Results Are:

On the 3DS:

Brawl Debutants: January 27th 2017 February 3rd 2017

Team Olimar Wins with 48% in the whole World, 49% in the Americas, 48% in Europe and Oceania and 49% in Asia.
Team Dedede Second with 32% in the whole World, 34% in the Americas, 32% in Europe and Oceania and 30% in Asia.
Team R.O.B. Loses with 20% in the whole World, 17% in the Americas, 20% in Europe and Oceania and 21% in Asia.

My prize was 1000 Gold for 78 points to Team R.O.B.
I'm slowly but surely remembering why I wanted to quit doing Conquest.
------------------------------------

New Conquest!
February 3rd 2017 February 10th 2017.
Heroic Blades
Master Sword:
Buster Sword:

On a real, does this even matter anymore?
I have to scrub my fingers in acid after typing this but we all know Cloud's gonna win.
Still, I'd rather loose 1% to 99% than support Cloud against Link.

 

[Splooshi Splashy]

Wii U Results:
Team got 2nd w/ 37% in the World, 38% in the Americas, 37% in Europe & Oceania, and 34% in Japan. Points earned with THEE GreenDee were 24 points in 3 bouts on 3DS & 21 points in 3 bouts on Wii U.

Team got 3rd w/ 17% in the World, 16% in the Americas, 17% in Europe & Oceania, and 18% in Japan.

Team got 1st w/ 46% in the World, 46% in the Americas, 46% in Europe & Oceania, and 48% in Japan.


Spoils for 2nd on both 3DS & Wii U:

1000G

And yet again, I turn down the temptation to switch sides, much to my detriment, and while the addition of was indeed most welcome for Team Triple D, allowing them to more solidly triumph over Team than last time, that still wasn't enough to dethrone the reigning champion that was & still is Team Everyone Else That Isn't .


Points Earned So Far: 8 points on 3DS & 10 points on Wii U, both w/ Blue Sleeved , who I'll definitely be repping for this week, exactly like I did back then.


Place Predictions for both Wii U & 3DS:

2nd: (Against a significant portion of the cast on just about any other week, you'd stand triumphant as a powerhouse. This week, however, much like the last time this exact Conquest happened, you're the underdog with seemingly little hope of taking 1st.)

1st: (Last time, he had the "freshly off the DLC Hype Train" factor. This time, he's got the "Despite those wrist-slap-sized nerfs from last year, I'm STILL one of the BEST characters around!" factor.)


Misc. Stats of Mine for 3DS Specifically: 85 Conquest Wins & 5601 Total Points Contributed

Misc. Stats of Mine for Wii U Specifically: 90 Conquest Wins & 3805 Total Points Contributed

Friendly Reminder: To qualify for the 1st Place Prize in any given week, you'll need to have earned 21 points MINIMUM for 1 Side. For those of you who may have been wondering why I consistently reach the 21 - 30-ish points range and seem to stay there, that is partially why.

Self-RP Scene Tease Count in Relation to Previewing Shimmering Eyes in Some Way: 24 Weeks So Far....

 

[SteadyDisciple]

LAST WEEK: Well, guess I'm eating my foot. I've never had a grouping I was this confident about go this badly. Ironically, I ended up repping the team that won anyways. Also, big news folks:

Reward for 1st on the Wii U with 17 points:
Vampire Agility Badge (+24 Speed, -23 Attack, * Lifesteal)

So... yeah... guess when we were hearing about it being easier to get rewards, this was it. We should probably figure out the new threshold, and if there is a difference in strength below the old threshold.

THIS WEEK: Another boring week, stats wise. Not much to really say.

#1 = Team Buster Sword: DLC reigns supreme. should take this, though not by a landslide.
Expected final percentage: ~56%

#2 = Team Master Sword: Well, if there are two competitors, and you aren't in first... could surprise me still though.
Expected final percentage: ~44%

Nothing left to do but sit back and watch. I won't be repping either team, but I might throw some points at Green just for the sake of coverage. Let's see how low we can go with these points...

Also, on an unrelated and shameless note:
Hey you! Yes, you!
Want to make predictions on who will be winning this week? Curious to know how popular your main is online? Swing into THIS THREAD RIGHT HERE to keep up with the latest on rates of character usage in 1v1 For Glory. Drop suggestions for what modes you would like to see analyzed! Keep up to date on character trends! Save perfectly legitimate science and mathematics from second-page obscurity with a friendly bump!

Ahem... carry on.

 

[Literally_Something]

As I spent a lot of my week gaining 24 points for Team R.O.B, and 6 points for Team Dedede, yet zero points for Team Olimar,

Bloody Hell.

 

[BlakDragon]

With that Vampire Agility Badge, I can complete a very effective loadout that carries two other conquest prizes in a vampire protection badge and trade-off attacker sword. Starting off at 30% is not a big deal when I deal ~45% more damage and can leech a great deal of health every time I get a combo string off. :D

OK the timing for this Conquest is awkward. Last time Cloud solidly won this popularity contest on both versions IIRC, but with that Art of Link video that released just prior to this event, I fear we're currently getting a surge of Link players in celebration of this. Nevertheless I'm rocking Cloud on both versions as he's still pretty dang popular.

 

[TaRtOoN-Hand94]

And the Results Are:

On the 3DS:

Heroic Blades: February 3rd 2017 February 10th 2017

Master Sword Wins with 52% in the whole World, 54% in the Americas, 59% in Europe and Oceania But 49% in Asia.
Buster Sword Loses with 48% in the whole World, 46% in the Americas, 41% in Europe and Oceania But 51% in Asia.

To my utter satisfaction, pride and disbelief, Link beat Cloud in a conquest. How the times have changed. Cloud lost just like Death Battle. This is more like it.
The prize was a Trade-off Attacker Sword for 83 points to Master Sword.
------------------------------------

New Conquest!
February 10th 2017 February 17th 2017.
On the Rebound
Team Mario:
Team Fox:
Team Ness:

 

[Splooshi Splashy]

Wii U Results:
got 2nd w/ 41% in the World, 42% in the Americas, 46% in Europe & Oceania, and 36% in Japan.
got 1st w/ 59% in the World, 58% in the Americas, 54% in Europe & Oceania, and 64% in Japan. Points earned with Blue Sleeved were 20 points in 2 bouts on 3DS & 23 points in 3 bouts on Wii U.

Spoils for 2nd on 3DS:

1000G

Spoils for 1st on Wii U:

Trade-Off Attacker Sword (+74 Attack & -32 Defense)

I too am positively STUNNED that Link, despite the certainty of just about every one of us here, managed to clutch it out against Cloud on the 3DS!
Perhaps the 2-part Art of Link vids by Izaw MIGHT'VE had some influence on that, as BlakDragon suggested....
It might also be that even Cloud succumbed to the possible fact that DLC Cast Members generally aren't as dominant on the 3DS as they are on the Wii U. :o

Speaking of the Wii U front, however, things definitely went as just about all of us here expected that week to have gone.


Points Earned So Far: 4 points on 3DS & 8 points on Wii U, both w/ Blue Coat , who I'll definitely be repping for this week, exactly like I did back then, possibly minus the Blue Coat part.


Place Predictions for both Wii U & 3DS:

1st: Team (Plain ol' Mario is our standout Powerhouse here, with fresh off of a surprising-to-me win against . Of the 2 Pits, 's the more notable one, but I reckon both Marios will be enough here, just like last time.)

2nd: Team (Speaking of last time, I had your team pegged at 3rd place back then. Now that I've reviewed Page 6 of this Thread, where it was reported that your team barely took 2nd place on both Wii U & 3DS, I'll heed history by putting your team here instead. 's a for-sure Load, and while 's the most notable one here, I've gotta give more credit to both & than I did last time, given how closely packed all 3 teams were.)

3rd: Team (Him & are this team's notable Powerhouses, though not to the extent of , but possibly more than . & are the Loads as usual, which wasn't what I thought of ROB as, back then, but now I do. They could still surprise me, though, since these last several weeks have certainly shown some shocking upsets.)


Misc. Stats of Mine for 3DS Specifically: 85 Conquest Wins & 5617 Total Points Contributed

Misc. Stats of Mine for Wii U Specifically: 91 Conquest Wins & 3805 Total Points Contributed


Friendly Reminder 2: To qualify for the 1st Place Prize in any given week, as Steady has mentioned, you'll need to have earned 17 points MINIMUM for 1 Side. Given that lowered confirmed minimum, I'll now advise aiming for 17+ points if you want to guarantee qualification. If any of you want to join me & Steady in finding the new minimum point floor, you're welcome to do so. Just be sure to keep us updated on what number you DID reach, before this week is up, so that the rest of us can make adjustments if need be.

I'm personally going to try aiming for 15 & 16 points this week, with the expectation of 16 being the new minimum, since when I tested for the old minimum, I aimed for 20 & 21 points for separate copies, both of which I did earn, and 21 turned out to be the winning number. If I get 15 and it STILL nets me the Equipment prize, then I'll consider aiming for 10 & 11 points next time. I'll try to keep you all updated during this week, rather than waiting until next Thursday, since having this intel reported before next Thursday night would be VERY helpful for anyone trying to reach those numbers.


Self-RP Scene Tease Count in Relation to Previewing Shimmering Eyes in Some Way: 25 Weeks So Far.... Until Now!

A 2-fer of short songs this week, starting with!

Spoiler: Fan Anime Mini Character Song, "PosiNega Doble", for the Bwin Twins, AKA Cehwin & Sebrin, from the 'Mon Division of Shimmering Eyes feat Reference Materials

http://sndfrosteyneko.tumblr.com/post/60269893628/chichi-neeeneee

And ending with this!

Spoiler: Fan Anime Mini Insert Song by the La'cwimains, "Fakers", feat Voicle, from the 'Mon Division of Shimmering Eyes feat Reference Materials

Edit: As I've promised, my current standings for this week, as of the time of this Edit, are as follows:

16 points in 4 bouts on the 3DS

22 points in 3 bouts on the Wii U

 

[BlakDragon]

Pardon me if y'all caught on already, but this is the same prize from the last Heroic Blades conquest. Good thing I already have this goody on my 3DS version from the last time Heroic Blades was run, so I don't lose out, but now I have this on Wii U too! Yay.

The first take of On the Rebound saw Red Team winning on both versions. I'm going to trust the past results and rock Mario this time for both games. I've only played a few games with him so far, and I already really like his buttons.

 

[SteadyDisciple]

LAST WEEK: Congratulations Cloud, no one is surprised that you won Wii U version. Heck, you won by an even wider margin than I had predicted, which is a first since I've been using data to make estimates.

Reward for 2nd on the Wii U with 12 points:
1000 Gold

THIS WEEK: I think Splooshi hit the nail on the head here, and the separations are pretty distinct.

#1 = Team Mario: At this point in time, any team with is practically a given to win conquest, with mario clocking in as the most used character head and shoulders beyond the rest of the cast, including the other top 3 giants. is the biggest load here, sitting somewhere in bottom 10. is sub-par, as is , but the team captain will likely carry all 3 teammates.
Expected final percentage: ~42%

#2 = Team Fox: is the best this team has to offer, and given that he's in the top 20% that isn't too shabby at all. With being about average, being above average, and also holding an average spot, this team is probably the most well-rounded, but just doesn't have an answer to Red team's powerhouse.
Expected final percentage: ~34%

#2 = Team Ness: Comparatively underperforming team captain in (who is admittedly still above average)? Check. Worst load of the week with , a bottom 3 character? Check. Heavily underperforming teammate in , another dead-weight? Check. Admittedly is pretty good, even just barely outshining Green's fearless leader, but it is too little, too late. This has all the makings of last place.
Expected final percentage: ~24%

I don't really see any upsets occurring this week, Mario is just too good, and Palutena/ROB are just too bad. Again, no teams I really want to rep here, but For the sake of finding the new minimum I will throw some points at Red team. If Splooshi is aiming high, I'll aim low. After all, we have no reason to assume it still takes multiple wins with one team.

And finally, again, if you want to see where these numbers are coming from, drop into THIS THREAD RIGHT HERE, which is updating TODAY with new numbers that no one will see because I can't bump the thread without double-posting.

EDIT: Also! If you are interested in the numbers behind Sm4sh, I highly, HIGHLY recommend THIS OTHER THREAD and all of it's links therein. The creator has done amazing work, not just analyzing total character usage but usage trends through Anther's Ladder for the more competitively minded folks. I wish I could have done similar analytics on For glory, the graphs are making me drool a little...

 

[Literally_Something]

This week's conquest theme confuses me. What's it about?

 

[Garo]

This week's conquest theme confuses me. What's it about?

Reflectors.