I'm not going to say he outright can't be wrong, but sadly I do believe him. And I certainly won't argue that he's being petty here. And smug. And all that's really special about him is, unlike other insiders, he never kept his yap shut. And the worst part is I bet he takes pride in that.
But regardless of what I think of him as a person, I do find him credible. I know people here are staunchly anti-insider, especially should they be painting a negative outlook of Isaac's odds, but there's been a breadcrumb trail all over resetera and beyond that makes Isaac seem... unlikely, even past Verg. And one leaker, sure, that can be an aberration. Case in point, I'd love to believe Mystic (or papagenos), but right now they're the odd men out. Really for me, Verg was just the final piece. Though an important one, I believe.
However, don't get me twisted, despite me defending Verg's credibility, which I do believe in, I would like nothing more than for him to be wrong, and for me to be wrong. Obviously. I'd love it, and I'd eat a feast of crow, smiling the entire time. And I know people here don't agree with me, and I don't blame them - I am, in effect, arguing against Isaac being included here. But I think the writing is on the wall.
I guess we'll see.