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All I'm getting at is if something is leaked, the orginal source is Nintendo. If you get the information from outside sources, they had to have gotten their information from Nintendo in order for it to be a "leak"; Nintendo is the source of the information because they are producing it.Look, I'm not really sure I understand what you're getting at here. Leaks clearly happen, as the Melee roster and Brawl rosters have both been completely revealed by sources outside Nintendo prior to the game's release. In here we classify a potential leak as anything seemingly presenting the final character roster, or bits and pieces of the game, before official reveal. Not just people's predictions, but potentially legitimate leaks. We get some less than savory crap in here, but it's better to keep track of everything you can than ignore a potential success.
I saw that too, then realized they also had hidden 1-10 and hidden 12. It's referring to the 12 hiddens in BrawlSomething to note is that there's 11 "hidden" sets of char images in that link. I'm not if that's just hidden starters or actual unlockable characters for the game, but it's fairly interesting regardless.
Uh I'm sure leaking isn't as serious as you claim. Otherwise it wouldn't keep happening every game. Enough with this crap.All I'm getting at is if something is leaked, the orginal source is Nintendo. If you get the information from outside sources, they had to have gotten their information from Nintendo in order for it to be a "leak"; Nintendo is the source of the information because they are producing it.
I understand that if I were truly leaking information, I wouldn't want the source to know I'm the one giving their information away, therefore I see why a leaker would want to be as concise as possible. The more you say, the more likely you are to get caught. So I get that legit leaks can and will be brief. What bothers me I guess is a good, legit leaker can never expose how they got the info without being caught by Nintendo, therefore we can only assume it's a leak. If we know it's a legit leak, Nintendo knows, and they will deal with it as they see fit... Unless it is known, it's just a potential leak, even if the information is true. Otherwise, we don't care how someone gets or comes up with information, if they are consistantly right, they obviously know what they're talking about and are worth listening to. Rumors. If that all makes sense. My apologies for being so technical about it. I'm just killing time until the game comes out o.O
http://smashboards.com/threads/ssb4-rumours-and-leaks.338842/page-757#post-16610062After an AC stage in brawl and Mega Man petitions, WFT could have been added to his original six picks on a whim.
Remember, Sal got the villager right DESPITE Sakurai saying that "Animal Crossing isn't violent enough" for Brawl. His "prediction" went DIRECTLY against what we previously knew from Sakurai's stance on AC in Brawl (and as we all know, it's possible for a game to have a stage without a playable character to go with it).
Then, he got WFT right, which, up until that point, no one even considered the WFT a candidate for a character.
To go AGAINST everything we knew about Sakurai's stance on Animal Crossing AND to pull a character like WFT out of the blue when no one considered her? Sal would have a better chance of being attacked by a shark that's being struck by lightning while it also won the lottery.
Yes, a true leaker can't say much about their position. It never seems to be a problem though, because tons of information is given away without Nintendo making any (obvious) action. granted, they can't without any backlash from the public knowing they somehow lost it.All I'm getting at is if something is leaked, the orginal source is Nintendo. If you get the information from outside sources, they had to have gotten their information from Nintendo in order for it to be a "leak"; Nintendo is the source of the information because they are producing it.
I understand that if I were truly leaking information, I wouldn't want the source to know I'm the one giving their information away, therefore I see why a leaker would want to be as concise as possible. The more you say, the more likely you are to get caught. So I get that legit leaks can and will be brief. What bothers me I guess is a good, legit leaker can never expose how they got the info without being caught by Nintendo, therefore we can only assume it's a leak. If we know it's a legit leak, Nintendo knows, and they will deal with it as they see fit... Unless it is known, it's just a potential leak, even if the information is true. Otherwise, we don't care how someone gets or comes up with information, if they are consistantly right, they obviously know what they're talking about and are worth listening to. Rumors. If that all makes sense. My apologies for being so technical about it. I'm just killing time until the game comes out o.O
It absolutely could. It's been said hundreds of times, but here we go:On the WFT prediction... I've always thought it could be a very very well educated guess. Based on sales and popularity of the game, someone could have taken a complete shot. Afterall, Wii Fit was very important for Wii sales, and one of their smartest hardware experiments yet. The Sal leak looks better and better, but we can't blindly believe without considering he may just be very smart and very lucky. After an AC stage in brawl and Mega Man petitions, WFT could have been added to his original six picks on a whim.
You meanSeems legit, only he was wrong. It's Dr.Piccolo
Those are Brawl's hidden characters. There is nothing to look into at all, so don't.Something to note is that there's 11 "hidden" sets of char images in that link. I'm not if that's just hidden starters or actual unlockable characters for the game, but it's fairly interesting regardless.
Let's ignore a lot of stupid character request that go on here. Clear the fat and open your mind. Are there really that many decent character choices left? He would have to reevaluate the animal crossing franchise.
Probably well over 200, actually.Are there really that many decent character choices left?
I love it when people try to use the words "Sakurai" and "would have to" in the same sentence...He would have to reevaluate the animal crossing franchise.
That's assuming it's happening. What did I say that makes it serious? Deal with as they see fit? I mean, I'd fire them and or sue Lol. If it is truly happening, and there's evidence that it is a leak, it's not going to be coming from the same person everytime. Or maybe it is, they're just that good with personas to protect their identity. All I'm getting at is, due to the sketchiness of the act, we will never know if a leak is competely legit unless they are caught. And we might not even know if they are caught depending if Nintendo cleans up well. So every leak is a potential leak until proven or disproven. And being accurate doesn't prove that they knew from inside information. We can only assume. Don't get me wrong, it's a very fair assumption.Uh I'm sure leaking isn't as serious as you claim. Otherwise it wouldn't keep happening every game. Enough with this crap.
Fair enough, but I just can't see him predicting the order in which villager, WFT and MM were revealed and being right about two hugely unexpected characters (one who Sakurai had already "banned" from SSB) as being a coincidence.I'm not denying the leak at all, I just am hesitant to believe it, as with all leaks that simply cannot be proven until launch. Hell, the guy didn't even post it as a leak to begin with, they were just his self admitted 'unlikely predictions'. When he half right, everyone took him for a prophet. All I'm saying is you can just as easily jump to believing it as you can dismissing it.
Personally, I feel this leak hinges completely on his second WTF character, the Choir Boy. We'll know Pac-Man's fate by E3.
Imagine the absolute storm that would be this thread if Sakurai introduced a Rhythm Heaven stage.I'm getting tired of this back and forth though, there is nothing to disprove this leak right now. It could be a guess, but there is nothing that can prove that at the moment. It's a massive waste of time arguing it until E3 or game release (or if we get any of the "leaked" characters as a PoTD assist trophy or stage hazard.)
One thread that happened on the internet is not indicative of the internet at that time. It is not evidence because it is so insufficient. One personal experience from a limited perspective is not sufficient. At the time I was in communities that were not this one (IGN and stuff) and saw these guesses continuously, in more than one thread. I'd say that's better than your limited scope of your "evidence". But why don't I show you those sites? Well, doing a Google search for Brawl roster guesses and limiting that search to like 2006-2008 and we get a poo-ton of posts. Hey, here's one from 2007 from THESE boards? http://smashboards.com/threads/timekeepers-brawl-roster.125292/I'm the one actually posting evidence as opposed to spouting fallacious claims with nothing to back them up... and I'M the ignorant one?
Don't even know how to respond to this one lol.
I think it's already asinine to doubt it after WFT and villager.Doubting a leak with completely off the wall character choices like this one, if every single one of them comes true seems...asinine.
"One thing that was kind of a challenge is that we haven't had a lot of new characters from Nintendo since Captain Olimar [that could work well in a fighting game]; a lot of games have been Mario titles or new iterations of existing series."Probably well over 200, actually.
I love it when people try to use the words "Sakurai" and "would have to" in the same sentence...
The only way I could see him "reevaluating" AC is if it somehow became violent, which it certainly has NOT.
Well, apparently sense left the field a long time ago.I think it's already asinine to doubt it after WFT and villager.
One was a character Sakurai had PERSONALLY SHOT DOWN FOR SSB and the other was a character NO ONE considered.
Also, was Mega Man likely? Sure, but since Namco is developing it, it would've made more sense to predict PacMan right out of the gate.
Megaman was 50/50... a lot of people argued against him because of the perceived hate Capcom is giving him. He was very highly requested and was predicted for the E3 reveal a decent amount of the time, but he wasn't considered a shoe-in.I think it's already asinine to doubt it after WFT and villager.
One was a character Sakurai had PERSONALLY SHOT DOWN FOR SSB and the other was a character NO ONE considered.
Also, was Mega Man likely? Sure, but since Namco is developing it, it would've made more sense to predict PacMan right out of the gate.
He did predict Pac-Man out of the gate. His original leak predicted Pac-Man for E3 too.I think it's already asinine to doubt it after WFT and villager.
One was a character Sakurai had PERSONALLY SHOT DOWN FOR SSB and the other was a character NO ONE considered.
Also, was Mega Man likely? Sure, but since Namco is developing it, it would've made more sense to predict PacMan right out of the gate.
Here we go again.He did predict Pac-Man out of the gate. His original leak predicted Pac-Man for E3 too.
One thread that happened on the internet is not indicative of the internet at that time. It is not evidence because it is so insufficient. One personal experience from a limited perspective is not sufficient. At the time I was in communities that were not this one (IGN and stuff) and saw these guesses continuously, in more than one thread. I'd say that's better than your limited scope of your "evidence". But why don't I show you those sites? Well, doing a Google search for Brawl roster guesses and limiting that search to like 2006-2008 and we get a poo-ton of posts. Hey, here's one from 2007 from THESE boards? http://smashboards.com/threads/timekeepers-brawl-roster.125292/
And you don't have to look for to realize these characters are guessed a LOT in a LOT of places. Google is your friend.
Now look at all the bajillion Google Results from those years that guessed those characters and take your jaw off the floor for being sooooo wrong.
Villager isn't new. Animal Crossing came out in 2001 and I believe there was a game before that called "Animal Village" that was Japan only."One thing that was kind of a challenge is that we haven't had a lot of new characters from Nintendo since Captain Olimar [that could work well in a fighting game]; a lot of games have been Mario titles or new iterations of existing series."
The reveal date of characters is easily subject to change. It's entirely possible that they opted to push Pac-Man and Mii to a later date.He did predict Pac-Man out of the gate. His original leak predicted Pac-Man for E3 too.
Can someone explain this list to me?
I'm not trying to start anything again, I don't think Pac-Man being held back has anything to do with the validity of the leak. I'm just saying technically Pac-Man was predicted 'out of the gate', seeing as he was in his first round of predictions.Here we go again.
Yes. Pac-man wasn't at E3 but is very clearly in the game, which I'm pretty sure is all the actual source mentioned. Are we quite done?
I thought he predicted villager, WFT and Megaman in the accurate order for the first SSB4 reveal trailer. Is that not correct?I'm not trying to start anything again, I don't think Pac-Man being held back has anything to do with the validity of the leak. I'm just saying technically Pac-Man was predicted 'out of the gate', seeing as he was in his first round of predictions.
It makes sense to only show one of two new 3rd party reps in the initial trailer.
I still say he predicted Greninja, we just don't know the full story. It's too timely to be a coincidence to me. So he's 5/6 in my book, just because Rosalina never got mentioned.The reveal date of characters is easily subject to change. It's entirely possible that they opted to push Pac-Man and Mii to a later date.
It's more the fact that he's 4 for 4 right now. He missed Rosalina, but as I said a few pages back, she might not have been a lock in the roster at the time he got the info.
He's already beaten ASTRONOMICAL odds in predicting WFT and villager.
That's certainly true. And fair. Either way, I expect (as I think we all do.) that we'll see Pac-man at E3 this year.I'm not trying to start anything again, I don't think Pac-Man being held back has anything to do with the validity of the leak. I'm just saying technically Pac-Man was predicted 'out of the gate', seeing as he was in his first round of predictions.
It makes sense to only show one of two new 3rd party reps in the initial trailer.
What are you talking about? He is born at the same time as Olimar that he also mentioned as new because since melee Nintendo has mostly been doing rehashes and focusing on main franchises, and Sakurai is clearly not seeing any potential in expanding characters in the Zelda, Mario area at that time.Villager isn't new. Animal Crossing came out in 2001 and I believe there was a game before that called "Animal Village" that was Japan only.
Villager is just one more member of a HUGE honking list of old, potential newcomers, newcomers that Sakurai hasn't already said he wouldn't include.
Sorry, dude, but Sal's "guess" was more educated than you think.
The reveal date of characters is easily subject to change. It's entirely possible that they opted to push Pac-Man and Mii to a later date.
It's more the fact that he's 4 for 4 right now. He missed Rosalina, but as I said a few pages back, she might not have been a lock in the roster at the time he got the info.
He's already beaten ASTRONOMICAL odds in predicting WFT and villager.
This is his original post, in the thread about E3 character predictions. He didn't predict the order of reveals.I thought he predicted villager, WFT and Megaman in the accurate order for the first SSB4 reveal trailer. Is that not correct?
I know he predicted Pac-Man as well. I'm just saying that, if these were GUESSES, PM would've been a more likely choice to guess at for the reveal.
Short answer: no. But we do know that data for Roy, Mewtwo, and Dr. Mario were present in the game. People assume they were cut due to time constraints due to Sakurai stating numerous times throughout the development of Brawl and Wii U/3DS that he dislikes removing characters very much. Anyone please correct me if there's an interview or something that says otherwise.Alright, I need to know something. Do we 100% know, for certain, as in straight from the mouth of god, that Roy was cut because of time? snip
Unfortunately, no. I lack the knowledge to do so, and everyone else in this thread seems fairly beat as well. The wayback machine is a website that archives the last date of change or erasure of any given web address. It should be obvious, however, that this was manipulated by some means, and Trails will not be a Smash Bros character lol.Can someone explain this list to me?
I will point out here that he doesn't technically say those are E3 predictions. Just to be nitpicky BACK to the thread.This is his original post, in the thread about E3 character predictions. He didn't predict the order of reveals.
View attachment 12102
That's true. Was just pointing out he didn't predict their order. It's very possible at that stage he knew about those six characters and just posted them all to cover himself/ look like a god.I will point out here that he doesn't technically say those are E3 predictions. Just to be nitpicky BACK to the thread.
Now if Sal said his source said they were E3 reveals, it might be a bit more interesting, but it's still worth pointing out that all six characters are most likely in the game, in addition to the ones leaked on Tuesday.
If some kind of rhythm heaven character shows up that in any way resembles Marshal though, I sure hope everyone acknowledges the leak instead of pointing at guesses.