Official Smash Ultimate Discussion

[Cutie Gwen]

Isn't blog theory only on 5 characters now? We got NOTHING yesterday and last week was 2 characters instead of 3

 

[vaanrose]

Grinch leak confirmed by MATH -

Okie dokie - there's 12 hours to the Direct, so now makes for a great time to post my final estimations for the Blog Calculations before everything goes down. I'll start with a general range with an upper and lower value, and then give a single number for my personal predicition.

— DuckMeat (@DuckMeat13) November 1, 2018

Does this not require the newcomer blog posts to be spread out over the next several weeks instead of just all uploaded tomorrow?

 

[Gameboi834]

Is anyone else getting chills just thinking about tomorrow?

Cause I got chills.
They're multiplin'.

 

[Starbound]

C'mon, going mad isn't that bad.

I've been certifiably insane for the last few years and can attest it's not that bad, it's just a bit rough when you hear the voices and see 'them' every soo often.

You see the voices?

And I thought it was bad enough hearing them.

 

[Zinith]

Not to toot my own horn, but when the YOSHI NUT ends up being the most sane and levelheaded individual among y'all, this place has gone off the deep end

 

[DaybreakHorizon]

Grinch leak confirmed by MATH -

Okie dokie - there's 12 hours to the Direct, so now makes for a great time to post my final estimations for the Blog Calculations before everything goes down. I'll start with a general range with an upper and lower value, and then give a single number for my personal predicition.

— DuckMeat (@DuckMeat13) November 1, 2018

If by "math" you mean basic calculations (as in simple binary "is there a character on x day?" y/n), then yes.

Blog theory isn't based on math. It's based on hypothetical scenarios. Saying it's based off of math makes it sound smarter than it actually is.

It's not even statistical analysis, unless you mean the most basic observational analysis. If you want to call it analysis or observation go ahead, but the word "math" is a misnomer that Blog theory uses as a crutch to hide behind when questioned.

"But it's based on math! Look at the calculations!"

Not really. Your calculations don't amount to little more than hypotheticals based off of fan-made rules, so they don't mean anything.

Blog Theory doesn't prove or disprove anything. It means nothing more than my Smash "Leaks" Archival and Count Project did.

 

[Deleted member]

Probably won't be awake for..."The Page", so here's my contribution early:

Spoiler: Nice

 

[Starbound]

Something something Pikachu
Something something girl
Something something tail

Are the PokeKids coming to Smash?

 

[Heracr055]

Just kind of an aside but it would be ****ing crazy to me if Sora ever got in, because it would really say something about all the red tape that would need to be navigated to include him

 

[Radical Bones]

If we get like 5 or 7 characters I don't think the blog will showcase all the trailers prior to release. There's no reason to think that the blog will just stop once the game is out.

 

[DarthEnderX]

Does the Direct tomorrow have an address for the youtube stream yet?

 

[GoeGoe]

I feel like Banjo would have to be last if they were in.

No, I agree with Banjo being last. He leave the biggest "OMG" effect once the direct was over. Isaac makes sense as an opener.

Not much to wait, we'll see. I doubt Sakurai will pass such a chance for one final trolling. Maybe they're both'll be at the end of the show.. Geno last X)

We don't even know if he's telling the truth.

The stupidest thing about this whole thing is basically no other leaker aside from Vergeben leaks smash the ENTIRE CYCLE. Additionally, haven't heard any reputable leaks for months from Vergeben, then this leak banner comes and almost a week later, every Insider in their mother comes out and says wildly different things for why it's fake.

THEN, Vergeben says randomly Isaac is an AT, after someone else said it.

I'm calling him getting back at the community for trolling the **** out of him since the leak, instead of it being legit. I hope....

We don't know if any of all of this is true. But I wonder why specifically Issac? Or did he just pick that randomly. I mean, 6 of those would destroy hopes (sorry Mach fans). Maybe he waited just to be sure, like he usually does.

Anyway, tick tock.. the grand finale.. Verg vs. Grinch.. hope vs. despair.. it all ends in few hours

 

[Starbound]

Not to toot my own horn, but when the YOSHI NUT ends up being the most sane and levelheaded individual among y'all, this place has gone off the deep end

Nah, we're still in the kiddie pool.

The deep end will come in like 5 hours when we all wake up in the middle of the night after a nightmare reveal of "GAME IS DELAYED"

 

[Flyboy]

Before I sleep and inevitably miss page 6969 (which, preemptive good on us for making it there, nice) I just want to extend a special shoutout again to all of you here. I haven't been part of a Smash hype cycle like this since the Dojo with Brawl and I've absolutely never been going this hard on a game with rumors, leaks, and info. It's been a pleasure and so many of you have popped up in my notifications or made posts that made me smile and show to a friend. The ups, the downs, the fake leaks and the possibly real ones, it's all been a blast. Can't wait to see where it all takes us tomorrow, hopefully with some nice confirmations of some fun modes and characters.

Special shoutouts to Rie Sonomura, Luigi The President, Nekoo, Smashing Ramen, Noipoi, NineS, and Graizen for brightening up my days, especially these past few weeks when I've had some tough times between work and health, and special shoutouts to everyone who's been helping keep my most-wanteds alive even if they aren't as common as others.

Not that I'm leaving or anything after the direct, it's just...I truly haven't felt this happy and excited about a videogame since I was a kid. I thought I'd never feel this way again but this is better than Melee, better than Brawl, a hype cycle I've loved every second of and I just want to thank all of you for being a part of it.

 

[Fenriraga]

Don't mind me, just making sure the champ is rested up for the big day tomorrow.

I'm not weird, you're weird.

 

[DarkShadow20]

I knew what is was before I clicked but I still did it anyways.

I always love me a good RickRoll.

Anyways, predictions:

• Grinch leak blown the **** out
• Incineroar
• Ken
• Shadow or Dixie Kong
• Matthew or Elma
• First DLC reveal is Lloyd Irving
• Isaac AT, maybe Shadow AT
• Sans and Minecraft ATs
• Spirits is a cross between SSE and Melee Adventure mode
• Trophies are gone, replaced with Spirits (How? I have no clue)
• Smash Run returns
• (Hopefully) Smash Tour returns
• 108 Stages isn't real, but there are one or two more stages.

Worst possible timeline.

 

[Thirdkoopa]

get ready for a bloodied banjo avi tomorrow ya'll

 

[bountyhunta87]

Me right now trying to sleep...

 

[Tree Gelbman]

Don't mind me, just making sure the champ is rested up for the big day tomorrow.

I'm not weird, you're weird.

Bonus points if Sora gets revealed because of the Keyblade.

 

[DaybreakHorizon]

I'm heading off to bed now. It's unfortunate that I won't make it to page 6969 with all of you.

Here are my contributions:

Spoiler

 

[shadowjosh]

a motorcycle race between Dante, Shadow and Mach Rider would be the best CGI ever made.

And Cloud.

 

[Starbound]

get ready for a bloodied banjo avi tomorrow ya'll

I will miss derpy backpack Banjo rip

 

[Zinith]

Nah, we're still in the kiddie pool.

The deep end will come in like 5 hours when we all wake up in the middle of the night after a nightmare reveal of "GAME IS DELAYED"

I guess you're right, it's not QUITE as loony as I wa--

Don't mind me, just making sure the champ is rested up for the big day tomorrow.

I'm not weird, you're weird.

.......................................

You were sayin'?

 

[TVDart]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=see6OH6cHa8
This video is still relevant 10 years later.
(tw: self harm)

 

[Thirdkoopa]

I will miss derpy backpack Banjo rip

i'm probably keeping it this way but if anyone makes a bloody version of this, please tag me and i will use it if i like it and he's not announced.

 

[Flyboy]

I knew what is was before I clicked but I still did it anyways.

I always love me a good RickRoll.

Anyways, predictions:

• Grinch leak blown the **** out
• Incineroar
• Ken
• Shadow or Dixie Kong
• Matthew or Elma
• First DLC reveal is Lloyd Irving
• Isaac AT, maybe Shadow AT
• Sans and Minecraft ATs
• Spirits is a cross between SSE and Melee Adventure mode
• Trophies are gone, replaced with Spirits (How? I have no clue)
• Smash Run returns
• (Hopefully) Smash Tour returns
• 108 Stages isn't real, but there are one or two more stages.

I don't hate this...it has Elma in it so...and I'd mark pretty hard for Lloyd.

 

[Shroob]

I'm heading off to bed now. It's unfortunate that I won't make it to page 6969 with all of you.

Here are my contributions:

Spoiler

View attachment 174355
View attachment 174357
View attachment 174358

Holy crap I'm blushing irl at that last part.

 

[Vrbtm]

I knew what is was before I clicked but I still did it anyways.

I always love me a good RickRoll.

Anyways, predictions:

• Grinch leak blown the **** out
• Incineroar
• Ken
• Shadow or Dixie Kong
• Matthew or Elma
• First DLC reveal is Lloyd Irving
• Isaac AT, maybe Shadow AT
• Sans and Minecraft ATs
• Spirits is a cross between SSE and Melee Adventure mode
• Trophies are gone, replaced with Spirits (How? I have no clue)
• Smash Run returns
• (Hopefully) Smash Tour returns
• 108 Stages isn't real, but there are one or two more stages.

This is gonna look SO silly within the next ten hours...

 

[Tree Gelbman]

I should be trying to sleep before direct. Instead I'm drinking coffee at near 2am.

I'm not crazy. You're crazy.

 

[bountyhunta87]

 

[xXShadeXx]

Hm...to nap...to work on commissions...or to stay here and spend time with you guys. If I stay here I may catch your crazy...but that sounds more fun.

 

[777Laser]

Expectations low but surprise me

 

[Shroob]

This is gonna look SO silly within the next ten hours...

You realize at least half of that is sarcasm, right?

 

[Rebellious Treecko]

Good night.
DIrect is at work hours again sadly... But this time I'm going in blind. Won't look anything up until I see the past stream.

---

 

[Vrbtm]

You realize at least half of that is sarcasm, right?

If so, it's extremely poorly executed.

 

[Idon]

I should be trying to sleep before direct. Instead I'm drinking coffee at near 2am.

I'm not crazy. You're crazy.

YOU THINK YOU HAVE POWER OVER ME?

 

[Shroob]

If so, it's extremely poorly executed.

Let's not have a repeat of last night, c'mon man.

 

[Starbound]

This is gonna look SO silly within the next ten hours...

So might this.

 

[Fenriraga]

I guess you're right, it's not QUITE as loony as I wa--

.......................................

You were sayin'?

Don't speak to me as if your copy of Yoshi's Island isn't giving you bedroom eyes right now.

Do not resist.

 

[uhmuzing]

I'll buy this game or not based on 30 more songs from the Tellius duology.

Well it'd be nice at least.