Hey guys, this is my roster, I go into a fair bit of explaining of my roster and who I think is a guarantee to be included/cut so this post may seem a bit long winded.
I'm basing my roster on the assumption that a series will have a maximum of 6 reps (Mario, LOZ and Pkmn) and that the roster will reach 50 characters (with a random character selection icon added to make 51 selections).
I'm also going under the assumption that Game and Watch is comfirmed. May not have come from the words of Nintendo's mouth but I dont think they can be that blatant in a trailer and still turn around and say no to his return.
Confirmed veterans will have blue borders, Confirmed newcomers receive green borders.
What i perceive as the probable unconfirmed Veterans are in red, likewise my probable unconfirmed newcomers are yellow
My selections which i feel have a potential to be cut have a purple border.
The random icon will take a narrow bottom section of the screen compared to taking a square.
Any DLC will just readjust the lineup compared to being a drop down box or taking only one square for the whole list of characters.
(Rhythm girl is representing chorus men, and the mii person is representing the fightersI haven't updated the images yet and cant be bothered for those characters)
My cuts from this roster include:
Ivysaur, Squirtle, Snake and R.O.B
Wolf, R.O.B and Lucas I feel are the most likely to be dropped from the roster i have created, however i felt that Ike would have been dropped in favor of Chrom and he was confirmed today proving that everyone is still in with a chance. I give Wolf and R.O.B a 60% chance of being included however with recent evidence and the general lack of Earthbound/Mother aura for the game so far Lucas is probably around a 50%, being just as likely to be dropped as included.
All the other unconfirmed veterans I feel have a more than likely chance of returning, particularly Ness, Cpt Falcon and Jiggly due to their consistent involvement in the games, perhaps only not being announced yet to maintain their unlocked status, I am about 95% sure of these characters being included.
Ganondorf, Wario and Meta Knight I feel are going to be a included in the game as they are well established characters in their respective series and have generated enough of a fan base within the smash community to continue their use. 90% likely.
Falco I deem as more likely than the Ice Climbers but I am not as sure of their inclusion as I am with the previous list of probable veterans. Falco will only not be included if Wolf stars and there will be only 2 Star Fox series reps. Ice climbers I feel will be included still however they will probably need a bit of an overhaul to coincide with the other characters random factors being reduced. I give Falco a 80% and ice climbers a 75%.
Of the newcomers, the most obvious choices for inclusion are those within the gematsu leak, namely Chrom, Chulk and Chorus Men. There could be others but I think if they are to be included it will not be revealed until the games are released.
Of these three potential newcomers, I see their inclusion as the following:
Chrom (or at least another awakening rep) just seems logical to be included in this game. Fire Emblem Awakening was amazing, and sales proved that, and if Nintendo was to reward its best games with more exposure in its spin off titles it has to include Chrom.
Besides never playing Xenoblade, from what I have read and heard from the game, and with another game in the series coming up, I feel he is a deserved smash possibility. If other characters have been included because of only 1 game, surely Shulk matches those previous inclusions.
Chorus Men I cant really comment on too much. It seems a popular series and although I wouldn't know how they would work in the game I'm certain the creators could find a way. I would have to have someone explain their potential moveset to me. I am indifferent about their inclusion, personally I would like to have as many characters as possible, but although I dont know these characters, who knows, I may grow to like them enough to go out and buy one of their games.
These three veterans i give a 80% chance of inclusion.
Honorable mentions go to King K.Rool, Ridley and Mewtwo. If there is an increase in the roster size, the door is well and truly opened to the possibility of these 3 being included, they will be very welcome additions, but I dont see them as likely to be included. Not mentioning the high troll rate ridley fans have had to endure would not be fair, however i get this gut feel Ridley will only be a boss. King K.Rool would be in the game if he was given an opportunity to star in the recent Donkey Kong games (and if Dixie or Cranky gets added over him it actually would not surprise me). Mewtwo was unfortunate to be dropped from brawl but there is a chance that his reinclusion ship has sailed. I rate their chances at 40%.
There we have it anyway, my extensive reasoning over why a character is more likely to be included than another giving myself certain parameters and limitations.
