B.B. Bandit Trio 2.0 Sturm chances:
0.01%
An antagonist from a series which is unlikely to get a protagonist in the first place due to the lack of care from IS for the series compared to Fire Emblem. Eh, not happening.
Sturm want:
1%
This seems kinda random for a character idea.
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Dixie Kong chances:
45.5%
I suppose I'll be frowned upon by some non-K.Rool-believer-anymore people with my rating which is lower than the overall chances score K. Rool got here, so I'll defend myself by saying that I wouldn't call anyone "more likely than not" besides Wolf and if I had to rerate K. Rool right now I would give him about 30% chances - after some time I finally have some clear opinion about his chances. Besides, I have a feeling that Dixie Kong may possibly be the most likely newcomer at this point. King K. Rool obviously gets a lot of support, but there's a lot of overlap between supporters of both characters (I wonder why...
), and thus maybe to avoid redundancy in core target demographic aka Donkey Kong fans (a "core target demographic" similar to how Ryu seemed to be mostly marketed towards fans of Street Fighter, and to an extent traditional fighting games as a whole) Sakurai wanted to only make one and chose Dixie while making K. Rool a Mii costume as a way to still acknowledge his popularity.
Besides, Dixie Kong herself is one of the most famous and consistently playable Nintendo characters who has yet to be featured in Super Smash Bros. as a fighter. She's a major protagonist in the second and third installments of the Donkey Kong Country trilogy, just like Donkey and Diddy, and she was brought back by Retros Studios in Tropical Freeze; she definitely has the kind of star power which would be expected for a Super Smash Bros. character. She was also considered for Brawl, but only as part of a tag team with Diddy, and got axed due to technical issues. Now that Diddy is well established in the Smash Bros. franchise, Sakurai could easily go back to the idea of including Dixie Kong in Smash, at this point she probably wouldn't be an afterthought anymore and would be forced to be her own character anyway, plus Sakurai probably had some moveset ideas for her back in Brawl times that could easily be re-explored. Not to mention she could admittedly borrow some animations to Diddy for a few things (similar to how Lucas borrowed Ness' Final Smash stance and clapping animation, for example), while K. Rool admittedly would have a hard time borrowing fitting animations from other characters as reused assets - as animations are generally the hardest thing to do when programming Smash fighters.
Overall I think Dixie Kong is one of the strongest contenders for Smash 4 DLC, so I'll give her a chances score about a coin flip, though weighted slightly towards not happening due to how little precedence we have about DLC newcomers in Smash and the fact Sakurai is overall unpredictable. And while she has a lot going for her, it's not really enough for me to be convinced that she's exactly a shoo-in :/
Dixie Kong want:
88%
I used to not want her as much as this because King K. Rool always had been my personal preference for a new Donkey Kong character, but the idea of her joining the fray grew on me. She's definitely part of my childhood, and a character I enjoyed playing as in Donkey Kong games, but I wasn't exactly excited about getting a Diddy kind of semi-clone. Over the time I've come to think that she would be a great addition even if she was an obvious Diddy derivative, as Lucas and Roy proven me that it wasn't much of an issue to enjoy a character, plus I've also come to think that she wouldn't borrow that much from Diddy and could actually be mostly fully unique.
Even though I've not put much thought about Dixie Kong in Super Smash Bros. until fairly recently, I admit she's an important part of my childhood and I would love to play as her in Smash where I feel like she would be a perfect addition. To be quite honest King K. Rool is the only reason why this want score isn't 100%, I don't feel like he's more deserving than her or anything but he always had been my personal preference for a new Donkey Kong character.
I remember in my previous Dixie rating I said that I'd rather have Rayman for a character who uses their hair to control their air mobility, but to be quite honest I've come to accept that Dixie Kong is much more deserving than Rayman and that Smash is fine without him, so this no longer applies. And besides, if I want a platformer heroine who fights with her hair, I'd much rather have Dixie over the other third-party character we've rerated two days ago >_>
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Xenoblade Chronicles (not X) newcomer prediction:
11.12%
It could happen, but that's mostly a stretch.
Cranky Kong prediction:
6.40%
If even Dixie Kong is having a double trouble in chances and want against K. Rool, then you may expect an even worse situation for Cranky.
Nominating:
Concept: none of the top 3 wanted newcomers x5