...well, this is awkward.
Crossin' the Border into Hurtville
Chance: 60%
Sandy's one of the few veterans I can think of no evidence for, and I'm a little concerned for her as a result. She is an ensemble member of Nick's most prominent and evergreen IP, so the devs truthfully have little reason to cut her. Still, if the devs had to cut anyone, Sandy may have been deemed low-priority since SB already has four characters besides her and she's not as integral as SpongeBob and Patrick are.
Want: 55%
Sandy's a fine character. She should return. That's all.
OH NO! HE'S GONNA BLAST PRESIDENT LINCOLN!
Chance: 95%
Lincoln's the one veteran I'm willing to give a near-certainty of coming back. For one, I honestly doubt the suits at Nick would let them cut Lincoln even if they wanted to, especially when his sister's on the box. Being the star of a network's latest breakout hit that's still ongoing after seven years gives a guy a certain type of immunity, I feel. Plus, we basically know The Loud House has at least two stages this time, and with no newcomers from the series, it seems likely that Lincoln gets one of them. I honestly think Lincoln being an unpopular character in the first game doesn't really matter here. Still, maybe I'm wrong and Nick really is just letting these guys do whatever the hell they want. That'd be funny, I think.
Want: Abstain
I have literally no reservations on any Loud House character, and that includes whether or not Lincoln comes back. I don't really care for so-called "completion" as far as rosters go, so I'm entirely ambivalent to his inclusion.
[insert Nostalgia Critic joke about Beetlejuice here]
Chance: 50%
Oblina's chances are a little dicey IMO. On one hand, she's the solo rep of her series with no newcomer to replace her, so losing her would mean losing the entire Aaahh!!! Real Monsters series, presumably including her stage. However, you could argue ARM isn't a series that needs to be repped anyway, and given how a lot of people would've wanted Ickis or Krumm first, the devs may have gotten the impression that not many would miss her. In the end, I give her about even odds if there are to be cuts at all.
Want: 65%
I didn't play Oblina a whole lot in NASB1, but from what I did play of her, she was pretty fun. I think a lot would be lost in the event of her absence since no one else really plays like her. (The goop puddle does need better counterplay, though; that thing was just a MESS to play against.)
Cheese Grater
Chance: 55%
I'm really torn on Shredhead here. This game clearly prioritizes villains in a way the first game didn't, which makes sense given they kind of need them for Story Mode. Shredder would be an obvious keeper considering that, but we're looking at potentially six TMNT characters and the devs were pretty apathetic to his inclusion in the first place anyway (see: "Shredder was supposed to be Rocksteady"). Combine with the widespread criticism his moveset saw, he might be on the chopping block in the event of cuts.
Want: Abstain
I'll be honest, y'all, I routinely forget this guy is in the game. Good for his fans if he's back, but like... eh?
CATDOG, CAAATDOOOG, ALONE IN THE WORLD IS A LITTLE CATDOG
Chance: 50%
I wanna be more confident in CatDog, but in good conscience, I just can't. They are the sole rep of a series like Oblina, and they were also lowkey the most talked-about pick in NASB1's prerelease (as much as people quickly forgot they were in the game). However, they also come packaged with a nasty gimmick that could take quite a bit of effort to implement if they commit to reworking their entire kit, given how little the "stance change" thing mattered in 1 with the whole three moves' difference. We could see them again, but I can also very easily see these guys being deemed low-priority simply due to the sheer difficulty of adding them.
Want: 70%
These guys were my OG main back when I didn't have anyone else, and while I don't really care about them much anymore, I do wanna see 'em come back so I can bust the ol' CatDog out every now and then. Besides, I really do want to see the devs do their stance change gimmick justice this time.
The OTHER Two out of Four Stars of the Critically Acclaimed Holiday Hit "We Wish You A Turtles Christmas"
Chance: 90%
I can just see a timeline where the devs are cheeky enough to phase these guys out for the other two Turtles, or maybe they really double down on the whole "visual variety" thing from the first time. Still, I consider that reality slim pickings, and if the devs don't want this game to be laughed out of the room faster than the first one, they should know not to cut these guys.
Want: 80%
I didn't like Mikey or Leo much in NASB1 (Leo might've been my straight-up least favorite character to play as, to be brutally honest), but for the sake of the fandom's collective sanity, PLEASE let these guys still be here. The mockery from the entire platform fighting scene will be INSUFFERABLE if they aren't.
POWDERED, TOAST, MAAAAAAAAAAAAN
Chance: 80%
Powdered Toast Man may be seen as an obvious low-priority cut by some, but these devs clearly have a penchant for their weirdo picks, and PTM was practically the mascot of that the first time around (DLC notwithstanding). That, and we've seen the guy's stage already, and it'd be a real Mario Kart 7 Waluigi Pinball situation if the guy just wasn't in the game. Don't comp players like this guy a lot or something?
Want: 90%
Powdered Toast Man was THE character that hooked me in on NASB when it was first revealed. Even if I don't like playing as or against him much, the absolute balls on these devs for them to reveal Powdered Toast Man before the stars of the series he's from sold me on this game before we even knew how it played. It'd be a crime for us to lose this guy. He embodies the spirit of NASB better than anyone else in my book (yes, even Hugh).
Diet Kragg
Chance: 45%
Toph's another character I have no evidence for. She's not the sole rep of her series, her stage hasn't been seen, and she's not an inherently obvious inclusion like Lincoln and the Turtles are. However, she is a very popular character nonetheless, and with the addition of Azula, we'll finally have a playable bender from all four nations if Toph's still in. I give her slightly unfavorable odds, if anything, but we'll just have to wait and see.
Want: Abstain
I didn't like playing as her much in 1 and also haven't seen enough Avatar to care. Bring her back, don't bring her back, it doesn't matter to me.
MORNING, WEEZER
Chance: 75%
Hugh was added specifically to please the fans (to mixed success), and cutting him one game later would be an objectively dumb move. His son's here now, so we don't even have to worry about the incessant outcry of "SHOULD'VE BEEN JIMMY" assaulting our ears anymore. That, and he's the only veteran to be outright confirmed by PapaGenos, who's been pretty on-point with his info so far.
Want: 80%
Hugh's funny. I don't like playing him much, but he's funny. Now that Jimmy's in, he deserves to be here more than ever before. I'd hate to see his fans' efforts have all been in vain in the end.
Guys Help I'm Running Out Of Jokes Anyway Here's Helga
Chance: 35%
Helga's the one character I'm actually worried about getting cut this time around. She, like Toph and Sandy, has no evidence going in her favor right now (unless you count her showing up in the NASB1 section of the trailer, but we've seen these devs do weirder things than show a character in a trailer who isn't in the game), and on top of that, some of the newcomers we've seen potentially bode poorly for her. We're getting TWO more Hey Arnold characters who aren't Arnold, and while that doesn't mean they have to cut her to make room, it most likely does make her low-priority in terms of potential cuts. If anyone's getting cut, I think it's Helga, but if we're lucky, maybe we won't have to worry about that.
Want: Abstain
Helga's another character I routinely forget is in the game. I didn't enjoy playing as her too much, and I found her merely tolerable to play against the few times I did. I wouldn't miss her if she left, but I know some people would, so it's whatever.
No Cuts Prediction: 68%
With 11 veterans yet unseen including on that promo image that has all the previously seen fighters and seemingly all the unrevealed newcomers, some people might be concerned that we're losing at least someone. Others may not be so worried.
Bubble Bass Prediction: 32%
Recent developments will make this QUITE an interesting discussion.
Now that he's not on the docket, I'll go ahead and start putting noms toward Otis.