I agree that Ninja Gaiden would likely out-prioritize Dead or Alive for getting a newcomer, but I still think Dead or Alive would certainly be on the table if there's an extended DLC period.
Depends how extended, and depends what Ryu Hayabusa came with. If he came with DoA content... I think that would really be an inauspicious sign. Though at the same time, I do think that's the likeliest way DoA actually gets content.
I think it would also be the first time that two connected (third-party) series newly got in during the same game. Obv there's no rule against that, but I wonder if it's something they'd be more likely to avoid for the sake of variety.
DoA has a history going back to the Golden Era of Arcade Fightan' Games in the '90s, DoA 2, 3, and 4 were iconic titles in the Dreamcast, Xbox, and 360's libraries respectively, the series' frenetic, combo-oriented gameplay would give a DoA character a really distinct playstyle relative to the other Fighting game reps we've seen in Smash, and Ryu Hayabusa's popularity as a Smash request increases the possibility of Koei Tecmo characters generally for the next Smash.
That's true, but there are a lot of series out there one can aptly sing the praises for. Yet it doesn't make them all top choices.
I know the series' sexualization would need to be turned down, but I don't think anything is too inherently risque when Bayonetta is a fighter.
I agree most characters who would need some alterations for the good girls and boys aren't hugely hindered by that, and I don't think it would prohibit DoA either, but I do wonder if the more characters that need censorship (or omission), the more unlikely inclusion becomes.
Probably not for a series they'd be highly intent on including. Perhaps for one that seems less pressing. But who knows.
While I don't think DoA is necessarily a shoo-in, I still think it's in the running with the likes of Samurai Showdown, Soul Calibur, Mortal Kombat, and Guilty Gear as far as fighting game franchises go.
I agree it's on par with some of those in terms of likelihood, but mostly because I think some of those are also pretty unlikely. These might be the most notable remaining (original) fighting game series, but the genre itself really only has a few "big" IPs, with the rest being pretty niche. When you look at all the series out there, something like SamSho seems pretty small.
And I don't think we'll be seeing Mortal Kombat on the roster simply because of how it barely exists in Japan. Smash doesn't go for series like that.
I think the next most likely series in the genre are SoulCalibur and Guilty Gear, in part due to size, or popularity (including of characters therein), or standing. But even then I don't exactly see them leading the pack for next time. Though I think GG has an edge in that if they brought ASW into the fold, I think it's the likeliest choice.