GoldenYuiitusin
Smash Lord
I feel it's important to reiterate that since Brawl it's always been a Pokémon from the Generation that is upcoming when the roster is drafted.They'll pull from the latest game for the base game. Precedent literally dictates this. If the most recent game is Gen 9 at the time of release, we'll get a Gen 9 Pokémon. Incineroar got in well after Sun and Moon's "hype cycle." And they're not going to "save one for DLC." That's literally not how it works.
Here's a rundown of what would happen in the scenario you proposed.
- TPCi demands a new Pokémon.
- Sakurai says he'll save a spot for DLC since SV is maybe a bit too old, arbitrarily.
- TPCi representative laughs and says they'll revoke permission to add Pokémon at all unless a new one gets into the base game, and that Sakurai needs to pick one from the pre-approved list or go scratch his ass.
We're getting a new Pokémon in the base game. If it's too early for Gen 10, it will be from Gen 9/an earlier gen in general.
For Gen 9 to be skipped in favor of Gen 10, the project would have had to be drafted post SV release.
And that is very well possible....if the project we know Sakurai drafted in 2021 is not Smash.
But if it is Smash, a Gen 9 Pokémon is all but guaranteed as it would be the upcoming Generation at the time.