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- Jan 14, 2002
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LOL @ Omni's catching Chaco's gaffe. If all the vanillas claim, we just handed the game to the mafia even faster. GG, dude.
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That's not the point of Tom's plan. The point is seeing how mafia will claim, or not claim. Thus if we have more than 3 VTs claim. You randomly lynch one and have a high chance of hitting scum. Permitting both claim.LOL @ Omni's catching Chaco's gaffe. If all the vanillas claim, we just handed the game to the mafia even faster. GG, dude.
No Lynching each night doesn't help us at all... You say that the scum would have less of a chance to hit a PR night one - but they also get TWO chances to hit a PR, one with less of a chance as my proposed night, and one with the same chance as my proposed night. What the **** are you even going to say now? That having one more *possible* good investigation is better than having better chances of narrowed claims? No.Tom, I'm saying I don't see the advantages to it because if you want to avoid outting a PR on Day 1, then No Lynch is a better option. I neglected to bring this up before to see if someone would bring it up first, and you did - but I don't buy your reason for why No Lynch isn't better. Just so we lessen the claim pool for everyone? You're knowingly throwing away 2 townies into Day 2 with a greater chance of our PR going down Night 1.
You know what's a better idea? No Lynching twice. We'd be going into Day 3 with the same amount of people as your plan but with 2 nights of investigations instead of one, and a lesser chance of scum nailing a PR night one (since the ratio of VT to PR would be 3:2 instead of 2:2 with your plan).
1) I'm not leading you to a ****ty situation - we are already in a ****ty situation and I am trying to make the best of it by launching activity through completely relevant discussion. I am completely aware that we are almost in mylo/lylo when the game starts - you need to be completely aware that my plan does absolutely nothing to further that situation, and that we are already in that situation thanks to the setup. I address your worry about Day 2 in my plan by reminding you that its not caused by my plan but by the setup, and also remind you that if we scumhunt and choose someone to lynch today we could out a PR and then there is a 100% he dies, or by hitting scum they claim the PR that is actually relevant to this game (cop if there are mafiosi, fortune teller if there are werewolves) and we are put in a no-claim situation with the same odds as the one we are in now (just with absolutely no chance for a bingo investigation by the relevant investigative role).Let me preface this post by saying I skimmed a lot of the large posts because I've been a bit busy today/had a massive sinus attack. I read the shout out at me, but I am have a lot of trouble focusing on all the details. Here is my absolutely basic opinion of your suggestion to lynch a vanilla.
I like your idea a lot, honestly, except for one problem.
With the set-up:
3 Vanilla Townies
1 Town Cop
1 Town Seer
2 Mafiosi OR 2 Werewolves
As of now, mafia has a 2 in 5 chance of hitting a PR. Considering we have two investigative roles, I really have no idea the sanity of the cops, but let's pretend they are both sane and valuable.
K, by killing off one Townie, we reduce the town pool to 4, giving the mafia a 50% chance of hitting someone valuable to us on N1. The problem is we are assuming a lot. If Mafia misses the detectives, then on Day 2 we'll probably have three claims of investigations, which will lead us in different directions. If mafia hits a detective, we'll have two claims for the other role and have to deduce who is correct from there. Point is? It won't matter because a mislynch on Day 2 ends the game. Day 1 requires 4 to lynch (7 total), Day 2 requires 3 to lynch (5 total). If we mislynch the wrong claim on PR, mafia/werewolves win. To me, this is Tom leading us to a pretty awful position, which is pretty damn suspicious.
FOS: Tom
You are doing the exact thing you attacked Omni for following the town-botched Disney Mafia, and that is focus on breaking the game/working the format. You did this in Shaq Mafia but only after a few days of actually playing. So basically, I want you to address my concern with Day 2, which is if Mafia hits the detective toNight, there will be two claims for detective tomorrow. If Mafia misses, we will have 3 - 4 claims to sift through. Regardless, if we mislynch tomorrow, mafia wins.
Addressed all the faults of this FOS above. "This Tom isn't the Tom in most games" is terrible logic because not only is it in the nature of Mafia but also in the nature of a good Mafia player to strive to act the same in all games, but also you are comparing this Tom to all other Toms (both town AND scum), meaning the difference is NOT in my alignment but in the setup itself. Please acknowledge whether or not you understand the fault in your logic and the difference I just noted.CK - The sanity of the cop/seer is confirmed, it says so in the OP
Most of your position on what Tom said is similar to mine, in that if we knowingly lynch a townie (always a bad decision imo), there is a greater chance of scum nailing the PRs and what not.
If Tom is going over every possibility and stuff to the point of suggesting we off a known townie, I don't see how he missed the double no lynch situation, which is a similar idea, but a much better situation.
My personal FoS: Tom is also because of how I just can't see the Tom in most games ever wanting to even suggest a plan like this. Tom has shoved it down our throats that No Lynch is a bad decision and that our vote is our only weapon to kill scum and here he is wanting to not use it for that purpose.
Chaco this post absolutely sucks. My plan is not to have the vanillas claim D1 and that would be a ****ty ass plan because it would result in PRs dying N1 and N2. I want to use PR claims as an advantage later in the game, not have them be our fodder. How can you put support behind my plan when you don't even have my plan right?I, for one, actually think Tom's plan has a lot of merit to it. In an open set up, it really narrows what scum can fake claim. So by having the vanillas claim on D1, it sets aside the PRs for later game. HOWEVER, this can also hurt town a great deal. It has a lot of room for error. With all the PRs known, it gives mafia a good pool to choose from.
Now, what's good is that there are only 3 VTs. But even still, that makes up almost half of the game.
I'd support this idea, because I believe if executed correctly will seal a win.
If you don't think that it is solid, I encourage you to find out how solid our alternatives are and get back at me.i think the idea is to have one vanilla claim and be sacrificed. having all the vanilla's claim = guaranteed PR death.
i dont think you're thinking this through. also, interesting that you use the term mafia since scum can be either mafia or werewolves.
FoS: Chaco
@Tom: i dont think the lynch pool being narrowed to 50/50 for Day 2 and 3 is solid
if a vanilla is lynched and a vanilla dies N1, then there is only one vanilla and 2 investigators. scum will most likely CC one investigative role and one vanilla role which will give us one cleared pivot but no real advantage. the only outcome i see with this method is that we start Day 2 in lylo with a clear pivot and a 50% to hit scum.
if an investigative role dies N1, then there are two vanillas and one investigative role left. scum will most likely CC one investigative role and one vanilla role again narrowing our Day 2 scum hit % to 50% (PR's) and vanillas 33%. if we get lucky and hit investigative scum on Day 2, remaining scum will kill off final investigative role and whatever investigation he received N1 will carry into Day 3. problem is that there's a good chance we could get "Not Mafia" or "Not Werewolf" meaning our use of PR's have been severely ineffective and we're going into Day 3 with only a 33% chance of hitting scum.
anyway, i agree with the FoS's givin to you.
@everyone: correct me if im wrong, but i think the most effective way to use the PR's in this game is to have them investigate the same person. it either clears or pins a single person, and scum can't CC an investigative role and botch the results with mixed flavor. i've never done a setup that had 2 flavor cops so.. yea.
@Air: you haven't said a word all game. you better be keeping up
what are we going to do about Kevin? i'd rather find a replacement but i doubt we'd find anyone active to take his place. ****s gay
What about scum claiming the relevant PR to out him?I really think we have about as good a chance if we just try to scumhunt rather than just lynch the vanilla to set-up for a hopeful advantage.
The point is seeing how mafia will claim when we force a massclaim on Day 2, but absolutely not to have all 3 VTs claim Day 1 --- how would the latter help us at all?That's not the point of Tom's plan. The point is seeing how mafia will claim, or not claim. Thus if we have more than 3 VTs claim. You randomly lynch one and have a high chance of hitting scum. Permitting both claim.
I need more than this from you.I don't really like the idea.
I'm kind of with Chibo with the no lynching thing. If we lynch someone it'll give mafia two kills in one day/night. If we no lynch it'll lower that number to just one person from town that has to die.
I skimmed it. Although, the plan I derived from it is high risk-high reward. I thought it could be interesting in the aspect that it could prove to be highly successful. I still don't see it as utter suicide, but the hit on D1 would have to be successful.The point is seeing how mafia will claim when we force a massclaim on Day 2, but absolutely not to have all 3 VTs claim Day 1 --- how would the latter help us at all?
PRs worth can vary with who is playing what position. So I definitely would not say this. Only thing is that it feeds your plan. That is why you are saying it is better.And don't you recognize that at lylo, when we massclaim, having less VTs makes us stronger?
how is the pr guaranteed?We're not just lynching someone, we are lynching a vanilla. And then someone dies, be he a vanilla or a PR. Then we are at lylo with one guaranteed PR.
If we No Lynch twice, we get to lylo with no guaranteed PRs. How is that better?
What's stopping scum for CC'ing?are you serious chibo? if there is only one possible nightkill then only one PR can die and the other can claim.
im in the process of mathing every situation out in my and chaco's plans because chaco's vague diction really bothered me and i need to find out if he is right or if i am right and what path i want us to take and the numbers why.
Don't bother with the math, I've already got the important parts done. Shouldn't take you that long anywayhaha i would say i am halfway through mathing it all out btw, ive done chaco's and now i just have to do mine, but looking at chibo's next to ours is really ******** funny because its like (0% success, next day, 0% success, next day --> calculate if any PRs are still alive lol)
must be the only discrete thing you ever learned hahaha :laughie-face: **** youDon't bother with the math, I've already got the important parts done. Shouldn't take you that long anyway
Thank you Discrete Mathematics.
I honestly can't believe you would ever say such WIFOM like thisi guess i will map all of yours out too
but you are dumb. i did this to start discussion because it had obviously stagnated early (you actually came in to post "so is everyone okay?") so **** needed to be done. if i were scum i woudlnt have said *anything at all* you dimwit. my efforts to try to EXAMINE the setup have gotten people TALKING.
There's no if here, scum would CC unless they haven't read any of this thread and don't have half a thought. I don't know why you want to boil this entire game down to a coin flip. If that was a case and how mafia should be played, then every game would be 3 ppl 2 VT 1 scum.if scum CC then we have a 50/50 again
i did now say "don't do your own thinking just trust mine," you're putting words in my mouth for everyone else to eat up and see me as the bad guy. I said don't bother with the math because I had already posted the %s we need to know before you saw them. Numbers are facts, I'm not putting thought behind it. Simply posting the facts proving why your plan was bad."dont bother with the math" you are an asshole and that is probably the dumbest thing you could say in a mafia game, "dont do your own thinking just trust mine" what are you a complete newbie?
no, they can defend themselves just as any good mafia player should do without claiming. I'm saying don't claim so we don't end up handing them to the scum on a silver platter.no i take that back, "no one defend themselves by claiming" is probably the dumbest thing you could say. do you want a PR to just get right up against the ropes and shut his mouth and get lynched?
and you call me the assholemust be the only discrete thing you ever learned hahaha :laughie-face: **** you
Care to explain why you quoted Chaco's post and replaced the contents of it with part of one of my posts?Don't bother with the math, I've already got the important parts done. Shouldn't take you that long anyway
Thank you Discrete Mathematics.
must be the only discrete thing you ever learned hahaha :laughie-face: **** you
I really don't understand why you post when you have NOTHING to add. You parrot people constantly, add a slight, almost committing, judgment on someone then coast away.I don't really like the idea.
I'm kind of with Chibo with the no lynching thing. If we lynch someone it'll give mafia two kills in one day/night. If we no lynch it'll lower that number to just one person from town that has to die.
@Omni: I don't really anything revealing about using the term mafia instead of scum.
I don't really know how I feel about CK's claim. If you're not comfortable with Tom's plan, why would you volunteer yourself to be the one that goes?
how is that not even a mistake?Completely missed the big wtf thing there in the last thing I quoted...
Care to explain why you quoted Chaco's post and replaced the contents of it with part of one of my posts?
This seriously makes no sense, and is not even a mistake.
we dont HAVE to follow my plan.Yeah, Chibo, that's why I made the what post.
And CK, the validity in that point is just thrown to the extreme because we wouldn't even be attempting to lynch scum.
1. I still don't see how it was a simple mistake. if it just said chaco, k that's one thing. however... it had the post link to chacos post. how did u accidentally post the number combination to link to his post as well. this also wasn't a mess up within the same post because this was the only thing u quoted this post. nothing chaco involved, just my post. you would have had to click the quote on chacos post, delete all the insides, and replaced it with text from my post. and why would u even do this? I have no idea. is it a scumtell? I have no idea. is it something so out of left field that we deserve to question? I think sohow is that not even a mistake?
ofc it was a mistake. i must have done something wrong with the quote tags and attributed the quote to chacho instead of you.
what you said about "no need to do the math, you should have it done all ready" put me in a very foul mood. it was asinine for you to say... i really dont know what you would be trying to get at with that comment other than 1) "im faster at math than you" which is childish or 2) no need to do anything for yourself which is totally against everything we do in this game.
I obviously posted to avoid a prod. And believe me, I hate it when I parrot.I really don't understand why you post when you have NOTHING to add. You parrot people constantly, add a slight, almost committing, judgment on someone then coast away.