3rd Party Competition will be intense, but if nothing else let's at least try to make Top 3 of the 1st Party candidates. We were way too low in the SSBU news poll even among that category. There were some characters that I was just bewildered we got less votes than, in both that poll and the poll for the
1st Fighter's Pass that Source Gaming did a little less than a year ago. If nothing else I do feel with the announcement of the 2nd wave we are in a slightly better position compared to the time period between Joker's reveal and E3 2019. (I noticed much more people were open to her after the September Direct than before).
I remember the SSBU news poll being declared inaccurate and clickbait for its low amount of votes and the short time to vote. At least this one is lasting a long time and is giving participants several choices.
I like to treat December 2018 to January 2020 as the "Dark Age" for first parties. After just Joker, people still had some hope for First Parties, but Hero, Banjo Kazooie (Despite his legacy he's a Microsoft character) and Terry just demolished any hope people had for 1st parties and that affected their poll popularity greatly, until Byleth came of course.
Now, with a new pass coming in the horizon with a new perspective of choices that Sakurai is going to talk about in his new Famitsu column soon. Depending on what he says, we may be starting fresh or another popularity shift is going to start IMO.
For some reason this polls are always affected by bandwagons and characters that people think they are going to be in rather what they actually want.
I remember Erdrick (Who today we know as the alt 2 and 6 of
) suddenly becoming highly voted when "Brave" was leaked and before that literally no one was talking about him.
I'm expecting post-launch spirit'd franchises like Resident Evil and Mii costume'd characters to drop off. Steve to drop off in favor of Master Chief (Because Doom Slayer news and Steve's support practically died after
got confirmed), many indies like The Knight from Hollow Knight to drop off because of the Mii Costumes with music tracks seem to be their thing now and many first parties to gain more votes because of Byleth breaking the third party only fan rule.
The six slots rule is also a great benefit. "Mmm... what other character do I want? Wait, I like the Donkey Kong games. Why is Dixie Kong still not in?"
The last one is wishful thinking tho. Many people may have more than 6 characters to fill in. I guess if SNES online dropped the DKC Trilogy or a new DK game was announced right now, or heck, even Dixie becoming playable in Mario Kart Tour would start a bandwagon that skyrockets Dixie's votes. But to me that feels dishonest, I would rather she her as a requested character for her legacy as playable in the best DKC games rather than the latest shiny thing to latch on.
Anyway, the second pass characters are already decided, this poll only serves as a measure to see how big the support of our ponytail girl actually is in the core fanbase. No tricks, we will see how many people actually want her when the results come in two months.