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Morbi

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No, I'm trying to prove a point that "recency" isn't the sole deciding factor of the entire roster. He was saying that a character couldn't get in if they hadn't had any recent appearances, while there was a newer character standing in their way. Rather, more often than not, both the old and new character get in, but there are also cases of older characters getting in over newer charcters.

As simply put as possible, yes, characters get in because "shiny new!" but that has no bearing on older characters getting in.
Ah, I see. Thank you for the clarification.

Yikes, I completely forgot Emerald came out after FR/LG. My bad then.

Wonder if Sakurai went with Lucario himself or if Game Freak pushed for him to be in. I wouldn't be surprised at the latter, as he was everywhere.
I would not be surprised either, based on what Sakurai stated on Lucario's Smash 4 reveal, he might not have happened if the team was not so dedicated. This is obviously PR talk; however, it does seem to indicate that Lucario was never "given."
 
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Opossum

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Does anybody think that Chrom might have a chance? I sure hope so, although his playstyle will have to be between Marth and Ike...maybe Roy?:roymelee: :?:
He's a shoo-in thanks to the Sal Leak. I wouldn't worry. :D

Well, barring the slight chance that they dropped him due to it being outdated. In which case, DLC.
 

epicgordan

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Okay, I'm going to jump back on the topic of King K. Rool, and while the Kremlings are still a big deal regarding K. Rool's fate. We all heard the arguments in both ways, so let me introduce another one:

Okay, we can easily establish very early on that just because the Kremlings are in Smash Run does not mean that King K. Rool is playable, and that for all we know, they could just be common enemies in Smash Run. And while their presence does hint that he too may have a role in the game, we also know they can exist without him. Now in a game like Smash where we are talking about Nintendo's history, having the Kremlings but not K. Rool is just plain absurd--even if their trophies and roles are limited only to the 3DS version. So chances are very high (not necessarily guaranteed) that at the very least, we'll get some representation from him in the next game.

With that said, I have sifted through countless explanations supporting Ridley being playable in spite of being "confirmed" as a "stage hazard." The fact that Sakurai would tease us like that, and continue to tease us by not showing Pyrosphere in the Wii U demo leads me to believe he isn't just a boss, but is highly likely to be a boss fight. Now while King K. Rool's stance isn't anywhere near as strong as Ridley since the latter's been confirmed to be in the game in some capacity or another, the fact that King K. Rool is still alive months after the Kremlings were first introduced as enemies in Smash Run largely suggests that he is very likely playable.

Now, the circumstances behind King K. Rool are quite different yet again. For all we know, the revealing of the Kremlings may have unintentionally given the wrong impression regarding his playable status, and he is simply slow to disconfirm him (with Ridley, there is absolutely no questioning that he is being withheld from us). If that is the case, we can expect a disconfirmation within the month. By the time we get to the August Direct, and we still have no answers, however, that's when we must start question just what is up with King K. Rool since a game chronicling Nintendo's history would not omit King K. Roll entirely or reduce him to a mere trophy and yet introduce us to the Kremlings. Even if they simply are DK-related enemies.

What am I getting at? He's either an unlockable Assist Trophy, a stage boss that Sakurai simply isn't ready to show, or he's a playable character. Yes, one can apply all that logic to the Tikki enemies as well, and who knows? We might get something pertaining to them as well. But both sets of enemies? A bit too out-of-place to not introduce a classic villain like K. Rool, and recency really doesn't have any factor other than to disconfirm what is too recent.
What does this mean? At the very least, chances are high that King K. Rool will be playing a bigger role this time around that he did in Brawl based on the evidence. And chances are fairly decent--disregarding the dreadful word, "relevant" entirely from any so-called criteria--that the Kremlings, combined with the spacing between when they were revealed and today, may even hint at him being playable. And his chances will only increase the longer we go without any answers until either launch, or Sakurai flat-out confirms or disconfirms him. He may not be Ridley or Mewtwo as far as odds go, but he's not entirely out of the question, either, and is looking better with each passing day.

That's my two cents on King K. Rool. What do I think? He's still a bit of a stretch, but again, as far as hints regarding playable status goes, he, Shulk, and possibly Dark Pit are about as far as I'll go when it comes to hints and character probability. Anything less concrete like with Isaac, I'm staying away with a ten-foot pole for the time being.
 

False Sense

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He's a shoo-in thanks to the Sal Leak. I wouldn't worry. :D

Well, barring the slight chance that they dropped him due to it being outdated. In which case, DLC.
If there is any possibility whatsoever that he may not be included, then he is not a shoo-in. The word "shoo-in" implies absolute certainty. If Chrom's chances are not 100% absolute, he cannot be accurately described as a "shoo-in."
 

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If there is any possibility whatsoever that he may not be included, then he is not a shoo-in. The word "shoo-in" implies absolute certainty. If Chrom's chances are not 100% absolute, he cannot be accurately described as a "shoo-in."
Allow me to rephrase that. From what we know from the leak, he's essentially a shoo-in. In other words, there's no reason to think he's not in at this point.
 

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Allow me to rephrase that. From what we know from the leak, he's essentially a shoo-in. In other words, there's no reason to think he's not in at this point.
I'd still find that to be slightly debatable, but it's better.
 

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If there is any possibility whatsoever that he may not be included, then he is not a shoo-in. The word "shoo-in" implies absolute certainty. If Chrom's chances are not 100% absolute, he cannot be accurately described as a "shoo-in."
^^^

What's more, any character that reaches "shoo-in" status by means of a "confirmed" leak is still merely speculative. Until the game is released, there are no certainties when it comes to newcomers, no matter the credits or discredits a leak may have. (For more reading, see the definitions of words like "possible" and "certain")
 

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Unless you believe the leak to be fake as it has yet to be objectively proven.
I fail to see how. The leaker's shown on multiple occasions that what he knows is legit. All it really takes is Wii Fit Trainer, and then Mii Fighters. Everything else is icing.
 

Jason the Yoshi

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Is it wrong that I believe the Gematsu leak is fake because of them predicting Lucas isn't returning? Just asking because cutting any character at this point, especially Lucas, is a little dumb.
 

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I fail to see how. The leaker's shown on multiple occasions that what he knows is legit. All it really takes is Wii Fit Trainer, and then Mii Fighters. Everything else is icing.
Eh, Wii Fit Trainer could be a lucky guess. But I think the deal sealer was "Mii Fighter".
Is it wrong that I believe the Gematsu leak is fake because of them predicting Lucas isn't returning? Just asking because cutting any character at this point, especially Lucas, is a little dumb.
I don't know how they would obtain that specific information. So I dunno. I don't see it as a direct leak, as the newcomer leaks seemed very on-point and direct. Lucas's "deconfirmation" is very wishy-washy.
 
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SomewhatMystia

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Is it wrong that I believe the Gematsu leak is fake because of them predicting Lucas isn't returning? Just asking because cutting any character at this point, especially Lucas, is a little dumb.
I don't think it's fake, but I do find it suspicious. Why do you think cutting characters is dumb, if you don't mind me asking? I mean, Snake and the other two Trainer pokes are almost guaranteed gone (watch those three be the big Monday reveal and make me look dumb).
 

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Eh, Wii Fit Trainer could be a lucky guess. But I think the deal sealer was "Mii Fighter".
Combined with Villager and Mega Man on the same day? :p But yeah, if anything, Mii Fighters should eliminate all doubt.
 

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Is it wrong that I believe the Gematsu leak is fake because of them predicting Lucas isn't returning? Just asking because cutting any character at this point, especially Lucas, is a little dumb.
It didn't say Lucas is not returning for certain, but that there's a discussion about cutting him vs Ness. We could still get both, maybe?
 

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^^^

What's more, any character that reaches "shoo-in" status by means of a "confirmed" leak is still merely speculative. Until the game is released, there are no certainties when it comes to newcomers, no matter the credits or discredits a leak may have. (For more reading, see the definitions of words like "possible" and "certain")
Villager, Mega Man, Miss Fit, Rosalina, Greninja, Miis, Palutena, and Pac-Man deconfirmed. :troll:
This is in jest if that wasn't obvious enough.
I don't think it's fake, but I do find it suspicious. Why do you think cutting characters is dumb, if you don't mind me asking? I mean, Snake and the other two Trainer pokes are almost guaranteed gone (watch those three be the big Monday reveal and make me look dumb).
Why do you think Snake is almost guaranteed to be cut, if you don't mind me asking?
 

Morbi

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You do believe that it has some credibility, though, right?

I mean, "Mii Fighter" is pretty spot-on.
Of course I find the leak to contain some credibility, that has remained my perspective ever since E3 2013 when Wii Fit Trainer, Villager, and Mega Man were all revealed in correlation with it. However; as I asserted previously, I choose to remain objective as that is the most logical mentality. The leak has been accurate thus far, but it is impossible to determine which aspects of the leak are false until they are confirmed to be false (which will only happen upon release). I am open to all of the possibilities, this includes the notion that the leak might be outdated, or that information might have changed during the development cycle, or that the leaker had legitimate information but decided to fabricate the rest. It is also possible that these are our only remaining newcomers.
 

Jason the Yoshi

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It didn't say Lucas is not returning for certain, but that there's a discussion about cutting him vs Ness. We could still get both, maybe?
I know, but I really hope Lucas does indeed return
I don't think it's fake, but I do find it suspicious. Why do you think cutting characters is dumb, if you don't mind me asking? I mean, Snake and the other two Trainer pokes are almost guaranteed gone (watch those three be the big Monday reveal and make me look dumb).
My good man, cutting characters is simply undesireable, it doesn't matter who the character is or how likely he/she is to be cut from the game, nobody likes it nowadays.
 

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Why do you think Snake is almost guaranteed to be cut, if you don't mind me asking?
Legal issues, and Konami isn't exactly in a good relationship with Nintendo right now at all.

BUT, the roster was decided when MGS3DS was still rnew, and that same game just got a digital release recently in the 3DS in Europe, so Konami isn't completely abandoning Nintendo. I wanna be optimistic about him, but guts feeling tell me he won't return. Here's hoping I'm wrong; Snake is only behind Wario as my favorite video game character.

And I will never forgive Sakurai for not correcting the mistake on making Snake Eater instrumental, so he must add Snake and fix that.
 
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Oz37

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Villager, Mega Man, Miss Fit, Rosalina, Greninja, Miis, Palutena, and Pac-Man deconfirmed. :troll:
This is in jest if that wasn't obvious enough.

Why do you think Snake is almost guaranteed to be cut, if you don't mind me asking?
You know, I momentarily agonized over that wording. Thanks for picking up on my insecurities.

:awesome:
 

Louie G.

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I kinda think Lucas is being cut, but...

Time constraints wouldn't be an issue for Lucas. In all honesty.
He's a very easy character to make (he looks a lot like Ness), and I would worry more for low priority newcomers or any completely original fighters that for some reason got low priority (which I doubt is going to happen).

If Lucas is cut, it's probably not because the team ran out of time.
And even then he's a shoo in for DLC.
 

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Of course I find the leak to contain some credibility, that has remained my perspective ever since E3 2013 when Wii Fit Trainer, Villager, and Mega Man were all revealed in correlation with it. However; as I asserted previously, I choose to remain objective as that is the most logical mentality. The leak has been accurate thus far, but it is impossible to determine which aspects of the leak are false until they are confirmed to be false (which will only happen upon release). I am open to all of the possibilities, this includes the notion that the leak might be outdated, or that information might have changed during the development cycle, or that the leaker had legitimate information but decided to fabricate the rest. It is also possible that these are our only remaining newcomers.
Alright. I do agree with that notion. I am sure as it is outdated (Pokemon XY character), and it's possible he tried to fabricate the rest of the leak. I still don't completely believe the Lucas rumor. It still seems more fabricated than anything. When it isn't speaking in absolutes, I don't really believe it.

Time constraints are time constraints. So he may get cut. But I still firmly believe in the newcomers.
I kinda think Lucas is being cut, but...

Time constraints wouldn't be an issue for Lucas. In all honesty.
He's a very easy character to make (he looks a lot like Ness), and I would worry more for low priority newcomers or any completely original fighters that for some reason got low priority (which I doubt is going to happen).

If Lucas is cut, it's probably not because the team ran out of time.
And even then he's a shoo in for DLC.
Eh, I think it'd be time constraints. I mean, think about Dr. Mario, who was a clone. He was cut, likely due to time constraints.
 
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Why do you think Snake is almost guaranteed to be cut, if you don't mind me asking?
I feel like Snake was a one-shot wonder as far as Smash goes. I don't have any evidence, but that's my guess. That and it seems like his moveset's been divvied up between others (ZSS has a better version of his final smash, Sheik possibly has his grenades if they behave anything like Snake's). It's mostly that first bit, though.
 

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Im pretty sure Ness is guaranteed. back in 2012, Sakurai said that all of the original 12 will be in SSB4! Yeah!:kirby:
 

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I don't think the leak is fake anymore, it's slowly grown in credibility and it's blatantly true that Sal actually did get some inside info.

That doesn't mean that aspects of the leak could be false, or were previously true until something changed in development. I remember there being a leak for X/Y that was half true and half fake, and all the real stuff was completely spot on. I'd hope that both Lucas and Ness made it, or that Sal's source was mistaken, it's certainly a possibility. And just like he missed Rosalina, I highly doubt that the rest of the Gematsu newcomers are all that we have left, I'm sure he wasn't privy to others. Part of my also hopes that he was mistaken about the Chorus Men, but that's another story.
Legal issues, and Konami isn't exactly in a good relationship with Nintendo right now at all.

BUT, the roster was decided when MGS3DS was still rnew, and that same game just got a digital release recently in the 3DS in Europe, so Konami isn't completely abandoning Nintendo. I wanna be optimistic about him, but guts feeling tell me he won't return. Here's hoping I'm wrong; Snake is only behind Wario as my favorite video game character.

And I will never forgive Sakurai for not correcting the mistake on making Snake Eater instrumental, so he must add Snake and fix that.
There are plenty of reasons why this is completely wrong, but pretty much every supporter in the Snake thread has gone over this a million times already, myself included. The short story, legal issues are exactly the reason why Snake would be in, not out.
I feel like Snake was a one-shot wonder as far as Smash goes. I don't have any evidence, but that's my guess. That and it seems like his moveset's been divvied up between others (ZSS has a better version of his final smash, Sheik possibly has his grenades if they behave anything like Snake's). It's mostly that first bit, though.
Snake isn't being divided up, and similar moves is hardly a concern when Toon Link.
 
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Morbi

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I know, but I really hope Lucas does indeed return

My good man, cutting characters is simply undesireable, it doesn't matter who the character is or how likely he/she is to be cut from the game, nobody likes it nowadays.
I enjoy cuts to a significant extent. I actually want the roster to be more cohesive, I want to experience new characters, and honestly, I want to read the salty comments. Squirlte and Ivysaur's apparent omission gave me MUCH joy. However, I suppose that has more to do with my speculation being correct (individual Charizard) and less to do with their removals.
 

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Eh, I think it'd be time constraints. I mean, think about Dr. Mario, who was a clone. He was cut, likely due to time constraints.
Doc was cut earlier than say, Mewtwo.
If Sakurai really wanted to include him he would have been higher priority or at least made it as far as Mewtwo and Roy.

However characters are usually dumped due to a possible lack of time, so I stand corrected.
If Lucas is cut, it's probably because Sakurai needed to get rid of some characters to save time, and he didn't deem Lucas as important as some of the others.

I don't even like Lucas and that hurt to type.
 

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He's a shoo-in thanks to the Sal Leak. I wouldn't worry. :D

Well, barring the slight chance that they dropped him due to it being outdated. In which case, DLC.
It's already very suspicious that the leak considers Lucas to be cut. From what I could remember, none of the starting characters have ever been cut from the roster.
 

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Doc was cut earlier than say, Mewtwo.
If Sakurai really wanted to include him he would have been higher priority or at least made it as far as Mewtwo and Roy.

However characters are usually dumped due to a possible lack of time, so I stand corrected.
If Lucas is cut, it's probably because Sakurai needed to get rid of some characters to save time, and he didn't deem Lucas as important as some of the others.

I don't even like Lucas and that hurt to type.
Exactly. He wouldn't have enough time. Lucas is the (sadly, as a Lucas main) least necessary character from Brawl, and would get cut if Sakurai does not have enough time to put in the rest of the characters. Time constraints, right?
 

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There are plenty of reasons why this is completely wrong, but pretty much every supporter in the Snake thread has gone over this a million times already, myself included. The short story, legal issues are exactly the reason why Snake would be in, not out.
I post there and I thought we all agreed that if there's any reason for Snake to be cut, it's because of legal issues, which could happen?

I'm not really following your last sentence at all.
 

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It's already very suspicious that the leak considers Lucas to be cut. From what I could remember, none of the starting characters have ever been cut from the roster.
Just because it hasn't happened yet doesn't mean it can't happen. Not to mention there's also the fact that the Pokemon Trainer's not returning, but instead Charizard is.
 

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Just because starters were never cut in the span of three games doesn't mean it will never happen.

I mean, it's only three games. Patterns will be broken.
"Very easy" character?
When his normals and specials work very differently?
Wouldn't say that.
Well customization exists.

I'm sure Ness would have Lucas's specials as custom moves and vice versa.
 
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Just because it hasn't happened yet doesn't mean it can't happen. Not to mention there's also the fact that the Pokemon Trainer's not returning, but instead Charizard is.
Lucas never had any transformations though, so I don't see any reason for why he should be cut, especially since Ike managed to come back.
 

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Just because starters were never cut in the span of three games doesn't mean it will never happen.

I mean, it's only three games. Patterns will be broken.

Well customization exists.

I'm sure Ness would have Lucas's specials as custom moves and vice versa.
Precisely, there was no reason to remove starters in Melee or Brawl. Smash 4 is the first game that it might be warranted; as time progresses (as titles launch) the likelihood only increases. Although, I doubt a characters status as a starter is entirely relevant.
 

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I post there and I thought we all agreed that if there's any reason for Snake to be cut, it's because of legal issues, which could happen?

I'm not really following your last sentence at all.
It's just that the "no new MGS games on Nintendo consoles" has absolutely no bearing whatsoever, so I just kind of jumped at that on instinct... Snake is either in or out, either Sakurai/Nintendo and Kojima/Konami went through the paperwork from the beginning, or they didn't. I don't see how there could be any legal issues, seeing as it was completely successful before and neither company has anything to lose for a second go. Konami and Nintendo are just as "close" as any companies, Konami still makes games for Nintendo consoles, MGS or not. Sure it's possible for something to happen, but I doubt it, personally.
 
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