So, my safe prediction turned o
ut to be correct. I'm surprised Salem is out, but whatevs.
A few player focused hot takes on some matches going into top 8 tomorrow:
Tweek vs Cosmos
You should notice something right off the bat with this match: Tweek rarely uses Witch Twist. He used it about 2-3 times a game. Why? Well, he plays with Cosmos all the time, and Tweek has mentioned that Cosmos SDI knowledge is really good. And you can see this play out. Cosmos got out of a combo and hit Tweek with a Nair, Cosmos got out of a combo right after ABK, and only took 14%, while also landing first, and then killed Tweek with Dsmash when he landed.
Tweek clearly wanted to use it sparingly, when it would be most likely to catch Cosmos off-guard and reduce the chances that he could mitigate its effects. It was a decent strategy, but not being able to utilize Bayo's second best tool as much clearly limited him.
Cosmos needs to learn to use Counter more. Yeah, it's frame 7, but other than Wtw, Bayo has no move faster than frame 7, and they all have lingering hitboxes, should she choose.
MKLeo vs Falln
We didn't see the first game, but the second was more Leo playing uncharacteristically sloppy and Falln capitalizing on it. And an SD to end the game? Okay, man.
The Bayo pick was a surprise, but Leo likes to pick things based on capricious feelings, so whatever. He's been practicing with her, and with Mistake and Lima, so it's not a surprise that he does pretty well. Falln is also shaky when it comes to Bayo, which I believe Leo witnessed in person. Falln got infamously 3-0'd by Mistake in the recent past, and I doubt he was expecting a Bayo from Leo.
From then on, we got Leo doing what he should have been doing with Cloud: making it impossible for Rosa to get away from the ledge without taking damage. He eliminated Luma almost every single time Falln got up, as well.
I don't really think much else of this. The hand wringing across Twitter for this set is... bizarre. You have a Ryu almost make top 8, Captain Falcon and Corrin making it, and ZSS sending two elite Bayos to Losers. But we are gonna lose it because Leo picking Bayo for two games signifies the beginning of a top player exodus to Bayoville? Nah.
I understand it sucks to see Falln get wiped, and I was rooting for him too, but good grief.