But I worked on finding a way to analyze MUs and compared them for a good 20 minutes... I'm proud of my results and thought the outcome was accurate, so why no?I'm just going to say no.
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But I worked on finding a way to analyze MUs and compared them for a good 20 minutes... I'm proud of my results and thought the outcome was accurate, so why no?I'm just going to say no.
Roy's movement and range would be redeeming traits long before his pretty bad SHFFL (fast is not the same as good, but the 2003 meta smash wiki didn't realize this.)In Melee, most characters have some redeeming traits....Roy has a great SHFFL...But poor Kirby has nothing but Kirbycide.
Yeah, I didn't know how old that MU information was... Either the community or the backroomers should make a new MU chart soon. I know there were a lot of threads that tried and failed to do this, but some group of people needs to make it.The old matchup data is indeed exceedingly wrong. As the meta has advanced, Roy has become worse and worse, whereas Game & Watch has floated around "awful, but definitely not the most awful".
With that said, your matchup approach of "how many wins out of 100 sets" alongside character usage was a pretty good thing, and I've been working on this myself. However, I used my own personal matchup assessments which are no doubt biased and wrong on many accounts, though I'm still confident it's more accurate than Smash wiki charts.
My numbers by your method:
In ~2.5mil sets, Roy wins ~790K and G&W wins ~870K. G&W wins about 35%, whereas Roy wins about 32%.
[collapse=Total scores, for anyone interested]Total scores for anyone interested: out of 2,490,700 sets..
Fox should win ~1,354,000 sets or 54.4%
Falco should win ~1,335,000 sets or 53.6%
Sheik should win ~1,333,000 sets or 53.5%
Marth should win ~1,313,000 sets or 52.7%
Jigglypuff should win ~1,296,000 sets or 52.0%
Peach should win ~1,246,000 sets or 50.0%
Ice Climbers should win ~1,193,000 sets or 47.9%
Captain Falcon should win ~1,140,000 sets or 45.8%
Samus should win ~1,115,000 sets or 44.8%
Luigi should win ~1,080,000 sets or 43.4%
Dr. Mario should win ~1,079,000 sets or 43.3%
Mario should win ~1,046,000 sets or 42.0%
Pikachu should win ~1,032,000 sets or 41.4%
Ganondorf should win ~1,023,000 sets or 41.1%
Yoshi should win ~1,009,000 sets or 40.5%
Young Link should win 983,000 sets or 39.5%
Link should win 979,000 sets or 39.3%
Donkey Kong should win 939,000 sets or 37.7%
Zelda should win 938,000 sets or 37.7%
Mr. Game & Watch should win 867,000 sets or 34.8%
Kirby should win 818,000 or 32.8%
Mewtwo should win 797,000 sets or 32.0%
Roy should win 790,000 sets or 31.7%
Ness should win 784,000 sets or 31.5%
Pichu should win 731,000 sets or 29.3%
Bowser should win 665,000 sets or 26.7%[/collapse]
Roy's movement and range would be redeeming traits long before his pretty bad SHFFL (fast is not the same as good, but the 2003 meta smash wiki didn't realize this.)
Kirby has several traits would would be considered redeeming qualities long before Kirbycide.
Despite worse matchup spreads than G&W or even Kirby, I usually consider Mewtwo and Roy to be better than G&W & Kirby. I feel those characters have more room for exploitation of skill gaps between players than G&W does.Yeah, I didn't know how old that MU information was... Either the community or the backroomers should make a new MU chart soon. I know there were a lot of threads that tried and failed to do this, but some group of people needs to make it.
Actually, now that I think about it, it should probably be the backroomers because people who are newer to the boards (myself included) probably have more bias than older, more experienced players.
Anyways, it's close (closer than I thought in my original analysis), but I still think Roy should be slightly above G&W; we can confirm or deny this whenever (or if ever) we get a new official MU chart
QERB is really good and Game & Watch should not be slept on, but I still think Roy has a really big sword, big feet, and big hands. It's quite close imo, though.Have you seen Qerb play? He's taken sets off the moon, duck and almost zero.
D-tilt has more hitstun than Marth's, and his D-tilt pops up opponents for combos and F-smash/grab chainsYou can try to Ken combo with Roy and then watch as your opponent meteor cancels the dair before they even fall past the stage and you are stuck and lag and die. Or your opponent just attacks you out of hitstun because all of Roy's moves are **** except for forward smash. Seriously, **** Roy.
My point was not that Roy is awful and has nothing, but that he crushed my dreams.D-tilt has more hitstun than Marth's, and his D-tilt pops up opponents for combos and F-smash/grab chains
Still has Marth's insane grab range - longest and fastest non-tether grab
His DED is effective and actually useful
His counter does 1.5x knockback and damage, it's actually great as a seldom used mix up tool if you can make reads and don't have the reaction time of a hippo.
It just sounds like you've really never played as Roy seriously or you are a casual trying to main Fox/Falco. As a Roy you really don't use Dair to meteor since the specific hitbox is at your shoulder and it's very hard to hit. Dair is also one his worst moves in general.
So yea he's not great but he's definitely above Kirby, Pichu, Bowser, and Mewtwo as the current tier list shows. He's got a flippin' sword with massive disjointed hitboxes just like Marth. He's also above G&W and Ness, I don't quite agree 100% with that. All three of kind of exist on the same spot IMO, each better at differing MUs.
M2K as I'm sure you know plays Roy in bracket often against seasoned players and noobs alike.i think g&w is way better.
i don't recall any roys taking sets off of any notable players in the last several years
I also think roy has some unwinnable matchups in mid/high level of play where as g&w doesn't (sheik, samus, marth).
my opinion is probably skewed, but prove me wrong!
Do you and QERB want a room?Congrats, @QERB ! Beating The Moon officially makes you above average and is on par with beating a PMDT non-competitor's low tier or losing to Toph! I'm pretty jealousy.
In seriousness, do you think G&W is nearing full development? Disregarding highly unexplored stuff for every character like shield-drop combo set-ups.
I'm not sure where you're basing a lot of your info from. I'm assuming that a lot of it a product of wishful thinking. I disagree with almost everything you say here, or find it irrelevant.M2K as I'm sure you know plays Roy in bracket often against seasoned players and noobs alike.
And I think pretty much anyone will agree his Roy is pretty lazy and not very polished. But it doesn't seem to matter since he has such great reading ability and technical speed.
In the past few years
He beat Strong Bad's DK at a Grand Finals with Roy (last stock was a 0-56% KO in less than 6 seconds on DK)
- DK is also a very unfavorable matchup for Roy -2 about a 30:70
He almost beat Toph's Fox on FD (1 stock left pretty much) with Roy.
I've seen a few other examples where he's taken on high level players with Roy and either beat or kept it close. Most probably aren't recorded because I mean who wants a record of being beaten by a Roy?
I consider G&W and Roy about even, G&W dies way too early because he's as light as Pichu pretty much. and he doesn't have easy combos, Roy has a few 0-death combos on flat and platforms (especially on Fox/Falco) and he has the same insane grab range as Marth. G&W has the serious disadvantage of not being able to L-Cancel half his aerials. G&W in general actually has worse matchups with the high tiers...I think many would agree with that. "Unwinnable"....hmm very odd.
I consider you an above average player, so your skill with G&W can often transcend tiers. There really isn't a Roy player with that same skill level or potential right now or ever. Sethlon, Ripple, (both don't play Melee anymore) or Pyro really aren't close; they aren't like an AmSa or an Axe for Melee. If Neo had kept at Roy and stayed active I'm sure he'd probably be able to challenge most high tier high skilled players today. There is just a lack of mains, much like there used to be a lack of mains for Yoshi....and then AmSa came along.
Okay QERB show me some matches of you beating some respectable Sheiks, Marths, and Samus's or other G&W players beating them consistently. The only one I recall was you getting beat by a mediocre Sheik player (I think it was Spawn)I'm not sure where you're basing a lot of your info from. I'm assuming that a lot of it a product of wishful thinking. I disagree with almost everything you say here, or find it irrelevant.
M2K beating/almost beating players he is considerably more skilled than with a char he plays solely for stream requests and entertainment value should not be an accurate depiction of Roy's potential in the meta.
-Yes G&W dies early, agreed.
-Yes Roy's grab is good
-G&W doesn't have easy combos? D-throw to aerial auto combos the entire cast (u-throw for fastfallers) regardless of DI to unreasonable %'s with an easy frame leniency.
-I haven't seen any 0-death Roy combos from a Roy against a player with an adequate understanding of combo DI anytime as of late, this sounds more theoretical than anything. Many of his combos can be escaped through proper combo DI or CC'ing his weak/set-knockback aerials.
-G&W not being able to L-cancel 3 aerials, 2 of which are safe on shield as is (b-air/n-air), are not close to his biggest flaw as a character. His lack of shield, weight, and very slow tech-options are far more detrimental to him.
-I disagree that G&W has worse matchups with high tiers than Roy, and actual results do reinforce this, as opposed to theory-based matchup charts or wherever you based your opinion from.
As much as I'd love to believe that Roy under-performs solely due to lack of play/people who main him (since I think he's a cool/fun character), I don't think it's true. Yoshi is a much stronger character with higher potential, and Roy isn't comparable in this way IMO.
EDIT: @EddyBearr No I don't think g&w is near full development even disregarding said conditions.
xChaos c'mon it's rude to butt into a conversation. I'm talking to QERB, he's a well established player I'm not questioning anything. I'm simply asking if he has any recorded matches of him and high tiers that I haven't seen yet (since he mentioned them)@kingPiano you keep on bringing into question the credibility of the players you are disagreeing with, saying they have not personally taken sets off of "respectable" players. You then fail to show any results of your own that give you more credibility than the person you are discrediting.
It's a bit hypocritical to hold others to standards you don't have for yourself.
Dude this is literally a public forum, if you want to have a conversation privately where people can't butt in this isn't the place to do it. Also, you weren't just asking things, you were definitely being argumentative and overly assertive of your points. Provocative tone and language like "prove me wrong" shows that.xChaos c'mon it's rude to butt into a conversation. I'm talking to QERB, he's a well established player I'm not questioning anything. I'm simply asking if he has any recorded matches of him and high tiers that I haven't seen yet (since he mentioned them)
Need to stop stalking me man.
Okay so now you are literally an idiotDude this is literally a public forum, if you want to have a conversation privately where people can't butt in this isn't the place to do it. Also, you weren't just asking things, you were definitely being argumentative and overly assertive of your points. Provocative tone and language like "prove me wrong" shows that.
I came to the thread because of the discussion on low tier characters and I thought I may be able to contribute, not because I saw you in it.
reading 101i think g&w is way better.
i don't recall any roys taking sets off of any notable players in the last several years
I also think roy has some unwinnable matchups in mid/high level of play where as g&w doesn't (sheik, samus, marth).
my opinion is probably skewed, but prove me wrong!
I'll agree that was a result of my liberal use of quotation marks. You did, however, say "I don't mind being proven wrong", but again it was the tone and context that makes it confrontational. I'm not rallying behind QERB, everything I said would apply regardless of who he was.Okay so now you are literally an idiot
I never said "prove me wrong", that was QERB
the guy whose post you liked and are trying to rally behind....
reading 101
Jesus christ you are insane...I'll agree that was a result of my liberal use of quotation marks. You did, however, say "I don't mind being proven wrong", but again it was the tone and context that makes it confrontational. I'm not rallying behind QERB, everything I said would apply regardless of who he was.
Also might I note the continued lack of acknowledgement of the other points in my post.
Dude just stop it. I don't pretend to know stuff that I don't know, in terms of hitboxes and frame data, If I say something is true I only do so because I've tested it extensively.Jesus christ you are insane...
When I say I don't mind being proven wrong....I don't. How is that hard to understand....When it comes to G&W I can't have possibly seen all the vids, I couldn't find any good matches of QERB vs a comparable high tier. Perhaps that just means I don't know how to search for it and I imagine he already has some good examples since he played the matches after all.
Like I told you based on some of the posts you've already made, nothing you say seems to be very credible so I won't waste time responding to any bizzare or non-sense points you bring up like "Pichu is better than Roy". The argument you are looking for will go nowhere, and it's not worth the time wasted for either of us. If you bring up something relevant or topical and drop the drama I will respond.
I don't really consider Pichu better than Roy. When you pay attention to Roy's "Middle-tipper" or whatever they call it, an abnormally strong hitbox/extension in the middle of his sword that allows Roy to still have solid disjoint, he's still able to challenge and beat/stuff a lot, something which as far as I know, Pichu has a very hard time doing.Pichu is better than roy just stop it man just stop.
Qerb does his thing and gets results. Also do You auto cancel the start up of bair? Like hitboxes will come out sometimes You see the turtles head but it auto cancels instead of having to tech or risk 2nd jumping and getting set up for a gimp